Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9374 |
R-squared | 0.8787 |
RMSE | 28632.2135 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 158408.026315789 | 52498.9736842105 |
2 | 120982 | 123920.888888889 | -2938.88888888889 |
3 | 176508 | 158408.026315789 | 18099.9736842105 |
4 | 179321 | 224956.465517241 | -45635.4655172414 |
5 | 123185 | 106213.625 | 16971.375 |
6 | 52746 | 39424.1333333333 | 13321.8666666667 |
7 | 385534 | 322592.294117647 | 62941.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 19387.4 | 13782.6 |
9 | 101645 | 82620.2978723404 | 19024.7021276596 |
10 | 149061 | 158408.026315789 | -9347.02631578947 |
11 | 165446 | 158408.026315789 | 7037.97368421053 |
12 | 237213 | 224956.465517241 | 12256.5344827586 |
13 | 173326 | 158408.026315789 | 14917.9736842105 |
14 | 133131 | 158408.026315789 | -25277.0263157895 |
15 | 258873 | 224956.465517241 | 33916.5344827586 |
16 | 180083 | 158408.026315789 | 21674.9736842105 |
17 | 324799 | 322592.294117647 | 2206.70588235295 |
18 | 230964 | 224956.465517241 | 6007.53448275861 |
19 | 236785 | 224956.465517241 | 11828.5344827586 |
20 | 135473 | 106213.625 | 29259.375 |
21 | 202925 | 224956.465517241 | -22031.4655172414 |
22 | 215147 | 224956.465517241 | -9809.46551724139 |
23 | 344297 | 224956.465517241 | 119340.534482759 |
24 | 153935 | 113780.1875 | 40154.8125 |
25 | 132943 | 158408.026315789 | -25465.0263157895 |
26 | 174724 | 224956.465517241 | -50232.4655172414 |
27 | 174415 | 224956.465517241 | -50541.4655172414 |
28 | 225548 | 224956.465517241 | 591.534482758609 |
29 | 223632 | 224956.465517241 | -1324.46551724139 |
30 | 124817 | 158408.026315789 | -33591.0263157895 |
31 | 221698 | 224956.465517241 | -3258.46551724139 |
32 | 210767 | 224956.465517241 | -14189.4655172414 |
33 | 170266 | 158408.026315789 | 11857.9736842105 |
34 | 260561 | 224956.465517241 | 35604.5344827586 |
35 | 84853 | 123920.888888889 | -39067.8888888889 |
36 | 294424 | 322592.294117647 | -28168.294117647 |
37 | 101011 | 82620.2978723404 | 18390.7021276596 |
38 | 215641 | 224956.465517241 | -9315.46551724139 |
39 | 325107 | 224956.465517241 | 100150.534482759 |
40 | 7176 | 19387.4 | -12211.4 |
41 | 167542 | 158408.026315789 | 9133.97368421053 |
42 | 106408 | 82620.2978723404 | 23787.7021276596 |
43 | 96560 | 153513.315789474 | -56953.3157894737 |
44 | 265769 | 224956.465517241 | 40812.5344827586 |
45 | 269651 | 322592.294117647 | -52941.294117647 |
46 | 149112 | 158408.026315789 | -9296.02631578947 |
47 | 175824 | 153513.315789474 | 22310.6842105263 |
48 | 152871 | 158408.026315789 | -5537.02631578947 |
49 | 111665 | 123920.888888889 | -12255.8888888889 |
50 | 116408 | 153513.315789474 | -37105.3157894737 |
51 | 362301 | 322592.294117647 | 39708.705882353 |
52 | 78800 | 82620.2978723404 | -3820.29787234042 |
53 | 183167 | 224956.465517241 | -41789.4655172414 |
54 | 277965 | 322592.294117647 | -44627.294117647 |
55 | 150629 | 224956.465517241 | -74327.4655172414 |
56 | 168809 | 158408.026315789 | 10400.9736842105 |
57 | 24188 | 39424.1333333333 | -15236.1333333333 |
58 | 329267 | 224956.465517241 | 104310.534482759 |
59 | 65029 | 60147 | 4882 |
60 | 101097 | 82620.2978723404 | 18476.7021276596 |
61 | 218946 | 224956.465517241 | -6010.46551724139 |
62 | 244052 | 224956.465517241 | 19095.5344827586 |
63 | 341570 | 322592.294117647 | 18977.705882353 |
64 | 103597 | 82620.2978723404 | 20976.7021276596 |
65 | 233328 | 224956.465517241 | 8371.53448275861 |
66 | 256462 | 224956.465517241 | 31505.5344827586 |
67 | 206161 | 224956.465517241 | -18795.4655172414 |
68 | 311473 | 322592.294117647 | -11119.294117647 |
69 | 235800 | 153513.315789474 | 82286.6842105263 |
70 | 177939 | 224956.465517241 | -47017.4655172414 |
71 | 207176 | 224956.465517241 | -17780.4655172414 |
72 | 196553 | 158408.026315789 | 38144.9736842105 |
73 | 174184 | 158408.026315789 | 15775.9736842105 |
74 | 143246 | 158408.026315789 | -15162.0263157895 |
75 | 187559 | 224956.465517241 | -37397.4655172414 |
76 | 187681 | 224956.465517241 | -37275.4655172414 |
77 | 119016 | 113780.1875 | 5235.8125 |
78 | 182192 | 224956.465517241 | -42764.4655172414 |
79 | 73566 | 82620.2978723404 | -9054.29787234042 |
80 | 194979 | 224956.465517241 | -29977.4655172414 |
81 | 167488 | 158408.026315789 | 9079.97368421053 |
82 | 143756 | 158408.026315789 | -14652.0263157895 |
83 | 275541 | 224956.465517241 | 50584.5344827586 |
84 | 243199 | 224956.465517241 | 18242.5344827586 |
85 | 182999 | 158408.026315789 | 24590.9736842105 |
86 | 135649 | 158408.026315789 | -22759.0263157895 |
87 | 152299 | 158408.026315789 | -6109.02631578947 |
88 | 120221 | 113780.1875 | 6440.8125 |
89 | 346485 | 322592.294117647 | 23892.705882353 |
90 | 145790 | 158408.026315789 | -12618.0263157895 |
91 | 193339 | 153513.315789474 | 39825.6842105263 |
92 | 80953 | 106213.625 | -25260.625 |
93 | 122774 | 153513.315789474 | -30739.3157894737 |
94 | 130585 | 123920.888888889 | 6664.11111111111 |
95 | 112611 | 106213.625 | 6397.375 |
96 | 286468 | 322592.294117647 | -36124.294117647 |
97 | 241066 | 224956.465517241 | 16109.5344827586 |
98 | 148446 | 224956.465517241 | -76510.4655172414 |
99 | 204713 | 224956.465517241 | -20243.4655172414 |
100 | 182079 | 224956.465517241 | -42877.4655172414 |
101 | 140344 | 158408.026315789 | -18064.0263157895 |
102 | 220516 | 224956.465517241 | -4440.46551724139 |
103 | 243060 | 224956.465517241 | 18103.5344827586 |
104 | 162765 | 158408.026315789 | 4356.97368421053 |
105 | 182613 | 158408.026315789 | 24204.9736842105 |
106 | 232138 | 224956.465517241 | 7181.53448275861 |
107 | 265318 | 224956.465517241 | 40361.5344827586 |
108 | 85574 | 113780.1875 | -28206.1875 |
109 | 310839 | 322592.294117647 | -11753.294117647 |
110 | 225060 | 224956.465517241 | 103.534482758609 |
111 | 232317 | 224956.465517241 | 7360.53448275861 |
112 | 144966 | 158408.026315789 | -13442.0263157895 |
113 | 43287 | 60147 | -16860 |
114 | 155754 | 153513.315789474 | 2240.68421052632 |
115 | 164709 | 158408.026315789 | 6300.97368421053 |
116 | 201940 | 224956.465517241 | -23016.4655172414 |
117 | 235454 | 224956.465517241 | 10497.5344827586 |
118 | 220801 | 153513.315789474 | 67287.6842105263 |
119 | 99466 | 82620.2978723404 | 16845.7021276596 |
120 | 92661 | 113780.1875 | -21119.1875 |
121 | 133328 | 113780.1875 | 19547.8125 |
122 | 61361 | 82620.2978723404 | -21259.2978723404 |
123 | 125930 | 153513.315789474 | -27583.3157894737 |
124 | 100750 | 158408.026315789 | -57658.0263157895 |
125 | 224549 | 158408.026315789 | 66140.9736842105 |
126 | 82316 | 82620.2978723404 | -304.297872340423 |
127 | 102010 | 82620.2978723404 | 19389.7021276596 |
128 | 101523 | 113780.1875 | -12257.1875 |
129 | 243511 | 224956.465517241 | 18554.5344827586 |
130 | 22938 | 19387.4 | 3550.6 |
131 | 41566 | 60147 | -18581 |
132 | 152474 | 158408.026315789 | -5934.02631578947 |
133 | 61857 | 39424.1333333333 | 22432.8666666667 |
134 | 99923 | 153513.315789474 | -53590.3157894737 |
135 | 132487 | 158408.026315789 | -25921.0263157895 |
136 | 317394 | 322592.294117647 | -5198.29411764705 |
137 | 21054 | 19387.4 | 1666.6 |
138 | 209641 | 153513.315789474 | 56127.6842105263 |
139 | 22648 | 60147 | -37499 |
140 | 31414 | 39424.1333333333 | -8010.13333333333 |
141 | 46698 | 60147 | -13449 |
142 | 131698 | 153513.315789474 | -21815.3157894737 |
143 | 91735 | 82620.2978723404 | 9114.70212765958 |
144 | 244749 | 224956.465517241 | 19792.5344827586 |
145 | 184510 | 158408.026315789 | 26101.9736842105 |
146 | 79863 | 113780.1875 | -33917.1875 |
147 | 128423 | 123920.888888889 | 4502.11111111111 |
148 | 97839 | 82620.2978723404 | 15218.7021276596 |
149 | 38214 | 39424.1333333333 | -1210.13333333333 |
150 | 151101 | 158408.026315789 | -7307.02631578947 |
151 | 272458 | 224956.465517241 | 47501.5344827586 |
152 | 172494 | 123920.888888889 | 48573.1111111111 |
153 | 108043 | 113780.1875 | -5737.1875 |
154 | 328107 | 322592.294117647 | 5514.70588235295 |
155 | 250579 | 224956.465517241 | 25622.5344827586 |
156 | 351067 | 322592.294117647 | 28474.705882353 |
157 | 158015 | 123920.888888889 | 34094.1111111111 |
158 | 98866 | 82620.2978723404 | 16245.7021276596 |
159 | 85439 | 82620.2978723404 | 2818.70212765958 |
160 | 229242 | 224956.465517241 | 4285.53448275861 |
161 | 351619 | 322592.294117647 | 29026.705882353 |
162 | 84207 | 123920.888888889 | -39713.8888888889 |
163 | 120445 | 113780.1875 | 6664.8125 |
164 | 324598 | 322592.294117647 | 2005.70588235295 |
165 | 131069 | 158408.026315789 | -27339.0263157895 |
166 | 204271 | 158408.026315789 | 45862.9736842105 |
167 | 165543 | 224956.465517241 | -59413.4655172414 |
168 | 141722 | 158408.026315789 | -16686.0263157895 |
169 | 116048 | 106213.625 | 9834.375 |
170 | 250047 | 153513.315789474 | 96533.6842105263 |
171 | 299775 | 322592.294117647 | -22817.294117647 |
172 | 195838 | 224956.465517241 | -29118.4655172414 |
173 | 173260 | 153513.315789474 | 19746.6842105263 |
174 | 254488 | 224956.465517241 | 29531.5344827586 |
175 | 104389 | 158408.026315789 | -54019.0263157895 |
176 | 136084 | 113780.1875 | 22303.8125 |
177 | 199476 | 224956.465517241 | -25480.4655172414 |
178 | 92499 | 82620.2978723404 | 9878.70212765958 |
179 | 224330 | 224956.465517241 | -626.465517241391 |
180 | 135781 | 113780.1875 | 22000.8125 |
181 | 74408 | 113780.1875 | -39372.1875 |
182 | 81240 | 113780.1875 | -32540.1875 |
183 | 14688 | 19387.4 | -4699.4 |
184 | 181633 | 224956.465517241 | -43323.4655172414 |
185 | 271856 | 224956.465517241 | 46899.5344827586 |
186 | 7199 | 19387.4 | -12188.4 |
187 | 46660 | 39424.1333333333 | 7235.86666666667 |
188 | 17547 | 19387.4 | -1840.4 |
189 | 133368 | 153513.315789474 | -20145.3157894737 |
190 | 95227 | 82620.2978723404 | 12606.7021276596 |
191 | 152601 | 113780.1875 | 38820.8125 |
192 | 98146 | 82620.2978723404 | 15525.7021276596 |
193 | 79619 | 113780.1875 | -34161.1875 |
194 | 59194 | 113780.1875 | -54586.1875 |
195 | 139942 | 113780.1875 | 26161.8125 |
196 | 118612 | 113780.1875 | 4831.8125 |
197 | 72880 | 82620.2978723404 | -9740.29787234042 |
198 | 65475 | 60147 | 5328 |
199 | 99643 | 113780.1875 | -14137.1875 |
200 | 71965 | 60147 | 11818 |
201 | 77272 | 60147 | 17125 |
202 | 49289 | 39424.1333333333 | 9864.86666666667 |
203 | 135131 | 113780.1875 | 21350.8125 |
204 | 108446 | 113780.1875 | -5334.1875 |
205 | 89746 | 113780.1875 | -24034.1875 |
206 | 44296 | 39424.1333333333 | 4871.86666666667 |
207 | 77648 | 82620.2978723404 | -4972.29787234042 |
208 | 181528 | 113780.1875 | 67747.8125 |
209 | 134019 | 113780.1875 | 20238.8125 |
210 | 124064 | 123920.888888889 | 143.111111111109 |
211 | 92630 | 82620.2978723404 | 10009.7021276596 |
212 | 121848 | 113780.1875 | 8067.8125 |
213 | 52915 | 60147 | -7232 |
214 | 81872 | 60147 | 21725 |
215 | 58981 | 82620.2978723404 | -23639.2978723404 |
216 | 53515 | 60147 | -6632 |
217 | 60812 | 82620.2978723404 | -21808.2978723404 |
218 | 56375 | 60147 | -3772 |
219 | 65490 | 60147 | 5343 |
220 | 80949 | 60147 | 20802 |
221 | 76302 | 82620.2978723404 | -6318.29787234042 |
222 | 104011 | 113780.1875 | -9769.1875 |
223 | 98104 | 153513.315789474 | -55409.3157894737 |
224 | 67989 | 60147 | 7842 |
225 | 30989 | 19387.4 | 11601.6 |
226 | 135458 | 153513.315789474 | -18055.3157894737 |
227 | 73504 | 60147 | 13357 |
228 | 63123 | 82620.2978723404 | -19497.2978723404 |
229 | 61254 | 82620.2978723404 | -21366.2978723404 |
230 | 74914 | 113780.1875 | -38866.1875 |
231 | 31774 | 60147 | -28373 |
232 | 81437 | 82620.2978723404 | -1183.29787234042 |
233 | 87186 | 113780.1875 | -26594.1875 |
234 | 50090 | 60147 | -10057 |
235 | 65745 | 82620.2978723404 | -16875.2978723404 |
236 | 56653 | 60147 | -3494 |
237 | 158399 | 113780.1875 | 44618.8125 |
238 | 46455 | 60147 | -13692 |
239 | 73624 | 82620.2978723404 | -8996.29787234042 |
240 | 38395 | 60147 | -21752 |
241 | 91899 | 82620.2978723404 | 9278.70212765958 |
242 | 139526 | 153513.315789474 | -13987.3157894737 |
243 | 52164 | 60147 | -7983 |
244 | 51567 | 60147 | -8580 |
245 | 70551 | 82620.2978723404 | -12069.2978723404 |
246 | 84856 | 82620.2978723404 | 2235.70212765958 |
247 | 102538 | 153513.315789474 | -50975.3157894737 |
248 | 86678 | 60147 | 26531 |
249 | 85709 | 82620.2978723404 | 3088.70212765958 |
250 | 34662 | 39424.1333333333 | -4762.13333333333 |
251 | 150580 | 113780.1875 | 36799.8125 |
252 | 99611 | 106213.625 | -6602.625 |
253 | 19349 | 19387.4 | -38.4000000000015 |
254 | 99373 | 82620.2978723404 | 16752.7021276596 |
255 | 86230 | 82620.2978723404 | 3609.70212765958 |
256 | 30837 | 39424.1333333333 | -8587.13333333333 |
257 | 31706 | 39424.1333333333 | -7718.13333333333 |
258 | 89806 | 82620.2978723404 | 7185.70212765958 |
259 | 62088 | 60147 | 1941 |
260 | 40151 | 39424.1333333333 | 726.866666666669 |
261 | 27634 | 39424.1333333333 | -11790.1333333333 |
262 | 76990 | 106213.625 | -29223.625 |
263 | 37460 | 39424.1333333333 | -1964.13333333333 |
264 | 54157 | 60147 | -5990 |
265 | 49862 | 60147 | -10285 |
266 | 84337 | 82620.2978723404 | 1716.70212765958 |
267 | 64175 | 82620.2978723404 | -18445.2978723404 |
268 | 59382 | 60147 | -765 |
269 | 119308 | 60147 | 59161 |
270 | 76702 | 82620.2978723404 | -5918.29787234042 |
271 | 103425 | 113780.1875 | -10355.1875 |
272 | 70344 | 60147 | 10197 |
273 | 43410 | 60147 | -16737 |
274 | 104838 | 106213.625 | -1375.625 |
275 | 62215 | 60147 | 2068 |
276 | 69304 | 82620.2978723404 | -13316.2978723404 |
277 | 53117 | 60147 | -7030 |
278 | 19764 | 19387.4 | 376.599999999999 |
279 | 86680 | 82620.2978723404 | 4059.70212765958 |
280 | 84105 | 60147 | 23958 |
281 | 77945 | 82620.2978723404 | -4675.29787234042 |
282 | 89113 | 82620.2978723404 | 6492.70212765958 |
283 | 91005 | 82620.2978723404 | 8384.70212765958 |
284 | 40248 | 39424.1333333333 | 823.866666666669 |
285 | 64187 | 60147 | 4040 |
286 | 50857 | 82620.2978723404 | -31763.2978723404 |
287 | 56613 | 82620.2978723404 | -26007.2978723404 |
288 | 62792 | 60147 | 2645 |
289 | 72535 | 82620.2978723404 | -10085.2978723404 |