Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[169])
157	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
158	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
159	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
160	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
161	3.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
162	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
163	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
164	3.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
165	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
166	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
167	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
168	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
169	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
170	1.2	0.9269	0.5615	1.2923	0.0714	0.1765	0	0.1765
171	0.6	0.6523	0.0769	1.2278	0.4293	0.0311	0	0.0637
172	0.6	0.8458	0.0958	1.5958	0.2603	0.7397	0	0.2533
173	0	0.5781	-0.3123	1.4684	0.1016	0.4807	0	0.1253
174	-0.1	0.3874	-0.6278	1.4026	0.1734	0.7727	0	0.0844
175	-0.6	0.4199	-0.7046	1.5444	0.0377	0.8176	0	0.1179
176	-0.2	0.588	-0.6375	1.8135	0.1038	0.9713	0	0.2064
177	-0.3	0.5717	-0.7462	1.8896	0.0974	0.8744	0	0.216
178	-0.1	0.6523	-0.7526	2.0572	0.147	0.908	2e-04	0.2661
179	0.5	1.1842	-0.3021	2.6705	0.1835	0.9548	0.1136	0.5442
180	0.9	1.5091	-0.0547	3.073	0.2226	0.897	0.4547	0.696

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
170	0.2011	0.2947	0	0.0746	0	0
171	0.4501	-0.0802	0.1875	0.0027	0.0387	0.1966
172	0.4524	-0.2906	0.2218	0.0604	0.0459	0.2143
173	0.7858	-1	0.4164	0.3341	0.118	0.3435
174	1.3371	-1.2581	0.5847	0.2375	0.1419	0.3767
175	1.3664	-2.429	0.8921	1.0402	0.2916	0.54
176	1.0634	-1.3401	0.9561	0.6209	0.3386	0.5819
177	1.1762	-1.5248	1.0272	0.7598	0.3913	0.6255
178	1.0989	-1.1533	1.0412	0.5659	0.4107	0.6409
179	0.6404	-0.5778	0.9949	0.4682	0.4164	0.6453
180	0.5287	-0.4036	0.9411	0.3711	0.4123	0.6421