Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	13916	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	2639	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	2899	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	3370	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	3740	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	2927	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	3986	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	4217	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	1738	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	5221	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	6424	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9842	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	13076	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	3934	2887.7899	2184.5782	3953.7812	0.0272	0	0.6763	0
86	3162	3029.3652	2262.0974	4216.9125	0.4134	0.0677	0.5852	0
87	4286	3571.5841	2588.5908	5168.4018	0.1903	0.6924	0.5977	0
88	4676	3864.5475	2768.0646	5680.5324	0.1906	0.3246	0.5535	0
89	5010	3264.9338	2384.1158	4678.4123	0.0078	0.0252	0.6803	0
90	4874	4110.5711	2916.6265	6119.0117	0.2281	0.19	0.5484	0
91	4633	4001.0917	2848.2827	5929.836	0.2604	0.1875	0.4132	0
92	1659	1762.0991	1373.1328	2324.6857	0.3597	0	0.5335	0
93	5951	5240.303	3598.3972	8157.7069	0.3165	0.9919	0.5052	0
94	6981	6471.7299	4310.2104	10517.7175	0.4026	0.5996	0.5092	7e-04
95	9851	10078.9921	6248.2464	18214.4284	0.4781	0.7723	0.5228	0.2351
96	12670	13488.3629	7928.3613	26509.8507	0.451	0.708	0.5247	0.5247

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.1883	0.3623	0	1094555.6181	0	0
86	0.2	0.0438	0.203	17591.9778	556073.7979	745.7036
87	0.2281	0.2	0.202	510390.0519	540845.8826	735.4222
88	0.2397	0.21	0.204	658455.0993	570248.1868	755.1478
89	0.2209	0.5345	0.2701	3045256.1802	1065249.7854	1032.1094
90	0.2493	0.1857	0.256	582823.7611	984845.448	992.3938
91	0.2459	0.1579	0.242	399308.1415	901197.2614	949.3141
92	0.1629	-0.0585	0.2191	10629.4266	789876.282	888.7498
93	0.284	0.1356	0.2098	505090.272	758233.392	870.766
94	0.319	0.0787	0.1967	259355.9977	708345.6526	841.6327
95	0.4118	-0.0226	0.1809	51980.3839	648676.0827	805.4043
96	0.4925	-0.0607	0.1709	669717.7896	650429.5583	806.4921