| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 562325 | NA | NA | 1646.02835648147 | NA |
| 2 | 560854 | NA | NA | -2834.77719907411 | NA |
| 3 | 555332 | NA | NA | -11801.5619212963 | NA |
| 4 | 543599 | NA | NA | -17380.0758101852 | NA |
| 5 | 536662 | NA | NA | -28445.3883101852 | NA |
| 6 | 542722 | NA | NA | -24845.6452546296 | NA |
| 7 | 593530 | 602408.014467593 | 577801.25 | 24606.7644675926 | -8878.01446759258 |
| 8 | 610763 | 613913.625578704 | 580178.958333333 | 33734.6672453704 | -3150.62557870359 |
| 9 | 612613 | 606272.10474537 | 582579.833333333 | 23692.2714120371 | 6340.89525462966 |
| 10 | 611324 | 593253.910300926 | 585021.375 | 8232.53530092594 | 18070.089699074 |
| 11 | 594167 | 581674.701967593 | 587533.666666667 | -5858.96469907405 | 12492.2980324074 |
| 12 | 595454 | 589166.97974537 | 589912.833333333 | -745.853587962997 | 6287.02025462966 |
| 13 | 590865 | 593788.486689815 | 592142.458333333 | 1646.02835648147 | -2923.48668981483 |
| 14 | 589379 | 591196.264467593 | 594031.041666667 | -2834.77719907411 | -1817.26446759258 |
| 15 | 584428 | 583635.313078704 | 595436.875 | -11801.5619212963 | 792.686921296292 |
| 16 | 573100 | 578740.632523148 | 596120.708333333 | -17380.0758101852 | -5640.6325231482 |
| 17 | 567456 | 567759.903356481 | 596205.291666667 | -28445.3883101852 | -303.90335648146 |
| 18 | 569028 | 571481.47974537 | 596327.125 | -24845.6452546296 | -2453.47974537034 |
| 19 | 620735 | 621110.139467592 | 596503.375 | 24606.7644675926 | -375.139467592468 |
| 20 | 628884 | 630372.875578704 | 596638.208333333 | 33734.6672453704 | -1488.87557870371 |
| 21 | 628232 | 620166.47974537 | 596474.208333333 | 23692.2714120371 | 8065.52025462966 |
| 22 | 612117 | 604559.910300926 | 596327.375 | 8232.53530092594 | 7557.08969907416 |
| 23 | 595404 | 590736.076967593 | 596595.041666667 | -5858.96469907405 | 4667.92303240742 |
| 24 | 597141 | 596233.896412037 | 596979.75 | -745.853587962997 | 907.103587963036 |
| 25 | 593408 | 598740.195023148 | 597094.166666667 | 1646.02835648147 | -5332.1950231482 |
| 26 | 590072 | 594082.597800926 | 596917.375 | -2834.77719907411 | -4010.59780092584 |
| 27 | 579799 | 584641.188078704 | 596442.75 | -11801.5619212963 | -4842.18807870371 |
| 28 | 574205 | 577695.674189815 | 595075.75 | -17380.0758101852 | -3490.67418981483 |
| 29 | 572775 | 564373.945023148 | 592819.333333333 | -28445.3883101852 | 8401.0549768518 |
| 30 | 572942 | 565076.646412037 | 589922.291666667 | -24845.6452546296 | 7865.35358796304 |
| 31 | 619567 | 611499.931134259 | 586893.166666667 | 24606.7644675926 | 8067.06886574079 |
| 32 | 625809 | 617542.41724537 | 583807.75 | 33734.6672453704 | 8266.58275462955 |
| 33 | 619916 | 603777.35474537 | 580085.083333333 | 23692.2714120371 | 16138.6452546297 |
| 34 | 587625 | 584300.451967593 | 576067.916666667 | 8232.53530092594 | 3324.54803240742 |
| 35 | 565742 | 565624.660300926 | 571483.625 | -5858.96469907405 | 117.339699074044 |
| 36 | 557274 | 565070.396412037 | 565816.25 | -745.853587962997 | -7796.39641203708 |
| 37 | 560576 | 561692.070023148 | 560046.041666667 | 1646.02835648147 | -1116.07002314809 |
| 38 | 548854 | 551985.306134259 | 554820.083333333 | -2834.77719907411 | -3131.30613425921 |
| 39 | 531673 | 537206.97974537 | 549008.541666667 | -11801.5619212963 | -5533.97974537034 |
| 40 | 525919 | 525844.549189815 | 543224.625 | -17380.0758101852 | 74.4508101851679 |
| 41 | 511038 | 509927.111689815 | 538372.5 | -28445.3883101852 | 1110.88831018528 |
| 42 | 498662 | 509405.521412037 | 534251.166666667 | -24845.6452546296 | -10743.521412037 |
| 43 | 555362 | 555246.681134259 | 530639.916666667 | 24606.7644675926 | 115.318865740788 |
| 44 | 564591 | 560835.125578704 | 527100.458333333 | 33734.6672453704 | 3755.87442129641 |
| 45 | 541657 | 547445.063078704 | 523752.791666667 | 23692.2714120371 | -5788.06307870377 |
| 46 | 527070 | 528871.701967593 | 520639.166666667 | 8232.53530092594 | -1801.70196759264 |
| 47 | 509846 | 511556.993634259 | 517415.958333333 | -5858.96469907405 | -1710.99363425933 |
| 48 | 514258 | 514054.97974537 | 514800.833333333 | -745.853587962997 | 203.020254629664 |
| 49 | 516922 | 514444.153356481 | 512798.125 | 1646.02835648147 | 2477.8466435186 |
| 50 | 507561 | 507547.347800926 | 510382.125 | -2834.77719907411 | 13.6521990741603 |
| 51 | 492622 | 496300.85474537 | 508102.416666667 | -11801.5619212963 | -3678.85474537039 |
| 52 | 490243 | 488863.674189815 | 506243.75 | -17380.0758101852 | 1379.32581018523 |
| 53 | 469357 | 476595.195023148 | 505040.583333333 | -28445.3883101852 | -7238.19502314809 |
| 54 | 477580 | 479940.896412037 | 504786.541666667 | -24845.6452546296 | -2360.89641203702 |
| 55 | 528379 | 529942.597800926 | 505335.833333333 | 24606.7644675926 | -1563.5978009259 |
| 56 | 533590 | 540586.208912037 | 506851.541666667 | 33734.6672453704 | -6996.20891203696 |
| 57 | 517945 | 533409.521412037 | 509717.25 | 23692.2714120371 | -15464.521412037 |
| 58 | 506174 | 521699.451967593 | 513466.916666667 | 8232.53530092594 | -15525.4519675925 |
| 59 | 501866 | 511796.785300926 | 517655.75 | -5858.96469907405 | -9930.7853009259 |
| 60 | 516141 | 521612.97974537 | 522358.833333333 | -745.853587962997 | -5471.97974537034 |
| 61 | 528222 | 528872.570023148 | 527226.541666667 | 1646.02835648147 | -650.570023148088 |
| 62 | 532638 | 529441.556134259 | 532276.333333333 | -2834.77719907411 | 3196.44386574079 |
| 63 | 536322 | 525707.35474537 | 537508.916666667 | -11801.5619212963 | 10614.6452546297 |
| 64 | 536535 | 525165.590856481 | 542545.666666667 | -17380.0758101852 | 11369.4091435185 |
| 65 | 523597 | 518850.195023148 | 547295.583333333 | -28445.3883101852 | 4746.8049768518 |
| 66 | 536214 | 527226.85474537 | 552072.5 | -24845.6452546296 | 8987.14525462978 |
| 67 | 586570 | 581297.681134259 | 556690.916666667 | 24606.7644675926 | 5272.31886574079 |
| 68 | 596594 | 594342.79224537 | 560608.125 | 33734.6672453704 | 2251.20775462978 |
| 69 | 580523 | 587177.521412037 | 563485.25 | 23692.2714120371 | -6654.52141203708 |
| 70 | 564478 | 573464.618634259 | 565232.083333333 | 8232.53530092594 | -8986.61863425933 |
| 71 | 557560 | 560557.826967592 | 566416.791666667 | -5858.96469907405 | -2997.82696759247 |
| 72 | 575093 | 566583.813078704 | 567329.666666667 | -745.853587962997 | 8509.18692129641 |
| 73 | 580112 | 569929.570023148 | 568283.541666667 | 1646.02835648147 | 10182.4299768519 |
| 74 | 574761 | 566373.972800926 | 569208.75 | -2834.77719907411 | 8387.02719907416 |
| 75 | 563250 | 557964.35474537 | 569765.916666667 | -11801.5619212963 | 5285.64525462955 |
| 76 | 551531 | 552584.924189815 | 569965 | -17380.0758101852 | -1053.92418981483 |
| 77 | 537034 | 541112.695023148 | 569558.083333333 | -28445.3883101852 | -4078.69502314809 |
| 78 | 544686 | 543342.646412037 | 568188.291666667 | -24845.6452546296 | 1343.35358796292 |
| 79 | 600991 | NA | NA | 24606.7644675926 | NA |
| 80 | 604378 | NA | NA | 33734.6672453704 | NA |
| 81 | 586111 | NA | NA | 23692.2714120371 | NA |
| 82 | 563668 | NA | NA | 8232.53530092594 | NA |
| 83 | 548604 | NA | NA | -5858.96469907405 | NA |
| 84 | 551174 | NA | NA | -745.853587962997 | NA |
