| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 63.69 | NA | NA | 3.09655671296296 | NA |
| 2 | 63.69 | NA | NA | 2.56620949074074 | NA |
| 3 | 63.69 | NA | NA | 2.0442650462963 | NA |
| 4 | 63.69 | NA | NA | 1.34662615740741 | NA |
| 5 | 63.69 | NA | NA | 0.495653935185185 | NA |
| 6 | 63.69 | NA | NA | -0.0169849537037015 | NA |
| 7 | 63.69 | 63.489056712963 | 64.1925 | -0.703443287037036 | 0.200943287037049 |
| 8 | 63.69 | 63.2196122685185 | 64.3041666666666 | -1.08455439814814 | 0.470387731481495 |
| 9 | 65.03 | 63.025167824074 | 64.4158333333333 | -1.39066550925926 | 2.00483217592596 |
| 10 | 65.03 | 62.939056712963 | 64.5275 | -1.58844328703704 | 2.09094328703705 |
| 11 | 65.03 | 62.5212789351852 | 64.6391666666667 | -2.11788773148149 | 2.50872106481484 |
| 12 | 65.03 | 62.1035011574074 | 64.7508333333333 | -2.64733217592593 | 2.92649884259259 |
| 13 | 65.03 | 67.959056712963 | 64.8625 | 3.09655671296296 | -2.92905671296296 |
| 14 | 65.03 | 67.5403761574074 | 64.9741666666667 | 2.56620949074074 | -2.51037615740741 |
| 15 | 65.03 | 67.0742650462963 | 65.03 | 2.0442650462963 | -2.0442650462963 |
| 16 | 65.03 | 66.3766261574074 | 65.03 | 1.34662615740741 | -1.34662615740741 |
| 17 | 65.03 | 65.5256539351852 | 65.03 | 0.495653935185185 | -0.495653935185189 |
| 18 | 65.03 | 65.0130150462963 | 65.03 | -0.0169849537037015 | 0.0169849537036981 |
| 19 | 65.03 | 65.8319733796296 | 66.5354166666667 | -0.703443287037036 | -0.801973379629644 |
| 20 | 65.03 | 68.4616956018519 | 69.54625 | -1.08455439814814 | -3.43169560185186 |
| 21 | 65.03 | 71.1664178240741 | 72.5570833333333 | -1.39066550925926 | -6.13641782407407 |
| 22 | 65.03 | 73.9794733796296 | 75.5679166666667 | -1.58844328703704 | -8.94947337962964 |
| 23 | 65.03 | 76.4608622685185 | 78.57875 | -2.11788773148149 | -11.4308622685185 |
| 24 | 65.03 | 78.9422511574074 | 81.5895833333333 | -2.64733217592593 | -13.9122511574074 |
| 25 | 101.16 | 87.6969733796296 | 84.6004166666667 | 3.09655671296296 | 13.4630266203704 |
| 26 | 101.16 | 90.1774594907407 | 87.61125 | 2.56620949074074 | 10.9825405092593 |
| 27 | 101.16 | 92.6663483796296 | 90.6220833333333 | 2.0442650462963 | 8.49365162037036 |
| 28 | 101.16 | 94.9816261574074 | 93.635 | 1.34662615740741 | 6.17837384259259 |
| 29 | 101.16 | 97.1456539351852 | 96.65 | 0.495653935185185 | 4.0143460648148 |
| 30 | 101.16 | 99.6480150462963 | 99.665 | -0.0169849537037015 | 1.51198495370369 |
| 31 | 101.16 | 100.552390046296 | 101.255833333333 | -0.703443287037036 | 0.607609953703673 |
| 32 | 101.16 | 100.337945601852 | 101.4225 | -1.08455439814814 | 0.822054398148126 |
| 33 | 101.16 | 100.198501157407 | 101.589166666667 | -1.39066550925926 | 0.961498842592562 |
| 34 | 101.21 | 100.167390046296 | 101.755833333333 | -1.58844328703704 | 1.04260995370367 |
| 35 | 101.21 | 99.7200289351852 | 101.837916666667 | -2.11788773148149 | 1.48997106481478 |
| 36 | 101.21 | 99.1880844907407 | 101.835416666667 | -2.64733217592593 | 2.02191550925924 |
| 37 | 103.16 | 104.90447337963 | 101.807916666667 | 3.09655671296296 | -1.74447337962964 |
| 38 | 103.16 | 104.321626157407 | 101.755416666667 | 2.56620949074074 | -1.16162615740741 |
| 39 | 103.16 | 103.747181712963 | 101.702916666667 | 2.0442650462963 | -0.587181712962973 |
| 40 | 103.16 | 102.994959490741 | 101.648333333333 | 1.34662615740741 | 0.165040509259271 |
| 41 | 101.13 | 102.087320601852 | 101.591666666667 | 0.495653935185185 | -0.957320601851848 |
| 42 | 101.13 | 101.518015046296 | 101.535 | -0.0169849537037015 | -0.388015046296289 |
| 43 | 100.53 | 100.693640046296 | 101.397083333333 | -0.703443287037036 | -0.16364004629628 |
| 44 | 100.53 | 100.093362268519 | 101.177916666667 | -1.08455439814814 | 0.436637731481497 |
| 45 | 100.53 | 99.5680844907407 | 100.95875 | -1.39066550925926 | 0.961915509259285 |
| 46 | 100.53 | 99.1048900462963 | 100.693333333333 | -1.58844328703704 | 1.42510995370372 |
| 47 | 100.53 | 98.3483622685185 | 100.46625 | -2.11788773148149 | 2.1816377314815 |
| 48 | 100.53 | 97.676417824074 | 100.32375 | -2.64733217592593 | 2.85358217592594 |
| 49 | 100.53 | 103.302806712963 | 100.20625 | 3.09655671296296 | -2.77280671296295 |
| 50 | 100.53 | 102.717042824074 | 100.150833333333 | 2.56620949074074 | -2.18704282407407 |
| 51 | 100.53 | 102.176765046296 | 100.1325 | 2.0442650462963 | -1.64676504629628 |
| 52 | 99.42 | 101.541626157407 | 100.195 | 1.34662615740741 | -2.12162615740738 |
| 53 | 99.42 | 100.833987268518 | 100.338333333333 | 0.495653935185185 | -1.4139872685185 |
| 54 | 99.42 | 100.464681712963 | 100.481666666667 | -0.0169849537037015 | -1.04468171296294 |
| 55 | 99.42 | 99.9032233796296 | 100.606666666667 | -0.703443287037036 | -0.483223379629607 |
| 56 | 100.31 | 99.6287789351852 | 100.713333333333 | -1.08455439814814 | 0.681221064814835 |
| 57 | 100.31 | 99.4293344907407 | 100.82 | -1.39066550925926 | 0.880665509259288 |
| 58 | 102.25 | 99.3844733796296 | 100.972916666667 | -1.58844328703704 | 2.86552662037039 |
| 59 | 102.25 | 99.0541956018518 | 101.172083333333 | -2.11788773148149 | 3.19580439814817 |
| 60 | 102.25 | 98.723917824074 | 101.37125 | -2.64733217592593 | 3.52608217592594 |
| 61 | 101.81 | 104.66697337963 | 101.570416666667 | 3.09655671296296 | -2.85697337962962 |
| 62 | 101.81 | 104.298709490741 | 101.7325 | 2.56620949074074 | -2.48870949074073 |
| 63 | 101.81 | 103.901765046296 | 101.8575 | 2.0442650462963 | -2.09176504629629 |
| 64 | 101.81 | 103.248292824074 | 101.901666666667 | 1.34662615740741 | -1.43829282407407 |
| 65 | 101.81 | 102.360653935185 | 101.865 | 0.495653935185185 | -0.550653935185196 |
| 66 | 101.81 | 101.81134837963 | 101.828333333333 | -0.0169849537037015 | -0.00134837962964696 |
| 67 | 101.81 | 101.106556712963 | 101.81 | -0.703443287037036 | 0.703443287037032 |
| 68 | 101.81 | 100.725445601852 | 101.81 | -1.08455439814814 | 1.08455439814814 |
| 69 | 101.81 | 100.419334490741 | 101.81 | -1.39066550925926 | 1.39066550925926 |
| 70 | 101.81 | 100.221556712963 | 101.81 | -1.58844328703704 | 1.58844328703704 |
| 71 | 101.81 | 99.6921122685185 | 101.81 | -2.11788773148149 | 2.11788773148149 |
| 72 | 101.81 | 99.162667824074 | 101.81 | -2.64733217592593 | 2.64733217592592 |
| 73 | 101.81 | 104.906556712963 | 101.81 | 3.09655671296296 | -3.09655671296296 |
| 74 | 101.81 | 104.381626157407 | 101.815416666667 | 2.56620949074074 | -2.57162615740741 |
| 75 | 101.81 | 103.870515046296 | 101.82625 | 2.0442650462963 | -2.06051504629629 |
| 76 | 101.81 | 103.183709490741 | 101.837083333333 | 1.34662615740741 | -1.37370949074074 |
| 77 | 101.81 | 102.343570601852 | 101.847916666667 | 0.495653935185185 | -0.533570601851849 |
| 78 | 101.81 | 101.841765046296 | 101.85875 | -0.0169849537037015 | -0.031765046296286 |
| 79 | 101.81 | NA | NA | -0.703443287037036 | NA |
| 80 | 101.94 | NA | NA | -1.08455439814814 | NA |
| 81 | 101.94 | NA | NA | -1.39066550925926 | NA |
| 82 | 101.94 | NA | NA | -1.58844328703704 | NA |
| 83 | 101.94 | NA | NA | -2.11788773148149 | NA |
| 84 | 101.94 | NA | NA | -2.64733217592593 | NA |
