Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[46])
34111.85-------
35112.12-------
36112.15-------
37112.17-------
38112.67-------
39112.8-------
40113.44-------
41113.53-------
42114.53-------
43114.51-------
44115.05-------
45116.67-------
46117.07-------
47116.92117.3144116.7349117.89530.09160.795210.7952
48117117.6378116.908118.36980.04380.972710.9358
49117.02117.7142116.8282118.60340.0630.942310.9222
50117.35118.2545117.2282119.28520.04270.990510.9878
51117.36118.4568117.297119.62230.03260.968610.9902
52117.82119.1438117.8533120.44130.02280.996510.9991
53117.88119.3118117.8968120.73530.02430.9810.999
54118.24119.9855118.4455121.53560.01360.996110.9999
55118.5120.2141118.5536121.88610.02230.989710.9999
56118.8120.7957119.0138122.5910.01470.993911
57119.76122.5249120.6134124.45150.00250.999911
58120.09122.8872120.857124.93440.00370.998611


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
470.0025-0.003400.155600
480.0032-0.00540.00440.40680.28120.5303
490.0039-0.00590.00490.48190.34810.59
500.0044-0.00760.00560.8180.46560.6823
510.005-0.00930.00631.20290.6130.783
520.0056-0.01110.00711.75240.80290.8961
530.0061-0.0120.00782.05020.98110.9905
540.0066-0.01450.00873.04691.23931.1133
550.0071-0.01430.00932.93811.42811.195
560.0076-0.01650.013.9831.68361.2975
570.008-0.02260.01117.64492.22551.4918
580.0085-0.02280.01217.82432.69211.6408