ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||
Iteration | ar1 | sar1 |
Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2901 | -0.466 |
(p-val) | (0.0207 ) | (1e-04 ) |
Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.4833 |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
Value |
867.887555241421 |
-2350.0209312716 |
35301.4331892699 |
11019.1896514412 |
45.4505608901185 |
24848.7082157414 |
21507.3852228497 |
279466.041799423 |
-109187.675853339 |
-48621.0495834877 |
77042.6286125918 |
32826.0692269327 |
-79362.7208077937 |
-23909.4211033587 |
-52463.6239656346 |
23535.8952235497 |
107884.565273569 |
-192217.77965315 |
86909.2944825636 |
-157877.776028633 |
119725.389510226 |
201223.66137714 |
127852.994132793 |
115180.707574469 |
144576.953030173 |
91409.6818360912 |
25746.1710307552 |
-26626.590652073 |
-39777.0366937053 |
-95871.4651060858 |
-122504.565601162 |
-229582.381998577 |
45275.1535023675 |
43675.3492277416 |
-41139.1123671328 |
-55959.5843320714 |
-1017.37332242331 |
-50527.8658698716 |
72421.0240318287 |
64306.4217006737 |
-199952.519065993 |
122615.31037689 |
-16427.2203169171 |
-2530.28989058551 |
91772.989791009 |
2332.62845558327 |
-11538.9992783939 |
-12175.7145522386 |
-54736.504561243 |
2354.16136643502 |
-69577.2162025929 |
-80469.8397916181 |
14806.6663648619 |
-67609.3650980432 |
-6799.85091730781 |
-31697.4077331757 |
47927.8921123272 |
2742.16182907949 |
4095.74310762383 |
-2956.74298745553 |
-2958.69246101167 |