Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[167])
155	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
156	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
157	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
158	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
159	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
160	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
161	3.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
162	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
163	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
164	3.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
165	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
166	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
167	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
168	1.6	2.087	1.7275	2.4464	0.004	0.4717	0	0.4717
169	1.1	2.064	1.5459	2.5822	1e-04	0.9604	0	0.4459
170	1.2	1.9879	1.3572	2.6186	0.0072	0.9971	0	0.3638
171	0.6	1.7645	1.0323	2.4968	9e-04	0.9346	0	0.1846
172	0.6	1.9448	1.1291	2.7605	6e-04	0.9994	6e-04	0.3546
173	0	1.6927	0.7967	2.5888	1e-04	0.9916	0	0.1865
174	-0.1	1.4902	0.5247	2.4557	6e-04	0.9988	0	0.1079
175	-0.6	1.5291	0.4952	2.563	0	0.999	0	0.1396
176	-0.2	1.6826	0.5881	2.7772	4e-04	1	1e-04	0.2274
177	-0.3	1.6691	0.5141	2.8242	4e-04	0.9992	5e-04	0.2323
178	-0.1	1.7356	0.526	2.9451	0.0015	0.9995	0.0088	0.2774
179	0.5	2.2608	0.9966	3.5251	0.0032	0.9999	0.5984	0.5984
180	0.9	2.26	0.9892	3.5309	0.018	0.9967	0.8456	0.5975

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
168	0.0879	-0.2333	0	0.2371	0	0
169	0.1281	-0.4671	0.3502	0.9293	0.5832	0.7637
170	0.1619	-0.3963	0.3656	0.6208	0.5958	0.7719
171	0.2117	-0.66	0.4392	1.3561	0.7859	0.8865
172	0.214	-0.6915	0.4896	1.8084	0.9904	0.9952
173	0.2701	-1	0.5747	2.8654	1.3029	1.1414
174	0.3306	-1.0671	0.645	2.5288	1.478	1.2157
175	0.345	-1.3924	0.7385	4.533	1.8599	1.3638
176	0.3319	-1.1189	0.7807	3.5443	2.047	1.4307
177	0.3531	-1.1797	0.8206	3.8775	2.2301	1.4933
178	0.3556	-1.0576	0.8422	3.3693	2.3336	1.5276
179	0.2853	-0.7788	0.8369	3.1004	2.3975	1.5484
180	0.2869	-0.6018	0.8188	1.8497	2.3554	1.5347