Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8544 |
R-squared | 0.73 |
RMSE | 30614.3851 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 127476 | 90379 | 37097 |
2 | 130358 | 160563 | -30205 |
3 | 7215 | 4401.36363636364 | 2813.63636363636 |
4 | 112861 | 116200.327868852 | -3339.32786885246 |
5 | 210171 | 160563 | 49608 |
6 | 393802 | 223837.25 | 169964.75 |
7 | 117604 | 116200.327868852 | 1403.67213114754 |
8 | 126029 | 116200.327868852 | 9828.67213114754 |
9 | 99729 | 116200.327868852 | -16471.3278688525 |
10 | 256310 | 223837.25 | 32472.75 |
11 | 113066 | 116200.327868852 | -3134.32786885246 |
12 | 156212 | 160563 | -4351 |
13 | 69952 | 90379 | -20427 |
14 | 152673 | 116200.327868852 | 36472.6721311475 |
15 | 125841 | 116200.327868852 | 9640.67213114754 |
16 | 125769 | 116200.327868852 | 9568.67213114754 |
17 | 123467 | 160563 | -37096 |
18 | 56232 | 49909.6363636364 | 6322.36363636364 |
19 | 108244 | 116200.327868852 | -7956.32786885246 |
20 | 22762 | 49909.6363636364 | -27147.6363636364 |
21 | 48554 | 49909.6363636364 | -1355.63636363636 |
22 | 178697 | 223837.25 | -45140.25 |
23 | 139115 | 90379 | 48736 |
24 | 93773 | 90379 | 3394 |
25 | 133398 | 116200.327868852 | 17197.6721311475 |
26 | 113933 | 116200.327868852 | -2267.32786885246 |
27 | 144781 | 116200.327868852 | 28580.6721311475 |
28 | 140711 | 223837.25 | -83126.25 |
29 | 283337 | 223837.25 | 59499.75 |
30 | 158146 | 160563 | -2417 |
31 | 123344 | 116200.327868852 | 7143.67213114754 |
32 | 157640 | 160563 | -2923 |
33 | 91279 | 90379 | 900 |
34 | 189374 | 90379 | 98995 |
35 | 167915 | 160563 | 7352 |
36 | 0 | 4401.36363636364 | -4401.36363636364 |
37 | 175403 | 116200.327868852 | 59202.6721311475 |
38 | 92342 | 90379 | 1963 |
39 | 100023 | 116200.327868852 | -16177.3278688525 |
40 | 178277 | 223837.25 | -45560.25 |
41 | 145062 | 116200.327868852 | 28861.6721311475 |
42 | 110980 | 116200.327868852 | -5220.32786885246 |
43 | 86039 | 116200.327868852 | -30161.3278688525 |
44 | 120821 | 116200.327868852 | 4620.67213114754 |
45 | 95535 | 116200.327868852 | -20665.3278688525 |
46 | 109894 | 116200.327868852 | -6306.32786885246 |
47 | 61554 | 49909.6363636364 | 11644.3636363636 |
48 | 156520 | 116200.327868852 | 40319.6721311475 |
49 | 159121 | 160563 | -1442 |
50 | 129362 | 116200.327868852 | 13161.6721311475 |
51 | 48188 | 49909.6363636364 | -1721.63636363636 |
52 | 91198 | 90379 | 819 |
53 | 229864 | 223837.25 | 6026.75 |
54 | 180317 | 116200.327868852 | 64116.6721311475 |
55 | 150640 | 160563 | -9923 |
56 | 104416 | 116200.327868852 | -11784.3278688525 |
57 | 165098 | 116200.327868852 | 48897.6721311475 |
58 | 63205 | 90379 | -27174 |
59 | 100056 | 116200.327868852 | -16144.3278688525 |
60 | 137214 | 90379 | 46835 |
61 | 99630 | 116200.327868852 | -16570.3278688525 |
62 | 84557 | 116200.327868852 | -31643.3278688525 |
63 | 91199 | 116200.327868852 | -25001.3278688525 |
64 | 83419 | 116200.327868852 | -32781.3278688525 |
65 | 101723 | 116200.327868852 | -14477.3278688525 |
66 | 94982 | 116200.327868852 | -21218.3278688525 |
67 | 129700 | 223837.25 | -94137.25 |
68 | 110708 | 116200.327868852 | -5492.32786885246 |
69 | 81518 | 116200.327868852 | -34682.3278688525 |
70 | 31970 | 49909.6363636364 | -17939.6363636364 |
71 | 192268 | 160563 | 31705 |
72 | 87611 | 116200.327868852 | -28589.3278688525 |
73 | 77890 | 116200.327868852 | -38310.3278688525 |
74 | 83261 | 90379 | -7118 |
75 | 116290 | 116200.327868852 | 89.6721311475412 |
76 | 56544 | 49909.6363636364 | 6634.36363636364 |
77 | 116173 | 116200.327868852 | -27.3278688524588 |
78 | 111488 | 160563 | -49075 |
79 | 60138 | 49909.6363636364 | 10228.3636363636 |
80 | 73422 | 90379 | -16957 |
81 | 67751 | 90379 | -22628 |
82 | 213351 | 116200.327868852 | 97150.6721311475 |
83 | 51185 | 33261.2 | 17923.8 |
84 | 97181 | 116200.327868852 | -19019.3278688525 |
85 | 45100 | 49909.6363636364 | -4809.63636363636 |
86 | 115801 | 116200.327868852 | -399.327868852459 |
87 | 185664 | 160563 | 25101 |
88 | 71960 | 90379 | -18419 |
89 | 76441 | 90379 | -13938 |
90 | 103613 | 116200.327868852 | -12587.3278688525 |
91 | 98707 | 116200.327868852 | -17493.3278688525 |
92 | 126527 | 116200.327868852 | 10326.6721311475 |
93 | 136781 | 116200.327868852 | 20580.6721311475 |
94 | 105863 | 90379 | 15484 |
95 | 38775 | 33261.2 | 5513.8 |
96 | 179984 | 160563 | 19421 |
97 | 164808 | 160563 | 4245 |
98 | 19349 | 33261.2 | -13912.2 |
99 | 146824 | 116200.327868852 | 30623.6721311475 |
100 | 108660 | 116200.327868852 | -7540.32786885246 |
101 | 43803 | 33261.2 | 10541.8 |
102 | 47062 | 90379 | -43317 |
103 | 110845 | 90379 | 20466 |
104 | 92517 | 116200.327868852 | -23683.3278688525 |
105 | 58660 | 90379 | -31719 |
106 | 27676 | 33261.2 | -5585.2 |
107 | 98550 | 116200.327868852 | -17650.3278688525 |
108 | 43284 | 33261.2 | 10022.8 |
109 | 0 | 4401.36363636364 | -4401.36363636364 |
110 | 66016 | 90379 | -24363 |
111 | 57359 | 90379 | -33020 |
112 | 96933 | 116200.327868852 | -19267.3278688525 |
113 | 70369 | 116200.327868852 | -45831.3278688525 |
114 | 65494 | 90379 | -24885 |
115 | 3616 | 4401.36363636364 | -785.363636363636 |
116 | 0 | 4401.36363636364 | -4401.36363636364 |
117 | 143931 | 116200.327868852 | 27730.6721311475 |
118 | 109894 | 116200.327868852 | -6306.32786885246 |
119 | 122973 | 116200.327868852 | 6772.67213114754 |
120 | 84336 | 90379 | -6043 |
121 | 43410 | 33261.2 | 10148.8 |
122 | 136250 | 116200.327868852 | 20049.6721311475 |
123 | 79015 | 90379 | -11364 |
124 | 92937 | 90379 | 2558 |
125 | 57586 | 49909.6363636364 | 7676.36363636364 |
126 | 19764 | 33261.2 | -13497.2 |
127 | 105757 | 116200.327868852 | -10443.3278688525 |
128 | 96410 | 90379 | 6031 |
129 | 113402 | 90379 | 23023 |
130 | 11796 | 4401.36363636364 | 7394.63636363636 |
131 | 7627 | 4401.36363636364 | 3225.63636363636 |
132 | 121085 | 116200.327868852 | 4884.67213114754 |
133 | 6836 | 4401.36363636364 | 2434.63636363636 |
134 | 139563 | 116200.327868852 | 23362.6721311475 |
135 | 5118 | 33261.2 | -28143.2 |
136 | 40248 | 33261.2 | 6986.8 |
137 | 0 | 4401.36363636364 | -4401.36363636364 |
138 | 95079 | 90379 | 4700 |
139 | 80750 | 90379 | -9629 |
140 | 7131 | 4401.36363636364 | 2729.63636363636 |
141 | 4194 | 4401.36363636364 | -207.363636363636 |
142 | 60378 | 49909.6363636364 | 10468.3636363636 |
143 | 96971 | 116200.327868852 | -19229.3278688525 |
144 | 83484 | 116200.327868852 | -32716.3278688525 |