Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8759 |
R-squared | 0.7671 |
RMSE | 28418.1625 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 127476 | 106450.3125 | 21025.6875 |
2 | 130358 | 148556.392857143 | -18198.3928571429 |
3 | 7215 | 6617.57142857143 | 597.428571428572 |
4 | 112861 | 124982.230769231 | -12121.2307692308 |
5 | 210171 | 210949.4 | -778.399999999994 |
6 | 393802 | 210949.4 | 182852.6 |
7 | 117604 | 148556.392857143 | -30952.3928571429 |
8 | 126029 | 148556.392857143 | -22527.3928571429 |
9 | 99729 | 106450.3125 | -6721.3125 |
10 | 256310 | 210949.4 | 45360.6 |
11 | 113066 | 124982.230769231 | -11916.2307692308 |
12 | 156212 | 148556.392857143 | 7655.60714285713 |
13 | 69952 | 106450.3125 | -36498.3125 |
14 | 152673 | 210949.4 | -58276.4 |
15 | 125841 | 106450.3125 | 19390.6875 |
16 | 125769 | 106450.3125 | 19318.6875 |
17 | 123467 | 148556.392857143 | -25089.3928571429 |
18 | 56232 | 44404 | 11828 |
19 | 108244 | 124982.230769231 | -16738.2307692308 |
20 | 22762 | 44404 | -21642 |
21 | 48554 | 44404 | 4150 |
22 | 178697 | 148556.392857143 | 30140.6071428571 |
23 | 139115 | 106450.3125 | 32664.6875 |
24 | 93773 | 106450.3125 | -12677.3125 |
25 | 132796 | 148556.392857143 | -15760.3928571429 |
26 | 113933 | 106450.3125 | 7482.6875 |
27 | 144781 | 148556.392857143 | -3775.39285714287 |
28 | 140711 | 148556.392857143 | -7845.39285714287 |
29 | 283337 | 210949.4 | 72387.6 |
30 | 158146 | 148556.392857143 | 9589.60714285713 |
31 | 123344 | 106450.3125 | 16893.6875 |
32 | 157640 | 148556.392857143 | 9083.60714285713 |
33 | 91279 | 124982.230769231 | -33703.2307692308 |
34 | 189374 | 210949.4 | -21575.4 |
35 | 167915 | 148556.392857143 | 19358.6071428571 |
36 | 0 | 6617.57142857143 | -6617.57142857143 |
37 | 175403 | 124982.230769231 | 50420.7692307692 |
38 | 92342 | 106450.3125 | -14108.3125 |
39 | 100023 | 106450.3125 | -6427.3125 |
40 | 178277 | 148556.392857143 | 29720.6071428571 |
41 | 145062 | 124982.230769231 | 20079.7692307692 |
42 | 110980 | 106450.3125 | 4529.6875 |
43 | 86039 | 93575.0588235294 | -7536.05882352941 |
44 | 119514 | 148556.392857143 | -29042.3928571429 |
45 | 95535 | 93575.0588235294 | 1959.94117647059 |
46 | 109894 | 93575.0588235294 | 16318.9411764706 |
47 | 61554 | 65591.75 | -4037.75 |
48 | 156520 | 124982.230769231 | 31537.7692307692 |
49 | 159121 | 148556.392857143 | 10564.6071428571 |
50 | 129362 | 124982.230769231 | 4379.76923076923 |
51 | 48188 | 44404 | 3784 |
52 | 91198 | 106450.3125 | -15252.3125 |
53 | 229864 | 148556.392857143 | 81307.6071428571 |
54 | 180317 | 148556.392857143 | 31760.6071428571 |
55 | 150640 | 148556.392857143 | 2083.60714285713 |
56 | 104416 | 106450.3125 | -2034.3125 |
57 | 159645 | 106450.3125 | 53194.6875 |
58 | 60368 | 65591.75 | -5223.75 |
59 | 100056 | 93575.0588235294 | 6480.94117647059 |
60 | 137214 | 210949.4 | -73735.4 |
61 | 99630 | 106450.3125 | -6820.3125 |
62 | 84557 | 124982.230769231 | -40425.2307692308 |
63 | 91199 | 106450.3125 | -15251.3125 |
64 | 83419 | 93575.0588235294 | -10156.0588235294 |
65 | 101723 | 93575.0588235294 | 8147.94117647059 |
66 | 94982 | 106450.3125 | -11468.3125 |
67 | 129700 | 148556.392857143 | -18856.3928571429 |
68 | 110708 | 210949.4 | -100241.4 |
69 | 81518 | 93575.0588235294 | -12057.0588235294 |
70 | 31970 | 44404 | -12434 |
71 | 192268 | 210949.4 | -18681.4 |
72 | 87611 | 93575.0588235294 | -5964.05882352941 |
73 | 77890 | 93575.0588235294 | -15685.0588235294 |
74 | 83261 | 106450.3125 | -23189.3125 |
75 | 116290 | 124982.230769231 | -8692.23076923077 |
76 | 55254 | 44404 | 10850 |
77 | 116173 | 106450.3125 | 9722.6875 |
78 | 111488 | 148556.392857143 | -37068.3928571429 |
79 | 60138 | 65591.75 | -5453.75 |
80 | 73422 | 106450.3125 | -33028.3125 |
81 | 67751 | 65591.75 | 2159.25 |
82 | 213351 | 148556.392857143 | 64794.6071428571 |
83 | 51185 | 65591.75 | -14406.75 |
84 | 97181 | 106450.3125 | -9269.3125 |
85 | 42311 | 44404 | -2093 |
86 | 115801 | 106450.3125 | 9350.6875 |
87 | 183637 | 210949.4 | -27312.4 |
88 | 68161 | 65591.75 | 2569.25 |
89 | 76441 | 65591.75 | 10849.25 |
90 | 103613 | 106450.3125 | -2837.3125 |
91 | 98707 | 148556.392857143 | -49849.3928571429 |
92 | 126527 | 148556.392857143 | -22029.3928571429 |
93 | 136781 | 148556.392857143 | -11775.3928571429 |
94 | 105863 | 106450.3125 | -587.3125 |
95 | 38775 | 65591.75 | -26816.75 |
96 | 179984 | 148556.392857143 | 31427.6071428571 |
97 | 164808 | 148556.392857143 | 16251.6071428571 |
98 | 19349 | 6617.57142857143 | 12731.4285714286 |
99 | 143902 | 124982.230769231 | 18919.7692307692 |
100 | 108660 | 124982.230769231 | -16322.2307692308 |
101 | 43803 | 44404 | -601 |
102 | 47062 | 65591.75 | -18529.75 |
103 | 110845 | 106450.3125 | 4394.6875 |
104 | 92517 | 93575.0588235294 | -1058.05882352941 |
105 | 58660 | 65591.75 | -6931.75 |
106 | 27676 | 44404 | -16728 |
107 | 98550 | 93575.0588235294 | 4974.94117647059 |
108 | 43284 | 44404 | -1120 |
109 | 0 | 6617.57142857143 | -6617.57142857143 |
110 | 66016 | 65591.75 | 424.25 |
111 | 57359 | 65591.75 | -8232.75 |
112 | 96933 | 93575.0588235294 | 3357.94117647059 |
113 | 70369 | 93575.0588235294 | -23206.0588235294 |
114 | 65494 | 65591.75 | -97.75 |
115 | 3616 | 6617.57142857143 | -3001.57142857143 |
116 | 0 | 6617.57142857143 | -6617.57142857143 |
117 | 143931 | 93575.0588235294 | 50355.9411764706 |
118 | 109894 | 148556.392857143 | -38662.3928571429 |
119 | 122973 | 106450.3125 | 16522.6875 |
120 | 84336 | 93575.0588235294 | -9239.05882352941 |
121 | 43410 | 44404 | -994 |
122 | 136250 | 148556.392857143 | -12306.3928571429 |
123 | 79015 | 65591.75 | 13423.25 |
124 | 92937 | 106450.3125 | -13513.3125 |
125 | 57586 | 44404 | 13182 |
126 | 19764 | 6617.57142857143 | 13146.4285714286 |
127 | 105757 | 106450.3125 | -693.3125 |
128 | 96410 | 65591.75 | 30818.25 |
129 | 113402 | 106450.3125 | 6951.6875 |
130 | 11796 | 6617.57142857143 | 5178.42857142857 |
131 | 7627 | 6617.57142857143 | 1009.42857142857 |
132 | 121085 | 106450.3125 | 14634.6875 |
133 | 6836 | 6617.57142857143 | 218.428571428572 |
134 | 139563 | 124982.230769231 | 14580.7692307692 |
135 | 5118 | 6617.57142857143 | -1499.57142857143 |
136 | 40248 | 44404 | -4156 |
137 | 0 | 6617.57142857143 | -6617.57142857143 |
138 | 95079 | 65591.75 | 29487.25 |
139 | 80750 | 106450.3125 | -25700.3125 |
140 | 7131 | 6617.57142857143 | 513.428571428572 |
141 | 4194 | 6617.57142857143 | -2423.57142857143 |
142 | 60378 | 44404 | 15974 |
143 | 96971 | 93575.0588235294 | 3395.94117647059 |
144 | 83484 | 93575.0588235294 | -10091.0588235294 |