Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[37])
25	16236.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	12521	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	14762.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	15446.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	13635	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	14212.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	15021.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	14134.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	13721.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	14384.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	15638.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	19711.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	20359.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	16141.4	15524.1146	14514.5123	16533.717	0.1154	0	1	0
39	20056.9	17907.5744	16651.0451	19164.1037	4e-04	0.9971	1	1e-04
40	20605.5	19467.2947	17980.3444	20954.2451	0.0668	0.2185	1	0.1197
41	19325.8	13848.2409	12165.5188	15530.9631	0	0	0.5981	0
42	20547.7	16203.1349	14344.6561	18061.6137	0	5e-04	0.9821	0
43	19211.2	15996.8722	13977.9526	18015.7917	9e-04	0	0.8281	0
44	19009.5	14787.5099	12619.9823	16955.0376	1e-04	0	0.7226	0
45	18746.8	14848.3292	12541.7498	17154.9086	5e-04	2e-04	0.8309	0
46	16471.5	17579.5148	15141.8023	20017.2274	0.1865	0.174	0.9949	0.0127
47	18957.2	17865.4621	15303.3192	20427.6049	0.2018	0.8569	0.9558	0.0282
48	20515.2	21619.5894	18938.7855	24300.3933	0.2097	0.9742	0.9185	0.8215
49	18374.4	21987.3498	19192.9191	24781.7805	0.0056	0.8491	0.8732	0.8732

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
38	0.0332	0.0398	0	381041.2393	0	0
39	0.0358	0.12	0.0799	4619600.635	2500320.9371	1581.2403
40	0.039	0.0585	0.0728	1295511.2218	2098717.6987	1448.6952
41	0.062	0.3955	0.1534	30003653.3815	9074951.6194	3012.466
42	0.0585	0.2681	0.1764	18875245.8822	11035010.4719	3321.8986
43	0.0644	0.2009	0.1805	10331903.523	10917825.9805	3304.2134
44	0.0748	0.2855	0.1955	17825200.055	11904593.7054	3450.3034
45	0.0793	0.2626	0.2039	15198074.5869	12316278.8156	3509.4556
46	0.0707	-0.063	0.1882	1227696.8699	11084214.155	3329.2963
47	0.0732	0.0611	0.1755	1191891.7146	10094981.9109	3177.2601
48	0.0633	-0.0511	0.1642	1219675.8855	9288135.9086	3047.6443
49	0.0648	-0.1643	0.1642	13053406.0961	9601908.4242	3098.6946