| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1201 | 0.3394 | 0.5829 | 0.0931 | 0.2815 | -0.1002 | -0.6767 |
| (p-val) | (0.3963 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.5713 ) | (0.1276 ) | (0.4354 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.0522 | 0.33 | 0.5564 | 0 | 0.2698 | -0.0908 | -0.6776 |
| (p-val) | (0.5182 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1447 ) | (0.478 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3207 | 0.5336 | 0 | 0.27 | -0.1015 | -0.6894 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1308 ) | (0.4188 ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.3253 | 0.5425 | 0 | 0.3235 | 0 | -0.7664 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0574 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.3239 | 0.5597 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5185 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.24998346993725 |
| 230.179516071637 |
| 478.218512203185 |
| -472.170972862455 |
| 444.014659607644 |
| 39.1690052471545 |
| 295.56533252801 |
| -517.159942044055 |
| -153.420798615829 |
| 155.297894778955 |
| 100.532376526203 |
| 21.8950221806249 |
| 38.2576051512493 |
| 66.2123870376125 |
| 271.329811412105 |
| -80.666274289154 |
| -113.744330283504 |
| -265.220705248043 |
| 159.863608880457 |
| -39.0596087994742 |
| 198.131869657464 |
| -44.7971441803313 |
| 117.250146974424 |
| 112.915091861884 |
| 157.646811560361 |
| -1.69147646829911 |
| -87.6560803490525 |
| -239.978546906374 |
| 52.4083739638625 |
| 285.269975895028 |
| 323.954694323681 |
| -231.209601173815 |
| -13.8700685108347 |
| -289.552213501385 |
| -95.3632870571166 |
| 138.009117435386 |
| 62.9170666315666 |
| -176.410228090231 |
| 192.796193181935 |
| 175.877158852419 |
| -321.035912707114 |
| 279.854991377026 |
| -208.306605409156 |
| 315.783297172056 |
| -51.480624911036 |
| 10.4216897837269 |
| -14.2980980038122 |
| 128.672953780154 |
| -356.301577867706 |
| 108.99530941889 |
| -6.42729132906613 |
| 109.856369937291 |
| 27.2443774385406 |
| 15.8188066109989 |
| -11.3950724822604 |
| -108.569193585006 |
| 48.3218456646586 |
| -180.633941526452 |
| 16.5194238963832 |
| 99.9683621226952 |
| -11.4657911034856 |
| -154.994356096012 |
| 159.55889212197 |
| -386.294083744497 |
| 116.000776410328 |
| 104.678381526604 |
| -69.6122732296195 |
| -105.268826004316 |
| -131.884769903131 |
| 172.202934095672 |
| 66.9081327652383 |
| -245.518291725945 |
| 140.312677048424 |
| 154.101389898298 |
| 58.362774994699 |
| -220.717915570695 |
| 170.211615178087 |
| 53.8104105632492 |
| 254.586467215197 |
| -222.382479859325 |
| -158.067279541953 |
| 134.04600644941 |
| 244.91411260035 |
| 158.951430274918 |
| 753.122647930544 |
| 525.344032986513 |
| -116.145298800365 |
| 70.951858756207 |
| -128.275500567857 |
| -119.537497623531 |
| 476.486591876196 |
| -111.655781447578 |
| -2.21145854560156 |
| -58.9247361066238 |
| -605.548596867539 |
| 35.916307865424 |
| 93.4928139194853 |
| 44.0714343085243 |
| -75.1490730005277 |
| -73.6683101364857 |
| -362.772752217563 |
| 46.1557056099382 |
| -290.849766381798 |
| -98.9311074498651 |
| 206.646409078145 |
| -84.853589036995 |
| -127.087368825287 |
| 18.8963715052704 |
| 31.2834241642847 |
| -51.2284445540043 |
| -217.873120388666 |
| -360.312848740823 |
| -233.849290032512 |
| 163.974336462838 |
| 218.247568967975 |
| 271.88908319339 |
| -152.768054251307 |
| -220.151486454335 |
| -196.793298617159 |
| -15.6334451936838 |
