Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9375 |
R-squared | 0.879 |
RMSE | 34983.3379 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 264530 | 199487.043478261 | 65042.9565217391 |
2 | 135248 | 118905.1 | 16342.9 |
3 | 207253 | 199487.043478261 | 7765.95652173914 |
4 | 197987 | 252024.714285714 | -54037.7142857143 |
5 | 143105 | 118905.1 | 24199.9 |
6 | 65295 | 64460.75 | 834.25 |
7 | 439387 | 349166.238095238 | 90220.7619047619 |
8 | 33186 | 13016.7647058824 | 20169.2352941176 |
9 | 183696 | 199487.043478261 | -15791.0434782609 |
10 | 186657 | 199487.043478261 | -12830.0434782609 |
11 | 276819 | 252024.714285714 | 24794.2857142857 |
12 | 200779 | 199487.043478261 | 1291.95652173914 |
13 | 141987 | 159397.931034483 | -17410.9310344828 |
14 | 313944 | 274893.5 | 39050.5 |
15 | 196251 | 199487.043478261 | -3236.04347826086 |
16 | 342434 | 349166.238095238 | -6732.2380952381 |
17 | 276692 | 224045.47826087 | 52646.5217391304 |
18 | 263451 | 252024.714285714 | 11426.2857142857 |
19 | 157448 | 159397.931034483 | -1949.93103448275 |
20 | 240201 | 224045.47826087 | 16155.5217391304 |
21 | 245847 | 224045.47826087 | 21801.5217391304 |
22 | 396701 | 349166.238095238 | 47534.7619047619 |
23 | 157544 | 159397.931034483 | -1853.93103448275 |
24 | 156189 | 159397.931034483 | -3208.93103448275 |
25 | 196316 | 349166.238095238 | -152850.238095238 |
26 | 192167 | 252024.714285714 | -59857.7142857143 |
27 | 249893 | 274893.5 | -25000.5 |
28 | 236812 | 199487.043478261 | 37324.9565217391 |
29 | 143182 | 159397.931034483 | -16215.9310344828 |
30 | 282946 | 224045.47826087 | 58900.5217391304 |
31 | 243048 | 224045.47826087 | 19002.5217391304 |
32 | 176062 | 199487.043478261 | -23425.0434782609 |
33 | 287382 | 252024.714285714 | 35357.2857142857 |
34 | 87485 | 64460.75 | 23024.25 |
35 | 343613 | 349166.238095238 | -5553.23809523811 |
36 | 247082 | 224045.47826087 | 23036.5217391304 |
37 | 380797 | 349166.238095238 | 31630.7619047619 |
38 | 191653 | 199487.043478261 | -7834.04347826086 |
39 | 114673 | 118905.1 | -4232.10000000001 |
40 | 309038 | 274893.5 | 34144.5 |
41 | 292891 | 349166.238095238 | -56275.2380952381 |
42 | 155568 | 159397.931034483 | -3829.93103448275 |
43 | 177306 | 159397.931034483 | 17908.0689655172 |
44 | 146175 | 159397.931034483 | -13222.9310344828 |
45 | 140319 | 224045.47826087 | -83726.4782608696 |
46 | 405267 | 349166.238095238 | 56100.7619047619 |
47 | 78800 | 118905.1 | -40105.1 |
48 | 201970 | 224045.47826087 | -22075.4782608696 |
49 | 302833 | 349166.238095238 | -46333.2380952381 |
50 | 164733 | 224045.47826087 | -59312.4782608696 |
51 | 194221 | 199487.043478261 | -5266.04347826086 |
52 | 24188 | 13016.7647058824 | 11171.2352941176 |
53 | 346142 | 252024.714285714 | 94117.2857142857 |
54 | 65029 | 64460.75 | 568.25 |
55 | 101097 | 118905.1 | -17808.1 |
56 | 255082 | 274893.5 | -19811.5 |
57 | 283783 | 252024.714285714 | 31758.2857142857 |
58 | 295924 | 274893.5 | 21030.5 |
59 | 280943 | 252024.714285714 | 28918.2857142857 |
60 | 214872 | 199487.043478261 | 15384.9565217391 |
61 | 346520 | 349166.238095238 | -2646.23809523811 |
62 | 273924 | 274893.5 | -969.5 |
63 | 197035 | 252024.714285714 | -54989.7142857143 |
64 | 231904 | 252024.714285714 | -20120.7142857143 |
65 | 209798 | 159397.931034483 | 50400.0689655172 |
66 | 201345 | 159397.931034483 | 41947.0689655172 |
67 | 180403 | 199487.043478261 | -19084.0434782609 |
68 | 204441 | 252024.714285714 | -47583.7142857143 |
69 | 197813 | 224045.47826087 | -26232.4782608696 |
70 | 136421 | 159397.931034483 | -22976.9310344828 |
71 | 216092 | 224045.47826087 | -7953.47826086957 |
72 | 73566 | 64460.75 | 9105.25 |
73 | 214064 | 224045.47826087 | -9981.47826086957 |
74 | 181728 | 159397.931034483 | 22330.0689655172 |
75 | 150006 | 159397.931034483 | -9391.93103448275 |
76 | 308343 | 224045.47826087 | 84297.5217391304 |
77 | 251592 | 252024.714285714 | -432.71428571429 |
78 | 202392 | 199487.043478261 | 2904.95652173914 |
79 | 173286 | 224045.47826087 | -50759.4782608696 |
80 | 162366 | 159397.931034483 | 2968.06896551725 |
81 | 132672 | 159397.931034483 | -26725.9310344828 |
82 | 390163 | 349166.238095238 | 40996.7619047619 |
83 | 145905 | 159397.931034483 | -13492.9310344828 |
84 | 228657 | 252024.714285714 | -23367.7142857143 |
85 | 80953 | 64460.75 | 16492.25 |
86 | 132957 | 199487.043478261 | -66530.0434782609 |
87 | 135163 | 118905.1 | 16257.9 |
88 | 333962 | 349166.238095238 | -15204.2380952381 |
89 | 271806 | 252024.714285714 | 19781.2857142857 |
90 | 169483 | 274893.5 | -105410.5 |
91 | 234193 | 252024.714285714 | -17831.7142857143 |
92 | 207178 | 199487.043478261 | 7690.95652173914 |
93 | 157117 | 159397.931034483 | -2280.93103448275 |
94 | 242395 | 274893.5 | -32498.5 |
95 | 261601 | 224045.47826087 | 37555.5217391304 |
96 | 178489 | 159397.931034483 | 19091.0689655172 |
97 | 204221 | 159397.931034483 | 44823.0689655172 |
98 | 268066 | 224045.47826087 | 44020.5217391304 |
99 | 335002 | 349166.238095238 | -14164.2380952381 |
100 | 361799 | 349166.238095238 | 12632.7619047619 |
101 | 247804 | 252024.714285714 | -4220.71428571429 |
102 | 265849 | 224045.47826087 | 41803.5217391304 |
103 | 168501 | 199487.043478261 | -30986.0434782609 |
104 | 43287 | 64460.75 | -21173.75 |
105 | 172244 | 224045.47826087 | -51801.4782608696 |
106 | 189021 | 199487.043478261 | -10466.0434782609 |
107 | 227681 | 224045.47826087 | 3635.52173913043 |
108 | 269329 | 252024.714285714 | 17304.2857142857 |
109 | 106655 | 118905.1 | -12250.1 |
110 | 117891 | 159397.931034483 | -41506.9310344828 |
111 | 290342 | 199487.043478261 | 90854.9565217391 |
112 | 266805 | 252024.714285714 | 14780.2857142857 |
113 | 23623 | 13016.7647058824 | 10606.2352941176 |
114 | 174970 | 199487.043478261 | -24517.0434782609 |
115 | 61857 | 64460.75 | -2603.75 |
116 | 144927 | 159397.931034483 | -14470.9310344828 |
117 | 355619 | 349166.238095238 | 6452.7619047619 |
118 | 21054 | 13016.7647058824 | 8037.23529411765 |
119 | 230091 | 224045.47826087 | 6045.52173913043 |
120 | 31414 | 13016.7647058824 | 18397.2352941176 |
121 | 280685 | 349166.238095238 | -68481.2380952381 |
122 | 209481 | 199487.043478261 | 9993.95652173914 |
123 | 161691 | 159397.931034483 | 2293.06896551725 |
124 | 132310 | 159397.931034483 | -27087.9310344828 |
125 | 38214 | 64460.75 | -26246.75 |
126 | 166026 | 159397.931034483 | 6628.06896551725 |
127 | 316370 | 274893.5 | 41476.5 |
128 | 186273 | 159397.931034483 | 26875.0689655172 |
129 | 369581 | 349166.238095238 | 20414.7619047619 |
130 | 275578 | 252024.714285714 | 23553.2857142857 |
131 | 368855 | 349166.238095238 | 19688.7619047619 |
132 | 172464 | 118905.1 | 53558.9 |
133 | 94381 | 118905.1 | -24524.1 |
134 | 251253 | 274893.5 | -23640.5 |
135 | 382499 | 349166.238095238 | 33332.7619047619 |
136 | 118033 | 159397.931034483 | -41364.9310344828 |
137 | 365575 | 349166.238095238 | 16408.7619047619 |
138 | 147989 | 199487.043478261 | -51498.0434782609 |
139 | 236370 | 199487.043478261 | 36882.9565217391 |
140 | 193220 | 224045.47826087 | -30825.4782608696 |
141 | 189020 | 159397.931034483 | 29622.0689655172 |
142 | 341992 | 349166.238095238 | -7174.2380952381 |
143 | 222289 | 252024.714285714 | -29735.7142857143 |
144 | 173260 | 224045.47826087 | -50785.4782608696 |
145 | 275969 | 274893.5 | 1075.5 |
146 | 130908 | 159397.931034483 | -28489.9310344828 |
147 | 208598 | 224045.47826087 | -15447.4782608696 |
148 | 262412 | 252024.714285714 | 10387.2857142857 |
149 | 1 | 13016.7647058824 | -13015.7647058824 |
150 | 14688 | 13016.7647058824 | 1671.23529411765 |
151 | 98 | 13016.7647058824 | -12918.7647058824 |
152 | 455 | 13016.7647058824 | -12561.7647058824 |
153 | 0 | 13016.7647058824 | -13016.7647058824 |
154 | 0 | 13016.7647058824 | -13016.7647058824 |
155 | 195812 | 199487.043478261 | -3675.04347826086 |
156 | 345447 | 274893.5 | 70553.5 |
157 | 0 | 13016.7647058824 | -13016.7647058824 |
158 | 203 | 13016.7647058824 | -12813.7647058824 |
159 | 7199 | 13016.7647058824 | -5817.76470588235 |
160 | 46660 | 13016.7647058824 | 33643.2352941177 |
161 | 17547 | 13016.7647058824 | 4530.23529411765 |
162 | 107465 | 118905.1 | -11440.1 |
163 | 969 | 13016.7647058824 | -12047.7647058824 |
164 | 179994 | 159397.931034483 | 20596.0689655172 |