Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613954.786637.722971.85030.03490.3560.27460.356
624952.048834.981669.11590.36310.9330.3250.2472
635866.183548.98483.3830.17550.97490.82450.8245
644750.600733.380967.82040.3410.19980.52730.1998
654251.323434.09268.55480.14450.68860.51470.2238
666259.139541.90476.3750.37250.97440.75750.5516
673938.813621.576456.05070.49150.00420.58170.0146
684028.430311.192745.6680.09420.11470.76774e-04
697254.716537.478971.95410.02470.95290.48710.3544
707062.742545.505379.97960.20460.14630.20460.7051
715448.110330.876865.34380.25150.00640.05710.1303
726555.635638.402272.86910.14340.57380.3940.394


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1589-0.28810249.217400
620.1673-0.05860.17349.295129.256211.3691
630.1326-0.12360.156866.97108.494210.4161
640.1736-0.07120.135412.964784.61189.1985
650.1713-0.18170.144686.925585.07459.2236
660.14870.04840.12868.182472.25928.5005
670.22660.00480.11090.034861.94147.8703
680.30930.40690.1479133.857270.93098.422
690.16070.31590.1666298.71996.24079.8102
700.14020.11570.161552.671591.88389.5856
710.18280.12240.157934.688586.68429.3104
720.1580.16830.158887.691286.76819.3149