Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[156])
144	27.735	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
145	27.132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
146	24.924	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
147	28.963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
148	26.589	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
149	27.931	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
150	28.009	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
151	29.229	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
152	28.759	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
153	28.405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
154	27.945	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
155	25.912	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
156	26.619	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
157	26.076	26.1434	24.9245	27.3622	0.4569	0.2222	0.0559	0.2222
158	25.286	24.7103	23.0508	26.3697	0.2482	0.0534	0.4003	0.0121
159	27.66	27.784	25.889	29.679	0.449	0.9951	0.1113	0.8859
160	25.951	26.3256	24.2068	28.4444	0.3645	0.1085	0.4037	0.393
161	26.398	27.7262	25.3905	30.0619	0.1325	0.9318	0.4318	0.8236
162	25.565	27.1625	24.6316	29.6933	0.108	0.7231	0.256	0.6631
163	28.865	28.8092	26.0992	31.5191	0.4839	0.9905	0.3807	0.9434
164	30	28.5284	25.6498	31.407	0.1582	0.4094	0.4376	0.9032
165	29.261	28.252	25.2139	31.2902	0.2576	0.1297	0.4607	0.854
166	29.012	28.6438	25.4542	31.8334	0.4105	0.3523	0.6662	0.8933
167	26.992	26.4427	23.1085	29.7768	0.3734	0.0655	0.6225	0.4587
168	27.897	27.3213	23.8486	30.7941	0.3726	0.5737	0.6541	0.6541

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
157	0.0238	-0.0026	0	0.0045	0	0
158	0.0343	0.0233	0.0129	0.3315	0.168	0.4099
159	0.0348	-0.0045	0.0101	0.0154	0.1171	0.3422
160	0.0411	-0.0142	0.0111	0.1403	0.1229	0.3506
161	0.043	-0.0479	0.0185	1.7641	0.4511	0.6717
162	0.0475	-0.0588	0.0252	2.5519	0.8013	0.8951
163	0.048	0.0019	0.0219	0.0031	0.6873	0.829
164	0.0515	0.0516	0.0256	2.1656	0.872	0.9338
165	0.0549	0.0357	0.0267	1.018	0.8883	0.9425
166	0.0568	0.0129	0.0253	0.1356	0.813	0.9017
167	0.0643	0.0208	0.0249	0.3018	0.7665	0.8755
168	0.0649	0.0211	0.0246	0.3314	0.7303	0.8545