Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5962-------
6058-------
613963.187937.006685.50320.01680.67570.67570.6757
624963.142134.420287.2390.1250.97520.97520.6621
635860.827530.720985.690.41180.82440.82440.5882
644761.678227.750989.08240.14690.60380.60380.6038
654262.425625.234291.90740.08720.84740.84740.6157
666261.775322.386292.45380.49430.89680.89680.5953
673961.668219.674393.76740.08320.49190.49190.5886
684062.001817.16495.63390.09990.910.910.5922
697261.931414.45696.83030.28590.8910.8910.5874
707061.805211.57497.90780.32820.290.290.5818
715461.88228.640799.21420.33950.3350.3350.5808
726561.9125.3294100.40360.43750.65650.65650.5789


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1802-0.38280585.054400
620.1947-0.2240.3034199.9994392.526919.8123
630.2085-0.04650.21787.995264.349616.2588
640.2267-0.2380.2228215.4496252.124615.8784
650.241-0.32720.2437417.2057285.140816.8861
660.25340.00360.20370.0505237.625815.4151
670.2656-0.36760.2271513.8465277.085916.6459
680.2768-0.35490.2431484.0808302.960217.4058
690.28750.16260.2341101.3768280.562116.75
700.2980.13260.22467.154259.221316.1004
710.3078-0.12740.215262.1297241.303915.534
720.31720.04990.20149.5359221.989914.8993