Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	53.3902	36.0369	70.7434	0.052	0.3013	0.2277	0.3013
62	49	52.6891	35.3348	70.0433	0.3385	0.939	0.3542	0.2743
63	58	65.34	47.9858	82.6943	0.2036	0.9675	0.7964	0.7964
64	47	50.8299	33.4756	68.1841	0.3327	0.209	0.5373	0.209
65	42	51.2337	33.8794	68.5879	0.1485	0.6837	0.5105	0.2224
66	62	58.8615	41.5073	76.2158	0.3615	0.9716	0.746	0.5388
67	39	38.6718	21.3176	56.026	0.4852	0.0042	0.5749	0.0145
68	40	28.0356	10.6814	45.3898	0.0883	0.1078	0.7523	4e-04
69	72	54.8272	37.4729	72.1814	0.0262	0.953	0.4922	0.36
70	70	63.0949	45.7407	80.4492	0.2177	0.1573	0.2177	0.7175
71	54	49.1953	31.841	66.5496	0.2937	0.0094	0.0741	0.16
72	65	55.5812	38.2269	72.9354	0.1437	0.5709	0.3924	0.3924

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.1658	-0.2695	0	207.0764	0	0
62	0.168	-0.07	0.1698	13.6092	110.3428	10.5044
63	0.1355	-0.1123	0.1506	53.8762	91.5206	9.5666
64	0.1742	-0.0753	0.1318	14.6679	72.3074	8.5034
65	0.1728	-0.1802	0.1415	85.2604	74.898	8.6544
66	0.1504	0.0533	0.1268	9.8499	64.0567	8.0035
67	0.229	0.0085	0.1099	0.1077	54.9211	7.4109
68	0.3158	0.4268	0.1495	143.1474	65.9494	8.1209
69	0.1615	0.3132	0.1677	294.9055	91.389	9.5598
70	0.1403	0.1094	0.1619	47.6798	87.018	9.3283
71	0.18	0.0977	0.156	23.0851	81.206	9.0114
72	0.1593	0.1695	0.1572	88.7145	81.8317	9.0461