Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999956701083093
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
20.03240.02660.0058
30.03050.0323997488662819-0.00189974886628194
40.02980.0305000822570683-0.000700082257068305
50.02010.0298000303128035-0.00970003031280348
60.01740.0201004200008065-0.00270042000080651
70.01180.0174001169252612-0.00560011692526123
80.0140.01180024247899740.00219975752100258
90.01280.0139999047528819-0.00119990475288188
100.01340.01280005195457620.000599948045423808
110.01110.0133999740228994-0.00229997402289943
120.00940.0111000995863841-0.00170009958638411
130.01210.009400073612470730.00269992638752927
140.00920.0120998830961117-0.00289988309611169
150.01340.009200125561797220.00419987443820278
160.01350.01339981814998570.000100181850014319
170.01470.01349999566223440.0012000043377656
180.01110.0146999480411119-0.00359994804111189
190.0160.01110015587385110.0048998441261489
200.01470.0159997878420563-0.00129978784205633
210.01640.01470005627940580.00169994372059423
220.01670.01639992639427810.000300073605721901
230.01560.0166999870071379-0.00109998700713788
240.01720.0156000476282460.00159995237175398
250.0160.0171999307237952-0.0011999307237952
260.01560.0160000519557007-0.000400051955700705
270.01310.0156000173218164-0.00250001732181639
280.0110.0131001082480423-0.00210010824804228
290.01580.01100009093241250.00479990906758748
300.01880.01579979216913610.00300020783086388
310.01610.0187998700942504-0.00269987009425043
320.01730.01610011690145090.00119988309854913
330.01630.0172999480463614-0.000999948046361419
340.01430.0163000432966674-0.00200004329666737
350.02090.01430008659970850.00659991340029149
360.01890.0208997142308981-0.00199971423089809
370.01720.0189000865854603-0.00170008658546032
380.01780.01720007361190780.000599926388092201
390.020.01779997402383720.00220002597616283
400.02520.01999990474125810.00520009525874194
410.02090.0251997748415075-0.00429977484150748
420.02130.02090018617559360.00039981382440642
430.02320.02129998268849440.00190001731150556
440.02420.02319991773130830.00100008226869169
450.02410.0241999566975209-9.99566975209455e-05
460.02250.0241000043280167-0.00160000432801674
470.01720.0225000692784544-0.00530006927845445
480.02040.01720022948725930.00319977051274071
490.02330.02039986145340240.00290013854659755
500.02010.0232998744271421-0.00319987442714205
510.01960.0201001385510969-0.000500138551096933
520.01330.0196000216554576-0.00630002165545757
530.01730.01330027278411420.00399972721588583
540.01870.01729982681614360.00140017318385637
550.01680.0186999393740177-0.00189993937401766
560.01580.0168000822653171-0.00100008226531708
570.01690.01580004330247890.00109995669752109
580.01780.01689995237306640.000900047626933648
590.01910.01779996102891260.00130003897108741
600.01850.0190999437097206-0.000599943709720614
610.01860.01850002597691289.99740230871633e-05
620.02040.01859999567123310.00180000432876692
630.02080.02039992206176210.000400077938237861
640.01940.0207999826770586-0.00139998267705859
650.01910.0194000606177336-0.000300060617733605
660.01340.0191000129922998-0.00570001299229975
670.0130.0134002468043889-0.000400246804388923
680.01380.01300001733025310.000799982669746875
690.01240.0137999653616169-0.00139996536161686
700.0130.01240006061698390.000599939383016135
710.01790.01299997402327450.00490002597672549
720.02240.01789978783418240.00450021216581761
730.02640.02239980514568740.00400019485431263
740.02790.02639982679589540.00150017320410461
750.03080.02789993504412510.00290006495587491
760.03880.03079987443032850.00800012556967155
770.0370.0387996536032277-0.00179965360322772
780.04610.03700007792305180.00909992207694817
790.05070.04609960598323010.00460039401676987
800.05220.05069980080792170.00150019919207827
810.04930.0521999350429998-0.00289993504299985
820.05150.04930012556404650.00219987443595354
830.0480.0514999047478196-0.00349990474781959
840.0390.0480001515420849-0.00900015154208486
850.03540.0390003896968138-0.00360038969681377
860.03340.0354001558929743-0.00200015589297432
870.0280.0334000866045838-0.00540008660458381
880.0160.0280002338179012-0.0120002338179012
890.01530.0160005195971269-0.000700519597126947
900.00690.0153000303317398-0.00840003033173983
91-0.0010.00690036371221535-0.00790036371221535
92-0.0066-0.00099965792280809-0.00560034207719191
93-0.002-0.006599757511253750.00459975751125375
94-0.0062-0.00200019916451827-0.00419980083548173
95-0.0058-0.00619981815317260.000399818153172599
96-0.0031-0.005800017311692990.00270001731169299
97-0.0025-0.003100116907825230.000600116907825226
98-9e-04-0.002500025984412130.00160002598441213
990.0013-0.0009000692793921480.00220006927939215
1000.00940.001299904739383080.00810009526061692
1010.01050.009399649274648370.00110035072535163
1020.01580.01049995235600540.00530004764399463
1030.02020.01579977051367750.00440022948632254
1040.02160.02019980947482910.0014001905251709
1050.02060.0215999393732668-0.000999939373266798
1060.02560.02060004329629180.00499995670370816
1070.02540.0255997835072901-0.000199783507290149
1080.02530.0254000086504095-0.000100008650409482
1090.0260.02530000433026620.000699995669733756
1100.02720.02599996969094570.00120003030905434
1110.02810.02719994803998740.000900051960012638
1120.02920.0280999610287250.00110003897127503
1130.02870.029199952369504-0.000499952369503988
1140.02890.02870002164739610.000199978352603894
1150.03270.02889999134115390.00380000865884608
1160.03330.03269983546374080.000600164536259169
1170.03140.0332999740135256-0.00189997401352562
1180.03030.0314000822668169-0.00110008226681693
1190.03090.03030004763237070.000599952367629338
1200.03390.03089997402271230.00300002597728771


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
1210.03389987010212450.02683868029489710.0409610599093519
1220.03389987010212450.02391405590006260.0438856843041864
1230.03389987010212450.02166988363187410.0461298565723749
1240.03389987010212450.01977794909799350.0480217911062555
1250.03389987010212450.01811111661645230.0496886235877966
1260.03389987010212450.01660418218820410.0511955580160449
1270.03389987010212450.01521841126722240.0525813289370266
1280.03389987010212450.01392856598885860.0538711742153903
1290.03389987010212450.01271711599013620.0550826242141128
1300.03389987010212450.01157129747525550.0562284427289935
1310.03389987010212450.01048147478268010.0573182654215688
1320.03389987010212450.009440161945194620.0583595782590544