Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 121 | NA | NA | 1.02785110063089 | NA |
2 | 117.7 | NA | NA | 1.03169569006817 | NA |
3 | 115.4 | NA | NA | 1.0114394822697 | NA |
4 | 114.3 | NA | NA | 0.981973023310532 | NA |
5 | 109.5 | NA | NA | 0.956096047668629 | NA |
6 | 108.1 | NA | NA | 0.955286560861723 | NA |
7 | 108.2 | 108.66061540326 | 106.216666666667 | 1.02300908899978 | 0.995760971888936 |
8 | 99.1 | 104.043147638634 | 104.475 | 0.995866452631099 | 0.95248944547696 |
9 | 101.2 | 103.706510730245 | 102.858333333333 | 1.00824607369597 | 0.975830729309131 |
10 | 98.1 | 100.916500702586 | 101.2625 | 0.99658314482248 | 0.972090781160883 |
11 | 95.5 | 100.020112147772 | 99.8625 | 1.00157829162871 | 0.954807967610612 |
12 | 97.9 | 99.7745355369659 | 98.75 | 1.01037504341231 | 0.981212285009622 |
13 | 98.2 | 100.793648555616 | 98.0625 | 1.02785110063089 | 0.974267738168191 |
14 | 98.7 | 101.183554803435 | 98.075 | 1.03169569006817 | 0.975454956012762 |
15 | 95.6 | 99.5551453735717 | 98.4291666666667 | 1.0114394822697 | 0.960271813589038 |
16 | 95.8 | 96.9616529433875 | 98.7416666666667 | 0.981973023310532 | 0.988019460187362 |
17 | 94.4 | 94.9044839317073 | 99.2625 | 0.956096047668629 | 0.994684298245905 |
18 | 96.5 | 95.3614809380215 | 99.825 | 0.955286560861723 | 1.01193898260366 |
19 | 103.3 | 102.51403579352 | 100.208333333333 | 1.02300908899978 | 1.00766689361507 |
20 | 104.3 | 100.275452892846 | 100.691666666667 | 0.995866452631099 | 1.0401349182781 |
21 | 104.5 | 102.114322138867 | 101.279166666667 | 1.00824607369597 | 1.0233628134738 |
22 | 102.3 | 101.128274620861 | 101.475 | 0.99658314482248 | 1.01158652595955 |
23 | 103.8 | 101.902244687458 | 101.741666666667 | 1.00157829162871 | 1.01862329253259 |
24 | 103.1 | 103.399256005208 | 102.3375 | 1.01037504341231 | 0.997105820517776 |
25 | 102.2 | 105.594569738147 | 102.733333333333 | 1.02785110063089 | 0.967852800133905 |
26 | 106.3 | 106.290448469273 | 103.025 | 1.03169569006817 | 1.00008986254988 |
27 | 102.1 | 104.557556479631 | 103.375 | 1.0114394822697 | 0.976495658827782 |
28 | 94 | 101.855151842885 | 103.725 | 0.981973023310532 | 0.922879189704593 |
29 | 102.6 | 99.5256148287723 | 104.095833333333 | 0.956096047668629 | 1.03089039114721 |
30 | 102.6 | 99.8672492167527 | 104.541666666667 | 0.955286560861723 | 1.02736383353582 |
31 | 106.7 | 107.582193321939 | 105.1625 | 1.02300908899978 | 0.991799820261153 |
32 | 107.9 | 105.26723348666 | 105.704166666667 | 0.995866452631099 | 1.02501031352433 |
33 | 109.3 | 107.016918672213 | 106.141666666667 | 1.00824607369597 | 1.02133383539831 |
34 | 105.9 | 106.671768363936 | 107.0375 | 0.99658314482248 | 0.992765017625815 |
35 | 109.1 | 108.057777938093 | 107.8875 | 1.00157829162871 | 1.00964504436233 |
36 | 108.5 | 109.406777617497 | 108.283333333333 | 1.01037504341231 | 0.991711869801459 |
37 | 111.7 | 111.898723155349 | 108.866666666667 | 1.02785110063089 | 0.998224080224102 |
38 | 109.8 | 112.846014833248 | 109.379166666667 | 1.03169569006817 | 0.973007333597479 |
39 | 109.1 | 110.959125536163 | 109.704166666667 | 1.0114394822697 | 0.983244951443343 |
40 | 108.5 | 108.377089339372 | 110.366666666667 | 0.981973023310532 | 1.0011341018787 |
41 | 108.5 | 106.321864234284 | 111.204166666667 | 0.956096047668629 | 1.0204862450579 |
42 | 106.2 | 107.131407439972 | 112.145833333333 | 0.955286560861723 | 0.991305934811937 |
43 | 117.1 | 115.553139140396 | 112.954166666667 | 1.02300908899978 | 1.01338657583092 |
44 | 109.8 | 113.097233470472 | 113.566666666667 | 0.995866452631099 | 0.970846028949659 |
45 | 115.2 | 115.061882135246 | 114.120833333333 | 1.00824607369597 | 1.00120037898035 |
46 | 115.9 | 114.046483635623 | 114.4375 | 0.99658314482248 | 1.01625228858699 |
47 | 119.2 | 114.455359275871 | 114.275 | 1.00157829162871 | 1.04145407217405 |
48 | 121 | 115.014359108435 | 113.833333333333 | 1.01037504341231 | 1.05204255310349 |
49 | 118.6 | 116.39128900769 | 113.2375 | 1.02785110063089 | 1.01897660049253 |
50 | 117.6 | 116.237714414347 | 112.666666666667 | 1.03169569006817 | 1.01171982426286 |
51 | 114.6 | 113.264364689502 | 111.983333333333 | 1.0114394822697 | 1.01179219354789 |
52 | 110.6 | 108.970364707623 | 110.970833333333 | 0.981973023310532 | 1.01495484847417 |
53 | 102.5 | 104.875768962185 | 109.691666666667 | 0.956096047668629 | 0.97734682676757 |
54 | 101.6 | 103.22667362245 | 108.058333333333 | 0.955286560861723 | 0.984241731663279 |
55 | 107.4 | 109.219007864339 | 106.7625 | 1.02300908899978 | 0.983345317816855 |
56 | 105.8 | 105.433211228765 | 105.870833333333 | 0.995866452631099 | 1.00347887318389 |
57 | 102.8 | 105.954059269525 | 105.0875 | 1.00824607369597 | 0.970231822251358 |
58 | 104 | 104.076499757628 | 104.433333333333 | 0.99658314482248 | 0.999264966079702 |
59 | 100.4 | 103.780203984262 | 103.616666666667 | 1.00157829162871 | 0.967429202733361 |
60 | 100.6 | 103.723417998302 | 102.658333333333 | 1.01037504341231 | 0.969887050980585 |
61 | 107.9 | 104.489629804968 | 101.658333333333 | 1.02785110063089 | 1.03263836039421 |
62 | 106.9 | 103.61663713918 | 100.433333333333 | 1.03169569006817 | 1.03168760298995 |
63 | 106.5 | 100.457012245262 | 99.3208333333333 | 1.0114394822697 | 1.06015496200488 |
64 | 103 | 96.7161596875598 | 98.4916666666666 | 0.981973023310532 | 1.06497197916811 |
65 | 90.5 | 93.4384699919487 | 97.7291666666666 | 0.956096047668629 | 0.968551818194348 |
66 | 90.6 | 92.722501813641 | 97.0625 | 0.955286560861723 | 0.977109096798241 |
67 | 94.4 | NA | NA | 1.02300908899978 | NA |
68 | 89.4 | NA | NA | 0.995866452631099 | NA |
69 | 92.5 | NA | NA | 1.00824607369597 | NA |
70 | 94.4 | NA | NA | 0.99658314482248 | NA |
71 | 91.7 | NA | NA | 1.00157829162871 | NA |
72 | 93.3 | NA | NA | 1.01037504341231 | NA |