Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5962-------
6058-------
613954.98633.175176.7970.07540.39330.39330.3933
624948.003226.116969.88940.46440.790.790.1853
635844.513921.848467.17950.12180.3490.3490.1218
644745.517622.847468.18780.4490.14030.14030.1403
654247.131724.285669.97770.32990.50450.50450.1756
666249.420226.086672.75390.14530.73350.73350.2356
673952.18728.853375.52070.1340.20490.20490.3127
684053.656630.238677.07470.12650.890.890.3581
697253.689230.192977.18560.06330.87330.87330.3596
707053.010629.334276.6870.07980.0580.0580.3398
715451.868928.020175.71770.43050.06810.06810.3072
726550.683426.78474.58270.12020.39280.39280.2742


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.2024-0.29070255.553100
620.23260.02080.15570.9937128.273411.3258
630.25980.3030.2048181.874146.140312.0888
640.25410.03260.16182.1976110.154610.4955
650.2473-0.10890.151226.334193.39059.6639
660.24090.25450.1684158.2505104.200510.2079
670.2281-0.25270.1804173.8967114.157110.6844
680.2227-0.25450.1897186.5038123.200411.0996
690.22330.34110.2065335.2843146.765312.1147
700.22790.32050.2179288.6399160.952812.6867
710.23460.04110.20184.5414146.733612.1134
720.24060.28250.2086204.9657151.586212.312