Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[366])
354745.3-------
355694.1-------
356675.7-------
357643.7-------
358622.1-------
359634.6-------
360588-------
361689.7-------
362673.9-------
363647.9-------
364568.8-------
365545.7-------
366632.6-------
367643.8596.6058501.8846720.90980.22840.28520.06210.2852
368593.1556.3128438.2048729.49920.33860.16110.08830.194
369579.7536.2872397.1166763.84030.35420.31230.17740.2034
370546515.5272364.3287784.85310.41220.32020.2190.1971
371562.9535.4947359.1574882.55460.43850.47630.28780.2917
372572.5521.6786337.7804909.75880.39870.41750.36880.2877


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
3670.10630.079102227.294600
3680.15880.06610.07261353.29681790.295742.3119
3690.21650.0810.07541884.66941821.753642.682
3700.26650.05910.0713928.59461598.463839.9808
3710.33070.05120.0673751.0481428.980637.8019
3720.37950.09740.07232582.81071621.285640.2652