Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613952.736436.494271.960.08070.29570.22950.2957
624951.84835.755870.92160.38490.90660.33480.2636
635865.637747.34586.91180.24080.93730.75920.7592
644750.651234.763169.52060.35230.22260.5270.2226
654250.998135.050669.9270.17570.66060.49990.2342
666259.101741.819879.3650.38960.9510.72250.5424
673938.346124.715754.9580.46930.00260.56310.0102
684028.241516.755442.7090.05560.07250.80110
697254.661238.098374.20550.0410.92930.48640.3689
707062.391544.594283.17020.23650.18240.23650.6606
715448.116132.668566.5450.26570.010.06990.1466
726554.96638.352874.56060.15780.53850.38080.3808


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.186-0.26050188.688200
620.1877-0.05490.15778.111198.39969.9197
630.1654-0.11640.143958.334385.04459.222
640.1901-0.07210.12613.330967.11618.1924
650.1894-0.17640.136180.966269.88618.3598
660.17490.0490.12168.400159.63857.7226
670.2210.01710.10660.427551.17987.154
680.26140.41640.1453138.262662.06517.8781
690.18240.31720.1644300.633688.57279.4113
700.16990.12190.160257.889885.50449.2469
710.19540.12230.156734.620880.87878.9933
720.18190.18250.1589100.681482.52899.0845