Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	2297	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2718	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2321	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2664	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2808	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2668	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2934	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2616	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2228	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2463	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2416	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2407	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2582	2770.8249	2457.7451	3051.9552	0.094	0.9944	0.6437	0.9944
50	2101	2382.6109	2008.6236	2705.3836	0.0436	0.113	0.6458	0.4411
51	3305	3157.7894	2884.9175	3408.8881	0.1253	1	0.6396	1
52	2818	2716.8613	2392.9055	3006.1062	0.2466	0	0.6399	0.9821
53	2401	2857.74	2550.4955	3135.0165	6e-04	0.6106	0.6374	0.9993
54	3019	2719.8228	2393.661	3010.8568	0.022	0.9841	0.6365	0.9824
55	2507	2980.7701	2685.3548	3249.4384	3e-04	0.3902	0.6335	1
56	2948	2667.8711	2331.9031	2966.0244	0.0328	0.8549	0.6334	0.9568
57	2210	2288.129	1884.1427	2630.7935	0.3275	1e-04	0.6346	0.2483
58	2467	2517.0245	2155.0455	2833.1261	0.3782	0.9715	0.6312	0.7524
59	2596	2470.5496	2099.2607	2792.908	0.2228	0.5086	0.6299	0.6504
60	2451	2461.2492	2087.0118	2785.6556	0.4753	0.2078	0.6285	0.6285

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0518	-0.0681	0	35654.8415	0	0
50	0.0691	-0.1182	0.0932	79304.6879	57479.7647	239.7494
51	0.0406	0.0466	0.0777	21670.9719	45543.5004	213.4092
52	0.0543	0.0372	0.0675	10229.0267	36714.882	191.6113
53	0.0495	-0.1598	0.086	208611.3885	71094.1833	266.6349
54	0.0546	0.11	0.09	89507.0061	74162.9871	272.3288
55	0.046	-0.1589	0.0999	224458.0963	95633.717	309.247
56	0.057	0.105	0.1005	78472.1749	93488.5242	305.7589
57	0.0764	-0.0341	0.0931	6104.1352	83779.1477	289.4463
58	0.0641	-0.0199	0.0858	2502.4486	75651.4777	275.0481
59	0.0666	0.0508	0.0826	15737.7968	70204.7795	264.9618
60	0.0672	-0.0042	0.0761	105.046	64363.135	253.6989