Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[144])
132	26.987	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	26.589	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
134	24.848	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
135	27.543	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
136	26.896	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
137	28.878	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
138	27.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
139	28.065	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
140	28.141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
141	29.048	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
142	28.484	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
143	26.634	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
144	27.735	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
145	27.132	27.3191	26.0915	28.5466	0.3826	0.2533	0.8781	0.2533
146	24.924	26.0894	24.3952	27.7837	0.0888	0.1139	0.9245	0.0285
147	28.963	29.051	27.1135	30.9886	0.4645	1	0.9364	0.9085
148	26.589	26.9903	24.8269	29.1538	0.3581	0.037	0.534	0.2499
149	27.931	28.1183	25.7332	30.5034	0.4388	0.8956	0.2662	0.6236
150	28.009	28.346	25.7606	30.9314	0.3992	0.6235	0.7657	0.6784
151	29.229	30.1252	27.3566	32.8938	0.2629	0.933	0.9277	0.9547
152	28.759	30.0041	27.0632	32.945	0.2033	0.6973	0.8928	0.9348
153	28.405	29.2721	26.168	32.3762	0.292	0.627	0.5563	0.8341
154	27.945	29.4744	26.2154	32.7334	0.1788	0.7399	0.7243	0.8522
155	25.912	27.5475	24.1407	30.9544	0.1734	0.4096	0.7004	0.4571
156	26.619	28.4366	24.8881	31.9852	0.1577	0.9184	0.6508	0.6508
157	26.076	27.922	24.2685	31.5755	0.161	0.7577	0.6642	0.54
158	25.286	26.3969	22.64	30.1539	0.2811	0.5665	0.7789	0.2426
159	27.66	29.5605	25.6976	33.4234	0.1674	0.985	0.6191	0.8228
160	25.951	28.0762	24.1108	32.0417	0.1468	0.5815	0.7689	0.567
161	26.398	29.4733	25.4087	33.5378	0.069	0.9553	0.7715	0.799
162	25.565	28.9113	24.7499	33.0727	0.0575	0.8817	0.6646	0.7102
163	28.865	30.543	26.2868	34.7991	0.2198	0.9891	0.7274	0.902
164	30	30.2251	25.8762	34.574	0.4596	0.7301	0.7456	0.8691
165	29.261	29.9458	25.5062	34.3855	0.3812	0.4905	0.7518	0.8355
166	29.012	30.3188	25.7902	34.8473	0.2858	0.6765	0.8479	0.8683
167	26.992	28.1029	23.4871	32.7187	0.3186	0.3497	0.8239	0.5621
168	27.897	28.9611	24.2597	33.6625	0.3287	0.7941	0.8356	0.6954

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
145	0.0229	-0.0068	0	0.035	0	0
146	0.0331	-0.0447	0.0258	1.3582	0.6966	0.8346
147	0.034	-0.003	0.0182	0.0077	0.467	0.6834
148	0.0409	-0.0149	0.0174	0.1611	0.3905	0.6249
149	0.0433	-0.0067	0.0152	0.0351	0.3194	0.5652
150	0.0465	-0.0119	0.0147	0.1135	0.2851	0.534
151	0.0469	-0.0298	0.0168	0.8032	0.3591	0.5993
152	0.05	-0.0415	0.0199	1.5503	0.508	0.7128
153	0.0541	-0.0296	0.021	0.7518	0.5351	0.7315
154	0.0564	-0.0519	0.0241	2.3391	0.7155	0.8459
155	0.0631	-0.0594	0.0273	2.675	0.8936	0.9453
156	0.0637	-0.0639	0.0303	3.3038	1.0945	1.0462
157	0.0668	-0.0661	0.0331	3.4078	1.2724	1.128
158	0.0726	-0.0421	0.0337	1.2341	1.2697	1.1268
159	0.0667	-0.0643	0.0358	3.6119	1.4258	1.1941
160	0.0721	-0.0757	0.0383	4.5166	1.619	1.2724
161	0.0704	-0.1043	0.0421	9.4573	2.0801	1.4423
162	0.0734	-0.1157	0.0462	11.1978	2.5866	1.6083
163	0.0711	-0.0549	0.0467	2.8156	2.5987	1.612
164	0.0734	-0.0074	0.0447	0.0507	2.4713	1.572
165	0.0756	-0.0229	0.0437	0.469	2.3759	1.5414
166	0.0762	-0.0431	0.0437	1.7076	2.3456	1.5315
167	0.0838	-0.0395	0.0435	1.2341	2.2972	1.5157
168	0.0828	-0.0367	0.0432	1.1322	2.2487	1.4996