Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9452 |
R-squared | 0.8933 |
RMSE | 34839.0388 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 269966 | 290110.3125 | -20144.3125 |
2 | 146082 | 104493.928571429 | 41588.0714285714 |
3 | 214542 | 191246.928571429 | 23295.0714285714 |
4 | 212452 | 219248.375 | -6796.375 |
5 | 157206 | 104493.928571429 | 52712.0714285714 |
6 | 70849 | 104493.928571429 | -33644.9285714286 |
7 | 476347 | 370981.944444444 | 105365.055555556 |
8 | 33186 | 32384.8181818182 | 801.18181818182 |
9 | 201983 | 219248.375 | -17265.375 |
10 | 211698 | 191246.928571429 | 20451.0714285714 |
11 | 292874 | 290110.3125 | 2763.6875 |
12 | 223814 | 219248.375 | 4565.625 |
13 | 156623 | 160551.95 | -3928.95000000001 |
14 | 327332 | 292011.842105263 | 35320.1578947369 |
15 | 205898 | 191246.928571429 | 14651.0714285714 |
16 | 369527 | 370981.944444444 | -1454.94444444444 |
17 | 290571 | 290110.3125 | 460.6875 |
18 | 292903 | 292011.842105263 | 891.157894736854 |
19 | 168639 | 191246.928571429 | -22607.9285714286 |
20 | 253641 | 240646.789473684 | 12994.2105263158 |
21 | 269240 | 240646.789473684 | 28593.2105263158 |
22 | 414808 | 370981.944444444 | 43826.0555555556 |
23 | 161910 | 191246.928571429 | -29336.9285714286 |
24 | 178722 | 191246.928571429 | -12524.9285714286 |
25 | 200181 | 292011.842105263 | -91830.8421052631 |
26 | 203700 | 219248.375 | -15548.375 |
27 | 267099 | 292011.842105263 | -24912.8421052631 |
28 | 262716 | 240646.789473684 | 22069.2105263158 |
29 | 155915 | 160551.95 | -4636.95000000001 |
30 | 324641 | 292011.842105263 | 32629.1578947369 |
31 | 261785 | 290110.3125 | -28325.3125 |
32 | 192626 | 191246.928571429 | 1379.07142857142 |
33 | 318563 | 290110.3125 | 28452.6875 |
34 | 97615 | 104493.928571429 | -6878.92857142857 |
35 | 343613 | 292011.842105263 | 51601.1578947369 |
36 | 272026 | 370981.944444444 | -98955.9444444444 |
37 | 408580 | 370981.944444444 | 37598.0555555556 |
38 | 206904 | 191246.928571429 | 15657.0714285714 |
39 | 115469 | 104493.928571429 | 10975.0714285714 |
40 | 310587 | 292011.842105263 | 18575.1578947369 |
41 | 315746 | 370981.944444444 | -55235.9444444444 |
42 | 157897 | 160551.95 | -2654.95000000001 |
43 | 192883 | 240646.789473684 | -47763.7894736842 |
44 | 165876 | 160551.95 | 5324.04999999999 |
45 | 153778 | 219248.375 | -65470.375 |
46 | 414493 | 370981.944444444 | 43511.0555555556 |
47 | 78800 | 104493.928571429 | -25693.9285714286 |
48 | 207958 | 219248.375 | -11290.375 |
49 | 323118 | 370981.944444444 | -47863.9444444444 |
50 | 175523 | 219248.375 | -43725.375 |
51 | 213050 | 240646.789473684 | -27596.7894736842 |
52 | 24188 | 32384.8181818182 | -8196.81818181818 |
53 | 364968 | 290110.3125 | 74857.6875 |
54 | 65029 | 104493.928571429 | -39464.9285714286 |
55 | 101097 | 104493.928571429 | -3396.92857142857 |
56 | 263096 | 292011.842105263 | -28915.8421052631 |
57 | 302012 | 290110.3125 | 11901.6875 |
58 | 315753 | 292011.842105263 | 23741.1578947369 |
59 | 300531 | 290110.3125 | 10420.6875 |
60 | 240445 | 219248.375 | 21196.625 |
61 | 360325 | 370981.944444444 | -10656.9444444444 |
62 | 296186 | 292011.842105263 | 4174.15789473685 |
63 | 210104 | 219248.375 | -9144.375 |
64 | 247076 | 240646.789473684 | 6429.21052631579 |
65 | 220722 | 240646.789473684 | -19924.7894736842 |
66 | 216027 | 240646.789473684 | -24619.7894736842 |
67 | 187773 | 191246.928571429 | -3473.92857142858 |
68 | 227055 | 240646.789473684 | -13591.7894736842 |
69 | 229181 | 219248.375 | 9932.625 |
70 | 159082 | 160551.95 | -1469.95000000001 |
71 | 232624 | 219248.375 | 13375.625 |
72 | 73566 | 104493.928571429 | -30927.9285714286 |
73 | 231827 | 219248.375 | 12578.625 |
74 | 181728 | 160551.95 | 21176.05 |
75 | 162366 | 160551.95 | 1814.04999999999 |
76 | 329583 | 219248.375 | 110334.625 |
77 | 303317 | 290110.3125 | 13206.6875 |
78 | 205630 | 290110.3125 | -84480.3125 |
79 | 184970 | 219248.375 | -34278.375 |
80 | 168990 | 160551.95 | 8438.04999999999 |
81 | 151231 | 160551.95 | -9320.95000000001 |
82 | 421615 | 370981.944444444 | 50633.0555555556 |
83 | 145916 | 160551.95 | -14635.95 |
84 | 270487 | 240646.789473684 | 29840.2105263158 |
85 | 80953 | 104493.928571429 | -23540.9285714286 |
86 | 139193 | 160551.95 | -21358.95 |
87 | 146777 | 104493.928571429 | 42283.0714285714 |
88 | 335969 | 370981.944444444 | -35012.9444444444 |
89 | 297676 | 290110.3125 | 7565.6875 |
90 | 175232 | 292011.842105263 | -116779.842105263 |
91 | 238938 | 219248.375 | 19689.625 |
92 | 228459 | 219248.375 | 9210.625 |
93 | 175244 | 160551.95 | 14692.05 |
94 | 256299 | 292011.842105263 | -35712.8421052631 |
95 | 288728 | 240646.789473684 | 48081.2105263158 |
96 | 189252 | 191246.928571429 | -1994.92857142858 |
97 | 222324 | 240646.789473684 | -18322.7894736842 |
98 | 277755 | 290110.3125 | -12355.3125 |
99 | 364710 | 370981.944444444 | -6271.94444444444 |
100 | 392346 | 370981.944444444 | 21364.0555555556 |
101 | 260478 | 219248.375 | 41229.625 |
102 | 273240 | 290110.3125 | -16870.3125 |
103 | 186310 | 219248.375 | -32938.375 |
104 | 43287 | 32384.8181818182 | 10902.1818181818 |
105 | 185181 | 219248.375 | -34067.375 |
106 | 202989 | 240646.789473684 | -37657.7894736842 |
107 | 259498 | 240646.789473684 | 18851.2105263158 |
108 | 295230 | 240646.789473684 | 54583.2105263158 |
109 | 114156 | 104493.928571429 | 9662.07142857143 |
110 | 151624 | 292011.842105263 | -140387.842105263 |
111 | 306941 | 290110.3125 | 16830.6875 |
112 | 289398 | 219248.375 | 70149.625 |
113 | 23623 | 32384.8181818182 | -8761.81818181818 |
114 | 174970 | 191246.928571429 | -16276.9285714286 |
115 | 61857 | 32384.8181818182 | 29472.1818181818 |
116 | 163766 | 160551.95 | 3214.04999999999 |
117 | 364027 | 292011.842105263 | 72015.1578947369 |
118 | 21054 | 32384.8181818182 | -11330.8181818182 |
119 | 252805 | 240646.789473684 | 12158.2105263158 |
120 | 31929 | 32384.8181818182 | -455.81818181818 |
121 | 294609 | 370981.944444444 | -76372.9444444444 |
122 | 217893 | 219248.375 | -1355.375 |
123 | 167612 | 160551.95 | 7060.04999999999 |
124 | 149905 | 160551.95 | -10646.95 |
125 | 38214 | 32384.8181818182 | 5829.18181818182 |
126 | 189451 | 160551.95 | 28899.05 |
127 | 339683 | 292011.842105263 | 47671.1578947369 |
128 | 186627 | 191246.928571429 | -4619.92857142858 |
129 | 386918 | 370981.944444444 | 15936.0555555556 |
130 | 302392 | 290110.3125 | 12281.6875 |
131 | 384345 | 292011.842105263 | 92333.1578947369 |
132 | 187992 | 191246.928571429 | -3254.92857142858 |
133 | 102424 | 104493.928571429 | -2069.92857142857 |
134 | 281117 | 292011.842105263 | -10894.8421052631 |
135 | 399991 | 370981.944444444 | 29009.0555555556 |
136 | 131692 | 160551.95 | -28859.95 |
137 | 371090 | 370981.944444444 | 108.055555555562 |
138 | 157429 | 160551.95 | -3122.95000000001 |
139 | 236370 | 240646.789473684 | -4276.78947368421 |
140 | 227299 | 219248.375 | 8050.625 |
141 | 209904 | 191246.928571429 | 18657.0714285714 |
142 | 355457 | 370981.944444444 | -15524.9444444444 |
143 | 230883 | 240646.789473684 | -9763.78947368421 |
144 | 173260 | 219248.375 | -45988.375 |
145 | 306577 | 292011.842105263 | 14565.1578947369 |
146 | 141789 | 160551.95 | -18762.95 |
147 | 210565 | 240646.789473684 | -30081.7894736842 |
148 | 273544 | 290110.3125 | -16566.3125 |
149 | 1 | 991.666666666667 | -990.666666666667 |
150 | 14688 | 32384.8181818182 | -17696.8181818182 |
151 | 98 | 991.666666666667 | -893.666666666667 |
152 | 455 | 991.666666666667 | -536.666666666667 |
153 | 0 | 991.666666666667 | -991.666666666667 |
154 | 0 | 991.666666666667 | -991.666666666667 |
155 | 216803 | 219248.375 | -2445.375 |
156 | 347930 | 292011.842105263 | 55918.1578947369 |
157 | 0 | 991.666666666667 | -991.666666666667 |
158 | 203 | 991.666666666667 | -788.666666666667 |
159 | 7199 | 991.666666666667 | 6207.33333333333 |
160 | 46660 | 32384.8181818182 | 14275.1818181818 |
161 | 17547 | 32384.8181818182 | -14837.8181818182 |
162 | 112892 | 104493.928571429 | 8398.07142857143 |
163 | 969 | 991.666666666667 | -22.6666666666666 |
164 | 189334 | 160551.95 | 28782.05 |