Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	2513.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2466.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	2502.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	2539.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	2482.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	2626.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	2656.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	2446.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	2467.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	2462.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	2504.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	2579.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	2649.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	2636.87	2667.6296	2321.2206	3014.0386	0.4309	0.5414	0.8719	0.5414
62	2613.94	2672.4711	2114.3485	3230.5936	0.4186	0.5497	0.7245	0.5325
63	2634.01	2673.7457	1949.4576	3398.0339	0.4572	0.5643	0.6414	0.5264
64	2711.94	2674.0813	1811.7809	3536.3816	0.4657	0.5363	0.6683	0.5225
65	2646.43	2674.1696	1692.2884	3656.0509	0.4779	0.4699	0.5382	0.5198
66	2717.79	2674.1929	1585.6015	3762.7843	0.4687	0.5199	0.5128	0.5179
67	2701.54	2674.199	1488.4164	3859.9816	0.482	0.4713	0.6466	0.5165
68	2572.98	2674.2006	1398.5996	3949.8016	0.4382	0.4832	0.6247	0.5153
69	2488.92	2674.2011	1314.7	4033.7021	0.3947	0.558	0.62	0.5144
70	2204.91	2674.2012	1235.6845	4112.7178	0.2613	0.5997	0.5914	0.5136
71	2123.99	2674.2012	1160.7886	4187.6138	0.2381	0.7283	0.5489	0.5129
72	2149.1	2674.2012	1089.4282	4258.9742	0.258	0.7519	0.5123	0.5123

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0663	-0.0115	0	946.1529	0	0
62	0.1066	-0.0219	0.0167	3425.8872	2186.0201	46.7549
63	0.1382	-0.0149	0.0161	1578.9265	1983.6556	44.5382
64	0.1645	0.0142	0.0156	1433.2824	1846.0623	42.9658
65	0.1873	-0.0104	0.0146	769.4872	1630.7472	40.3825
66	0.2077	0.0163	0.0149	1900.7079	1675.7407	40.9358
67	0.2262	0.0102	0.0142	747.5295	1543.1391	39.2828
68	0.2434	-0.0379	0.0172	10245.6153	2630.9486	51.2928
69	0.2594	-0.0693	0.0229	34329.0679	6152.9619	78.4408
70	0.2745	-0.1755	0.0382	220234.1956	27561.0852	166.0153
71	0.2887	-0.2057	0.0534	302732.3562	52576.6553	229.296
72	0.3024	-0.1964	0.0653	275731.2704	71172.8733	266.7824