| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2764 | 0.1389 | 0.1825 | -1 | 0.4908 | 0.5084 | 0.0679 |
| (p-val) | (0.0036 ) | (0.2031 ) | (0.0656 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.6933 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1626 | 0.1823 | 0.157 | -1 | 0.5261 | 0.4694 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.1861 ) | (0.1238 ) | (0.179 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.207 | 0.1292 | -1 | 0.5176 | 0.4767 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0603 ) | (0.2942 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1845 | 0 | -1 | 0.5169 | 0.4771 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1163 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.5157 | 0.4782 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 655.323730281784 |
| 20154.2368701825 |
| 41777.4275317225 |
| 80607.920249006 |
| 74339.8882739093 |
| 30568.2847678994 |
| 206574.8158256 |
| 146078.825312655 |
| -68622.4146961078 |
| -59046.8377929542 |
| -53445.61080057 |
| -62052.0140955878 |
| -8829.27303399622 |
| 31266.7436492787 |
| -920.505068066086 |
| -4515.70949532826 |
| 27538.4842268761 |
| 14508.2978838304 |
| 283782.977130491 |
| -178382.047266152 |
| -48467.479931241 |
| 106026.883243738 |
| 5263.96722084062 |
| -97778.4584020669 |
| -8562.4411941899 |
| -40593.916309772 |
| 37865.3338282737 |
| 107377.111855833 |
| -225186.859834369 |
| 133385.119388905 |
| -146910.582722441 |
| 153825.587440228 |
| 183286.752720197 |
| 51337.1478869285 |
| 60203.9976263205 |
| 97446.8061957837 |
| 36007.1515922005 |
| -16216.144863234 |
| -40415.9424668658 |
| -29936.0681339302 |
| -83672.1162083361 |
| -89222.2585037513 |
| -179840.148953357 |
| 131720.748011851 |
| 51439.0311824562 |
| -65946.6537553026 |
| -47386.6401100771 |
| 18350.9053393578 |
| -49478.5132876558 |
| 83208.6026121016 |
| 46741.8280585498 |
| -226991.161765728 |
| 177668.429231323 |
| -32392.7284226088 |
| -8112.7000165097 |
| 106887.667707252 |
| -28491.5234862666 |
| -23618.2992665063 |
| -10415.2081453434 |
| -54671.2980753995 |
| 14176.6968545894 |
| -66566.4863121712 |
| -62030.7487014494 |
| 43808.1309891911 |
| -62614.8109097407 |
| 10375.8950071096 |
| -13335.97554499 |
| 64590.8336507414 |
| -9475.48594840941 |
| -4439.91830516964 |
| -5307.20030488405 |
| -6749.88090226554 |
