| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7165 | 0.2307 | 0.0409 | -0.7423 | -0.6986 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0485 ) | (0.7252 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7415 | 0.2475 | 0 | -0.7592 | -0.6955 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0196 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.638997413419203 |
| 9.90389303197282 |
| -22.3023122314741 |
| 36.7800822877371 |
| -19.3973585930276 |
| -1.82728173431642 |
| 36.724066486773 |
| 28.8944188935952 |
| -46.5447482676979 |
| 81.6669904922509 |
| -49.3930539014323 |
| 7.32370593938105 |
| -2.30938667138516 |
| -24.7990807360454 |
| 37.724523686561 |
| 13.5082463734854 |
| 44.8741193262163 |
| 2.82810059127998 |
| 43.358748956677 |
| 44.3143722315104 |
| -21.8938057081436 |
| 58.0924837106478 |
| -26.3069296564498 |
| -79.0312269035011 |
| 41.5110259041723 |
| -13.1817192637497 |
| 39.9735020498047 |
| 111.800865424203 |
| 49.7870353541202 |
| -26.8800725354202 |
| 26.7716077443333 |
| -77.8312732647454 |
| -46.9549404660863 |
| 48.2440783186885 |
| -26.7544278903347 |
| 32.2685752571835 |
| -69.0885472315691 |
| 18.7581149930453 |
| -44.2107589570958 |
| -10.9995953045413 |
| -16.6543983695614 |
| 55.3520149024308 |
| 106.378953587588 |
| -41.9150565981803 |
| -31.5936647886223 |
| 2.35602637665503 |
| -74.4547743387148 |
| -81.8542252953119 |
| -11.3023881661074 |
| 82.0619621095758 |
| 37.4332373170131 |
| -85.2268950398416 |
| -67.5118324553083 |
| 49.1631848298552 |
| -34.2088759546933 |
| -52.5269451126761 |
| -24.5171134155982 |
| -79.8851589272531 |
| 9.86643963696357 |
| 53.4082765899247 |
| 8.91844754070827 |
| -25.9484302522257 |
| -10.1960784792828 |
| 6.90086621046144 |
| 51.9597681113942 |
| -38.4301255407228 |
| -23.3767806921408 |
| -10.28301333605 |
| 15.0050434191045 |
| 43.5780911400606 |
| 152.09757895771 |
| 18.6904275447767 |
| -60.540320278058 |
| -11.2583864862485 |
| -52.9470897150597 |
| -22.5504419972589 |
| 83.0911969680649 |
| -36.7048015722767 |
| 149.264384623041 |
| 120.380162891832 |
| -23.8078320520287 |
| 80.8150517860111 |
| 21.1674150000616 |
| -3.0154230265066 |
| 132.923103119384 |
| 35.4977837293873 |
| 43.5435725692647 |
| 184.367520210177 |
| 29.6390549620705 |
| -68.5328349926419 |
| -41.9816152638818 |
| -43.5509106544566 |
| -83.9119155983483 |
| 58.9892080666153 |
| -30.2040417200046 |
| 120.801371286879 |
| -29.8240104859906 |
| -18.7532008640895 |
| -10.7271401794726 |
| 59.9403759515053 |
| -29.3373778448672 |
| -5.3423058820943 |
| 2.64944519118931 |
| 13.0102449176301 |
| -31.5183557191033 |
| 40.7517317806003 |
| -31.602546611366 |
| -53.2953128677026 |
| -80.1246742013271 |
| -51.1754373539952 |
| 56.3537281731507 |
| 77.5270810035798 |
| -61.9957902418702 |
| 185.595679151298 |
| -69.8264776254453 |
| -28.4868094222719 |
| -55.9032935755958 |
| 128.862676946648 |
