Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	431.8813	376.249	487.5136	0.3	0.8282	0.8282	0.8282
134	391	417.6352	320.6371	514.6334	0.2952	0.5051	0.5051	0.6008
135	419	422.5365	301.4665	543.6065	0.4772	0.6952	0.6952	0.6118
136	461	413.3298	269.5039	557.1557	0.258	0.4692	0.4692	0.5452
137	472	413.3907	251.9544	574.827	0.2384	0.2816	0.2816	0.5406
138	535	407.2735	229.2043	585.3426	0.0799	0.2381	0.2381	0.51
139	622	405.3351	212.9454	597.7248	0.0136	0.0933	0.0933	0.5014
140	606	400.6548	194.7758	606.5338	0.0253	0.0175	0.0175	0.4835
141	508	397.8604	179.7832	615.9376	0.1611	0.0307	0.0307	0.4744
142	461	393.8573	164.2732	623.4413	0.2833	0.1649	0.1649	0.4621
143	390	390.7141	150.4585	630.9697	0.4977	0.2832	0.2832	0.4536
144	432	387.0472	136.6883	637.4062	0.3624	0.4908	0.4908	0.4441

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.0657	-0.0345	0	221.453	0	0
134	0.1185	-0.0638	0.0491	709.4348	465.4439	21.5741
135	0.1462	-0.0084	0.0355	12.5067	314.4649	17.7332
136	0.1775	0.1153	0.0555	2272.4483	803.9607	28.3542
137	0.1992	0.1418	0.0727	3435.0475	1330.1781	36.4716
138	0.2231	0.3136	0.1129	16314.0648	3827.4925	61.8667
139	0.2422	0.5345	0.1731	46943.6858	9986.9487	99.9347
140	0.2622	0.5125	0.2155	42166.6528	14009.4117	118.3614
141	0.2797	0.2768	0.2224	12130.7305	13800.6694	117.4763
142	0.2974	0.1705	0.2172	4508.1488	12871.4173	113.4523
143	0.3137	-0.0018	0.1976	0.5099	11701.3348	108.1727
144	0.33	0.1161	0.1908	2020.75	10894.6194	104.3773