| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1291 | 0 | 130 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 617 | 638.372703109766 | 16.8101778033781 | 578.817119086856 | 21.372703109766 |
| 2 | 614 | 636.626255824816 | 10.7250051517869 | 580.648739023397 | 22.6262558248159 |
| 3 | 647 | 597.78889287971 | 113.730748160352 | 582.480358959938 | -49.2111071202903 |
| 4 | 580 | 590.348133163696 | -14.5998371125028 | 584.251703948806 | 10.3481331636964 |
| 5 | 614 | 619.362024129804 | 22.6149269325218 | 586.023048937675 | 5.36202412980367 |
| 6 | 636 | 570.329066629761 | 114.118578116122 | 587.552355254118 | -65.6709333702394 |
| 7 | 388 | 405.296248216615 | -218.377909787176 | 589.081661570561 | 17.296248216615 |
| 8 | 356 | 446.340915097518 | -324.879067406926 | 590.538152309408 | 90.3409150975181 |
| 9 | 639 | 520.11290590441 | 165.892451047335 | 591.994643048255 | -118.88709409559 |
| 10 | 753 | 821.377025701678 | 91.250063544774 | 593.372910753548 | 68.377025701678 |
| 11 | 611 | 623.03388779974 | 4.21493374141882 | 594.751178458841 | 12.0338877997399 |
| 12 | 639 | 664.074586792206 | 18.4999310096809 | 595.425482198113 | 25.0745867922061 |
| 13 | 630 | 647.090036259237 | 16.8101778033781 | 596.099785937385 | 17.0900362592371 |
| 14 | 586 | 564.456650834748 | 10.7250051517869 | 596.818344013466 | -21.5433491652525 |
| 15 | 695 | 678.732349750102 | 113.730748160352 | 597.536902089546 | -16.2676502498983 |
| 16 | 552 | 520.12475400649 | -14.5998371125028 | 598.475083106013 | -31.8752459935104 |
| 17 | 619 | 615.971808944998 | 22.6149269325218 | 599.41326412248 | -3.0281910550018 |
| 18 | 681 | 647.301924039799 | 114.118578116122 | 600.579497844079 | -33.6980759602008 |
| 19 | 421 | 458.632178221498 | -218.377909787176 | 601.745731565678 | 37.6321782214976 |
| 20 | 307 | 334.612786172565 | -324.879067406926 | 604.266281234361 | 27.6127861725649 |
| 21 | 754 | 735.320718049621 | 165.892451047335 | 606.786830903043 | -18.6792819503789 |
| 22 | 690 | 679.25820624371 | 91.250063544774 | 609.491730211516 | -10.7417937562903 |
| 23 | 644 | 671.588436738592 | 4.21493374141882 | 612.196629519989 | 27.5884367385919 |
| 24 | 643 | 652.424609034277 | 18.4999310096809 | 615.075459956042 | 9.42460903427707 |
| 25 | 608 | 581.235531804527 | 16.8101778033781 | 617.954290392095 | -26.7644681954731 |
| 26 | 651 | 670.172744842332 | 10.7250051517869 | 621.102250005882 | 19.1727448423316 |
| 27 | 691 | 644.01904221998 | 113.730748160352 | 624.250209619668 | -46.9809577800199 |
| 28 | 627 | 641.763162610431 | -14.5998371125028 | 626.836674502071 | 14.7631626104314 |
| 29 | 634 | 615.961933683003 | 22.6149269325218 | 629.423139384475 | -18.0380663169966 |
| 30 | 731 | 715.936681864219 | 114.118578116122 | 631.94474001966 | -15.0633181357813 |
| 31 | 475 | 533.911569132331 | -218.377909787176 | 634.466340654844 | 58.9115691323315 |
| 32 | 337 | 359.809780613056 | -324.879067406926 | 639.069286793869 | 22.8097806130563 |
| 33 | 803 | 796.43531601977 | 165.892451047335 | 643.672232932895 | -6.56468398023003 |
| 34 | 722 | 704.59669585085 | 91.250063544774 | 648.153240604376 | -17.4033041491504 |
| 35 | 590 | 523.150817982723 | 4.21493374141882 | 652.634248275858 | -66.8491820172769 |
| 36 | 724 | 774.780245022079 | 18.4999310096809 | 654.71982396824 | 50.7802450220794 |
| 37 | 627 | 580.384422536 | 16.8101778033781 | 656.805399660622 | -46.6155774639997 |
| 38 | 696 | 723.172401000919 | 10.7250051517869 | 658.102593847294 | 27.1724010009193 |
| 39 | 825 | 876.869463805682 | 113.730748160352 | 659.399788033966 | 51.8694638056821 |
| 40 | 677 | 707.228254153158 | -14.5998371125028 | 661.371582959345 | 30.2282541531579 |
| 41 | 656 | 626.041695182754 | 22.6149269325218 | 663.343377884724 | -29.9583048172457 |
| 42 | 785 | 792.385048447442 | 114.118578116122 | 663.496373436436 | 7.38504844744205 |
| 43 | 412 | 378.728540799027 | -218.377909787176 | 663.649368988149 | -33.2714592009729 |
| 44 | 352 | 367.307300455463 | -324.879067406926 | 661.571766951462 | 15.3073004554633 |
| 45 | 839 | 852.613384037888 | 165.892451047335 | 659.494164914776 | 13.6133840378881 |
| 46 | 729 | 708.026715823969 | 91.250063544774 | 658.723220631257 | -20.9732841760307 |
| 47 | 696 | 729.832789910844 | 4.21493374141882 | 657.952276347737 | 33.8327899108441 |
| 48 | 641 | 603.58001975105 | 18.4999310096809 | 659.920049239269 | -37.4199802489501 |
| 49 | 695 | 711.30200006582 | 16.8101778033781 | 661.887822130802 | 16.3020000658204 |
| 50 | 638 | 602.218760638208 | 10.7250051517869 | 663.056234210005 | -35.7812393617919 |
| 51 | 762 | 746.04460555044 | 113.730748160352 | 664.224646289209 | -15.9553944495605 |
| 52 | 635 | 621.790952107182 | -14.5998371125028 | 662.808885005321 | -13.2090478928179 |
| 53 | 721 | 757.991949346045 | 22.6149269325218 | 661.393123721433 | 36.9919493460452 |
| 54 | 854 | 933.009743742126 | 114.118578116122 | 660.871678141753 | 79.0097437421257 |
| 55 | 418 | 394.027677225104 | -218.377909787176 | 660.350232562072 | -23.9723227748964 |
| 56 | 367 | 399.3190904741 | -324.879067406926 | 659.559976932826 | 32.3190904741002 |
| 57 | 824 | 823.337827649085 | 165.892451047335 | 658.769721303579 | -0.662172350914602 |
| 58 | 687 | 626.946614408749 | 91.250063544774 | 655.803322046477 | -60.053385591251 |
| 59 | 601 | 544.948143469206 | 4.21493374141882 | 652.836922789375 | -56.0518565307938 |
| 60 | 676 | 684.880517999539 | 18.4999310096809 | 648.61955099078 | 8.88051799953939 |
| 61 | 740 | 818.787643004437 | 16.8101778033781 | 644.402179192185 | 78.7876430044373 |
| 62 | 691 | 730.089439201901 | 10.7250051517869 | 641.185555646313 | 39.0894392019005 |
| 63 | 683 | 614.300319739208 | 113.730748160352 | 637.96893210044 | -68.6996802607924 |
| 64 | 594 | 567.001237702454 | -14.5998371125028 | 635.598599410049 | -26.9987622975464 |
| 65 | 729 | 802.15680634782 | 22.6149269325218 | 633.228266719658 | 73.1568063478202 |
| 66 | 731 | 716.971010111127 | 114.118578116122 | 630.910411772752 | -14.0289898888734 |
| 67 | 386 | 361.78535296133 | -218.377909787176 | 628.592556825845 | -24.2146470386696 |
| 68 | 331 | 360.096215497999 | -324.879067406926 | 626.782851908927 | 29.0962154979986 |
| 69 | 706 | 621.134401960655 | 165.892451047335 | 624.973146992009 | -84.8655980393446 |
| 70 | 715 | 714.035056564337 | 91.250063544774 | 624.714879890889 | -0.964943435663258 |
| 71 | 657 | 685.328453468812 | 4.21493374141882 | 624.45661278977 | 28.3284534688116 |
| 72 | 653 | 663.088970329579 | 18.4999310096809 | 624.411098660741 | 10.0889703295785 |
| 73 | 642 | 642.82423766491 | 16.8101778033781 | 624.365584531712 | 0.824237664910015 |
| 74 | 643 | 648.38380208276 | 10.7250051517869 | 626.891192765453 | 5.38380208276021 |
| 75 | 718 | 692.852450840454 | 113.730748160352 | 629.416800999194 | -25.1475491595457 |
| 76 | 654 | 689.2495647601 | -14.5998371125028 | 633.350272352403 | 35.2495647600996 |
| 77 | 632 | 604.101329361866 | 22.6149269325218 | 637.283743705613 | -27.8986706381345 |
| 78 | 731 | 708.283595737069 | 114.118578116122 | 639.597826146809 | -22.7164042629306 |
| 79 | 392 | 360.466001199171 | -218.377909787176 | 641.911908588005 | -31.5339988008293 |
| 80 | 344 | 369.797252669782 | -324.879067406926 | 643.081814737143 | 25.7972526697823 |
| 81 | 792 | 773.855828066383 | 165.892451047335 | 644.251720886282 | -18.1441719336174 |
| 82 | 852 | 965.874650822178 | 91.250063544774 | 646.875285633048 | 113.874650822178 |
| 83 | 649 | 644.286215878767 | 4.21493374141882 | 649.498850379815 | -4.7137841212334 |
| 84 | 629 | 583.931785264093 | 18.4999310096809 | 655.568283726226 | -45.0682147359072 |
| 85 | 685 | 691.552105123984 | 16.8101778033781 | 661.637717072638 | 6.55210512398367 |
| 86 | 617 | 555.055043377985 | 10.7250051517869 | 668.219951470228 | -61.9449566220146 |
| 87 | 715 | 641.467065971831 | 113.730748160352 | 674.802185867817 | -73.5329340281691 |
| 88 | 715 | 762.68400573373 | -14.5998371125028 | 681.915831378773 | 47.6840057337303 |
| 89 | 629 | 546.35559617775 | 22.6149269325218 | 689.029476889728 | -82.6444038222498 |
| 90 | 916 | 1017.82506328647 | 114.118578116122 | 700.056358597413 | 101.825063286465 |
| 91 | 531 | 569.294669482077 | -218.377909787176 | 711.083240305098 | 38.2946694820774 |
| 92 | 357 | 314.02137918813 | -324.879067406926 | 724.857688218796 | -42.9786208118704 |
| 93 | 917 | 929.47541282017 | 165.892451047335 | 738.632136132494 | 12.4754128201704 |
| 94 | 828 | 815.496124454478 | 91.250063544774 | 749.253812000748 | -12.5038755455222 |
| 95 | 708 | 651.909578389579 | 4.21493374141882 | 759.875487869002 | -56.0904216104211 |
| 96 | 858 | 932.614461212039 | 18.4999310096809 | 764.885607778281 | 74.6144612120386 |
| 97 | 775 | 763.294094509063 | 16.8101778033781 | 769.895727687559 | -11.705905490937 |
| 98 | 785 | 786.666187652313 | 10.7250051517869 | 772.6088071959 | 1.66618765231294 |
| 99 | 1006 | 1122.94736513541 | 113.730748160352 | 775.321886704241 | 116.947365135407 |
| 100 | 789 | 814.132359885332 | -14.5998371125028 | 778.467477227171 | 25.1323598853323 |
| 101 | 734 | 663.772005317379 | 22.6149269325218 | 781.6130677501 | -70.2279946826213 |
| 102 | 906 | 914.834597941373 | 114.118578116122 | 783.046823942506 | 8.83459794137252 |
| 103 | 532 | 497.897329652264 | -218.377909787176 | 784.480580134912 | -34.1026703477362 |
| 104 | 387 | 313.782902027323 | -324.879067406926 | 785.096165379603 | -73.217097972677 |
| 105 | 991 | 1030.39579832837 | 165.892451047335 | 785.711750624294 | 39.3957983283708 |
| 106 | 841 | 803.080279953104 | 91.250063544774 | 787.669656502122 | -37.9197200468957 |
| 107 | 892 | 990.157503878631 | 4.21493374141882 | 789.62756237995 | 98.1575038786315 |
| 108 | 782 | 751.805130476367 | 18.4999310096809 | 793.694938513952 | -30.1948695236327 |
| 109 | 811 | 807.427507548668 | 16.8101778033781 | 797.762314647954 | -3.57249245133221 |
| 110 | 792 | 772.733905279623 | 10.7250051517869 | 800.54108956859 | -19.2660947203769 |
| 111 | 978 | 1038.94938735042 | 113.730748160352 | 803.319864489226 | 60.9493873504222 |
| 112 | 773 | 757.426119678622 | -14.5998371125028 | 803.173717433881 | -15.5738803213777 |
| 113 | 796 | 766.357502688943 | 22.6149269325218 | 803.027570378535 | -29.642497311057 |
| 114 | 946 | 976.858159848946 | 114.118578116122 | 801.023262034932 | 30.8581598489458 |
| 115 | 594 | 607.358956095846 | -218.377909787176 | 799.01895369133 | 13.3589560958459 |
| 116 | 438 | 402.006072723904 | -324.879067406926 | 798.872994683021 | -35.9939272760957 |
| 117 | 1023 | 1081.38051327795 | 165.892451047335 | 798.727035674713 | 58.3805132779514 |
| 118 | 868 | 843.607821413925 | 91.250063544774 | 801.142115041301 | -24.3921785860749 |
| 119 | 791 | 774.227871850692 | 4.21493374141882 | 803.557194407889 | -16.7721281493077 |
| 120 | 760 | 694.993390720681 | 18.4999310096809 | 806.506678269638 | -65.0066092793188 |
| 121 | 779 | 731.733660065235 | 16.8101778033781 | 809.456162131387 | -47.2663399347651 |
| 122 | 852 | 878.918147054042 | 10.7250051517869 | 814.356847794171 | 26.9181470540416 |
| 123 | 1001 | 1069.01171838269 | 113.730748160352 | 819.257533456956 | 68.0117183826923 |
| 124 | 734 | 657.197195358889 | -14.5998371125028 | 825.402641753614 | -76.8028046411114 |
| 125 | 996 | 1137.83732301721 | 22.6149269325218 | 831.547750050273 | 141.837323017206 |
| 126 | 869 | 785.810232238986 | 114.118578116122 | 838.071189644893 | -83.1897677610144 |
| 127 | 599 | 571.783280547663 | -218.377909787176 | 844.594629239513 | -27.216719452337 |
| 128 | 426 | 325.72660784846 | -324.879067406926 | 851.152459558466 | -100.27339215154 |
| 129 | 1138 | 1252.39725907525 | 165.892451047335 | 857.710289877419 | 114.397259075245 |
