Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 562325 | NA | NA | 1.00335277043855 | NA |
2 | 560854 | NA | NA | 0.995272817315664 | NA |
3 | 555332 | NA | NA | 0.979125644643802 | NA |
4 | 543599 | NA | NA | 0.969381947317829 | NA |
5 | 536662 | NA | NA | 0.948844670298895 | NA |
6 | 542722 | NA | NA | 0.95529138982085 | NA |
7 | 593530 | 603417.392358348 | 577801.25 | 1.04433382994299 | 0.983614339786089 |
8 | 610763 | 615313.339347509 | 580178.958333333 | 1.0605578339399 | 0.992604842026773 |
9 | 612613 | 606917.468188765 | 582579.833333333 | 1.0417756219198 | 1.00938435966958 |
10 | 611324 | 593312.737503521 | 585021.375 | 1.01417275138626 | 1.03035711414568 |
11 | 594167 | 581196.150571166 | 587533.666666667 | 0.989213356689063 | 1.02231750746471 |
12 | 595454 | 589132.59473188 | 589912.833333333 | 0.998677366286398 | 1.01073002126286 |
13 | 590865 | 594127.776063044 | 592142.458333333 | 1.00335277043855 | 0.994508292332897 |
14 | 589379 | 591222.948412542 | 594031.041666667 | 0.995272817315664 | 0.996881128485468 |
15 | 584428 | 583007.514079066 | 595436.875 | 0.979125644643802 | 1.00243647961069 |
16 | 573100 | 577868.65308065 | 596120.708333333 | 0.969381947317829 | 0.991747859906869 |
17 | 567456 | 565706.213401915 | 596205.291666667 | 0.948844670298895 | 1.00309310125403 |
18 | 569028 | 569666.168029121 | 596327.125 | 0.95529138982085 | 0.998879750870006 |
19 | 620735 | 622948.654187671 | 596503.375 | 1.04433382994299 | 0.9964464901356 |
20 | 628884 | 632769.325875784 | 596638.208333333 | 1.0605578339399 | 0.993859806857093 |
21 | 628232 | 621392.289345577 | 596474.208333333 | 1.0417756219198 | 1.01100707358572 |
22 | 612117 | 604778.974630694 | 596327.375 | 1.01417275138626 | 1.01213340026212 |
23 | 595404 | 590159.783751135 | 596595.041666667 | 0.989213356689063 | 1.00888609558505 |
24 | 597141 | 596190.164456313 | 596979.75 | 0.998677366286398 | 1.00159485278419 |
25 | 593408 | 599096.086337698 | 597094.166666667 | 1.00335277043855 | 0.990505552502488 |
26 | 590072 | 594095.63752092 | 596917.375 | 0.995272817315664 | 0.9932272899062 |
27 | 579799 | 583992.392086872 | 596442.75 | 0.979125644643802 | 0.99281944055489 |
28 | 574205 | 576855.689336618 | 595075.75 | 0.969381947317829 | 0.995404935089284 |
29 | 572775 | 562493.464883477 | 592819.333333333 | 0.948844670298895 | 1.0182784970109 |
30 | 572942 | 563547.685892551 | 589922.291666667 | 0.95529138982085 | 1.01666995418954 |
31 | 619567 | 612912.388512371 | 586893.166666667 | 1.04433382994299 | 1.01085736169207 |
32 | 625809 | 619161.882777328 | 583807.75 | 1.0605578339399 | 1.01073566930971 |
33 | 619916 | 604318.498455981 | 580085.083333333 | 1.0417756219198 | 1.02581006800863 |
34 | 587625 | 584232.384031183 | 576067.916666667 | 1.01417275138626 | 1.00580696322482 |
35 | 565742 | 565319.234979084 | 571483.625 | 0.989213356689063 | 1.00074783413469 |
36 | 557274 | 565067.882352046 | 565816.25 | 0.998677366286398 | 0.986207175110351 |
37 | 560576 | 561923.747479394 | 560046.041666667 | 1.00335277043855 | 0.997601547388877 |
38 | 548854 | 552197.347442478 | 554820.083333333 | 0.995272817315664 | 0.993945375764728 |
39 | 531673 | 537548.342274329 | 549008.541666667 | 0.979125644643802 | 0.989070113676715 |
40 | 525919 | 526592.144813498 | 543224.625 | 0.969381947317829 | 0.998721696059982 |
41 | 511038 | 510831.877260492 | 538372.5 | 0.948844670298895 | 1.00040350406598 |
42 | 498662 | 510365.53951841 | 534251.166666667 | 0.95529138982085 | 0.977068319445208 |
43 | 555362 | 554165.21649313 | 530639.916666667 | 1.04433382994299 | 1.0021596149871 |
44 | 564591 | 559020.52035873 | 527100.458333333 | 1.0605578339399 | 1.00996471406398 |
45 | 541657 | 545632.890270772 | 523752.791666667 | 1.0417756219198 | 0.992713250352634 |
46 | 527070 | 528018.056137781 | 520639.166666667 | 1.01417275138626 | 0.998204500534099 |
47 | 509846 | 511834.776947405 | 517415.958333333 | 0.989213356689063 | 0.996114416141736 |
48 | 514258 | 514119.940395376 | 514800.833333333 | 0.998677366286398 | 1.00026853579053 |
49 | 516922 | 514517.419394444 | 512798.125 | 1.00335277043855 | 1.00467346782619 |
50 | 507561 | 507969.455456305 | 510382.125 | 0.995272817315664 | 0.999195905478336 |
51 | 492622 | 497496.106263824 | 508102.416666667 | 0.979125644643802 | 0.990202724800345 |
52 | 490243 | 490743.55219248 | 506243.75 | 0.969381947317829 | 0.998980012696562 |
53 | 469357 | 479205.065780478 | 505040.583333333 | 0.948844670298895 | 0.979449161781212 |
54 | 477580 | 482218.23695161 | 504786.541666667 | 0.95529138982085 | 0.990381456784108 |
55 | 528379 | 527739.306232434 | 505335.833333333 | 1.04433382994299 | 1.00121213970612 |
56 | 533590 | 537545.3731591 | 506851.541666667 | 1.0605578339399 | 0.99264178736047 |
57 | 517945 | 531011.005121999 | 509717.25 | 1.0417756219198 | 0.975394097305014 |
58 | 506174 | 520744.155621651 | 513466.916666667 | 1.01417275138626 | 0.972020510524486 |
59 | 501866 | 512071.982066894 | 517655.75 | 0.989213356689063 | 0.980069243340166 |
60 | 516141 | 521667.943929769 | 522358.833333333 | 0.998677366286398 | 0.989405245244448 |
61 | 528222 | 528994.211229986 | 527226.541666667 | 1.00335277043855 | 0.998540227447498 |
62 | 532638 | 529760.165867118 | 532276.333333333 | 0.995272817315664 | 1.00543233394714 |
63 | 536322 | 526288.764533042 | 537508.916666667 | 0.979125644643802 | 1.0190641262803 |
64 | 536535 | 525933.974862183 | 542545.666666667 | 0.969381947317829 | 1.02015657030066 |
65 | 523597 | 519298.497323958 | 547295.583333333 | 0.948844670298895 | 1.00827751803287 |
66 | 536214 | 527390.105806871 | 552072.5 | 0.95529138982085 | 1.01673124712802 |
67 | 586570 | 581371.157096975 | 556690.916666667 | 1.04433382994299 | 1.00894238188386 |
68 | 596594 | 594557.33873911 | 560608.125 | 1.0605578339399 | 1.00342550857283 |
69 | 580523 | 587025.196761383 | 563485.25 | 1.0417756219198 | 0.98892347926928 |
70 | 564478 | 573242.977125953 | 565232.083333333 | 1.01417275138626 | 0.984709839499652 |
71 | 557560 | 560307.055769633 | 566416.791666667 | 0.989213356689063 | 0.995097231524491 |
72 | 575093 | 566579.297322807 | 567329.666666667 | 0.998677366286398 | 1.01502649799847 |
73 | 580112 | 570188.865925882 | 568283.541666667 | 1.00335277043855 | 1.0174032406929 |
74 | 574761 | 566517.996253227 | 569208.75 | 0.995272817315664 | 1.01455029460898 |
75 | 563250 | 557872.420452317 | 569765.916666667 | 0.979125644643802 | 1.00963944326791 |
76 | 551531 | 552513.781603007 | 569965 | 0.969381947317829 | 0.998221254137489 |
77 | 537034 | 540422.151796487 | 569558.083333333 | 0.948844670298895 | 0.993730546045857 |
78 | 544686 | 542785.382826184 | 568188.291666667 | 0.95529138982085 | 1.00350159977396 |
79 | 600991 | NA | NA | 1.04433382994299 | NA |
80 | 604378 | NA | NA | 1.0605578339399 | NA |
81 | 586111 | NA | NA | 1.0417756219198 | NA |
82 | 563668 | NA | NA | 1.01417275138626 | NA |
83 | 548604 | NA | NA | 0.989213356689063 | NA |
84 | 551174 | NA | NA | 0.998677366286398 | NA |