Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[169])
157	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
158	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
159	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
160	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
161	3.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
162	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
163	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
164	3.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
165	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
166	3.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
167	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
168	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
169	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
170	1.2	1.0231	0.6516	1.3947	0.1754	0.3425	0	0.3425
171	0.6	0.8019	0.265	1.3388	0.2305	0.0731	0	0.1382
172	0.6	0.9808	0.3279	1.6337	0.1265	0.8735	0	0.3602
173	0	0.7298	-0.0287	1.4882	0.0297	0.6313	0	0.1693
174	-0.1	0.5272	-0.3173	1.3717	0.0728	0.8894	0	0.0918
175	-0.6	0.5651	-0.3628	1.493	0.0069	0.92	0	0.1293
176	-0.2	0.7166	-0.2829	1.716	0.0361	0.9951	0	0.226
177	-0.3	0.7073	-0.363	1.7777	0.0325	0.9517	0	0.2361
178	-0.1	0.7782	-0.3546	1.9111	0.0643	0.9689	0	0.2889
179	0.5	1.3071	0.1117	2.5025	0.0929	0.9895	0.0968	0.6329
180	0.9	1.6162	0.3646	2.8678	0.131	0.9598	0.5101	0.7906

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
170	0.1853	0.1729	0	0.0313	0	0
171	0.3416	-0.2518	0.2123	0.0408	0.036	0.1898
172	0.3396	-0.3882	0.271	0.145	0.0723	0.269
173	0.5302	-1	0.4532	0.5326	0.1874	0.4329
174	0.8173	-1.1897	0.6005	0.3933	0.2286	0.4781
175	0.8378	-2.0618	0.8441	1.3574	0.4167	0.6455
176	0.7116	-1.2791	0.9062	0.8401	0.4772	0.6908
177	0.772	-1.4241	0.971	1.0147	0.5444	0.7378
178	0.7427	-1.1285	0.9885	0.7713	0.5696	0.7547
179	0.4666	-0.6175	0.9514	0.6514	0.5778	0.7601
180	0.3951	-0.4431	0.9052	0.513	0.5719	0.7562