Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	9614	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	8639	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	8772	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	10894	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10455	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	11179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	10588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	10794	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	12770	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	13812	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	10857	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	9290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	10925	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	9491	9417.8092	8302.2053	10634.3376	0.4531	0.0076	0.8952	0.0076
74	8919	9559.0736	8313.8882	10929.2746	0.1799	0.5388	0.8699	0.0254
75	11607	11808.2202	10236.5009	13541.5401	0.41	0.9995	0.8494	0.841
76	8852	11343.5857	9706.2547	13165.097	0.0037	0.3884	0.8305	0.6738
77	12537	12109.6935	10286.904	14147.3611	0.3405	0.9991	0.8147	0.8728
78	14759	11484.386	9633.373	13571.0479	0.001	0.1614	0.8001	0.7004
79	13667	11702.409	9734.3909	13933.3254	0.0422	0.0036	0.7876	0.7527
80	13731	13790.4225	11477.8126	16410.9715	0.4823	0.5368	0.7773	0.9839
81	15110	14889.3401	12346.8953	17777.3594	0.4405	0.7841	0.7677	0.9964
82	12185	11769.0719	9543.4763	14334.7519	0.3753	0.0054	0.757	0.7405
83	10645	10108.9043	8047.0502	12514.8029	0.3312	0.0454	0.7477	0.2531
84	12161	11841.0183	9456.1918	14617.9448	0.4107	0.8007	0.741	0.741
85	10840	10244.4832	7571.9386	13516.0872	0.3606	0.1254	0.6742	0.3417
86	10436	10394.2979	7506.7901	13981.5543	0.4909	0.4038	0.7899	0.3859
87	13589	12774.8376	9216.0663	17199.0581	0.3592	0.8499	0.6976	0.7938
88	13402	12283.7341	8645.531	16877.8564	0.3166	0.2888	0.9284	0.7189
89	13103	13093.3152	9103.2655	18170.6108	0.4985	0.4526	0.585	0.7987
90	14933	12432.5897	8432.3694	17602.2278	0.1716	0.3997	0.1889	0.7162
91	14147	12663.027	8455.1852	18154.1267	0.2982	0.2089	0.36	0.7325
92	14057	14866.5975	9963.6698	21249.9678	0.4018	0.5874	0.6363	0.8869
93	16234	16024.1691	10675.1656	23014.2735	0.4765	0.7094	0.6012	0.9236
94	12389	12733.4716	8091.9292	18977.5421	0.4569	0.1359	0.5683	0.7149
95	11595	10977.0486	6710.4491	16853.3072	0.4184	0.3188	0.5441	0.5069
96	12772	12809.492	7898.269	19538.551	0.4956	0.6382	0.5749	0.7085

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0659	0.0078	0	5356.89	0	0
74	0.0731	-0.067	0.0374	409694.2317	207525.5609	455.5497
75	0.0749	-0.017	0.0306	40489.5507	151846.8908	389.6754
76	0.0819	-0.2196	0.0779	6207999.4459	1665885.0296	1290.6917
77	0.0859	0.0353	0.0693	182590.8649	1369226.1967	1170.1394
78	0.0927	0.2851	0.1053	10723096.6688	2928204.6087	1711.1998
79	0.0973	0.1679	0.1142	3859617.7542	3061263.6295	1749.6467
80	0.097	-0.0043	0.1005	3531.0283	2679047.0543	1636.7795
81	0.099	0.0148	0.091	48690.7901	2386785.2472	1544.9224
82	0.1112	0.0353	0.0854	172996.1556	2165406.338	1471.532
83	0.1214	0.053	0.0825	287398.5599	1994678.3582	1412.3308
84	0.1197	0.027	0.0779	102388.2864	1836987.5189	1355.3551
85	0.1629	0.0581	0.0763	354640.2443	1722960.8054	1312.616
86	0.1761	0.004	0.0712	1739.0661	1600016.3955	1264.9175
87	0.1767	0.0637	0.0707	662860.4869	1537539.3349	1239.9755
88	0.1908	0.091	0.0719	1250518.6532	1519600.5423	1232.7208
89	0.1978	7e-04	0.0678	93.7947	1430217.7924	1195.9171
90	0.2121	0.2011	0.0752	6252051.5044	1698097.4431	1303.1107
91	0.2212	0.1172	0.0774	2202175.9913	1724627.893	1313.2509
92	0.2191	-0.0545	0.0762	655448.0821	1671168.9025	1292.737
93	0.2226	0.0131	0.0732	44029.0224	1593686.051	1262.4128
94	0.2502	-0.0271	0.0711	118660.6568	1526639.4422	1235.5725
95	0.2731	0.0563	0.0705	381863.9581	1476866.5951	1215.264
96	0.268	-0.0029	0.0677	1405.6513	1415389.0558	1189.7012