| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6975 | -1.2001 | -0.5311 | 0.6975 |
| (p-val) | (0.1118 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1118 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.7105 | -0.2567 | 0.8477 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0341 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 655.36160889178 |
| 199326.478876335 |
| 208739.912821156 |
| 440706.239645155 |
| 78078.0576043336 |
| -104105.838910609 |
| 1384815.44481563 |
| -522755.463562109 |
| -858610.072616865 |
| -345834.273274647 |
| -200471.565845705 |
| -50876.1406060352 |
| -302072.330761388 |
| 419898.363859634 |
| -45034.2729371135 |
| 678246.87927697 |
| -140534.143057905 |
| 86046.9139050805 |
| 1556167.86581698 |
| -1045787.82671465 |
| -488839.898132737 |
| -539667.964979318 |
| 32166.7171666099 |
| -431028.747030751 |
| 41471.6668604314 |
| 110540.023581153 |
| 293889.239983547 |
| 508416.297591214 |
| -270596.362579079 |
| 361564.703409284 |
| 1021932.35401897 |
| -198095.157599078 |
| -1053823.16053296 |
| -91526.2373513227 |
| -469686.392230991 |
| 121858.724593738 |
| -476113.325184958 |
| 464112.88814307 |
| -110667.384492209 |
| 756090.655407547 |
| -403452.758998343 |
| 342816.415171714 |
| 1065948.90787683 |
| -186002.796717628 |
| -1038039.11141257 |
| -157949.712661815 |
| -430136.853475187 |
| 91767.5586033228 |
| -456740.051095122 |
| 590480.985681122 |
| -134004.72776311 |
| 560843.135393194 |
| -58194.1293636925 |
| 82865.2447687664 |
| 1275305.32959886 |
| -342389.664154277 |
| -927186.977321996 |
| -295401.678767205 |
| -313647.99102722 |
| -38856.2731731633 |
| -312823.797087008 |
| 357710.060687884 |
| -12914.4763882693 |
| 643485.829204798 |
| -252564.120685919 |
| 264796.693142923 |
| 1110623.60799609 |
| -123820.804840005 |
| -1135955.05755698 |
| -97552.5099649669 |
| -503362.514525429 |
| 145415.23224421 |
