| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3564 | 0.3138 | 0.3079 | -0.7389 | -0.3855 | 0.0229 |
| (p-val) | (0.062 ) | (0.0323 ) | (0.0932 ) | (0 ) | (0.0506 ) | (0.9178 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3531 | 0.313 | 0.3125 | -0.737 | -0.3967 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0602 ) | (0.0322 ) | (0.0787 ) | (0 ) | (0.017 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5675 | 0.4183 | 0 | -0.8478 | -0.265 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0047 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.1341 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.6359 | 0.3471 | 0 | -0.8724 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0166 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 4206.57880433273 |
| 1569644.04793591 |
| -251529.461516807 |
| -37664.3032101457 |
| 1849832.72289813 |
| 146620.964524564 |
| 410186.617369392 |
| 1289544.86581144 |
| -524780.247976959 |
| -931404.927463381 |
| 810699.673454628 |
| 178699.741523677 |
| -706085.057300005 |
| 716194.156463106 |
| -245791.841899039 |
| 524499.480097486 |
| 1066149.84669328 |
| -1532535.66651609 |
| -1729848.70829182 |
| 89635.6478977212 |
| -456868.292892772 |
| -4556.1568409024 |
| -286044.550182122 |
| 149240.962925419 |
| 333335.001875814 |
| 736657.656096002 |
| 118242.833362155 |
| -994433.293067464 |
| -926572.19551172 |
| -538221.56150661 |
| 877905.12972065 |
| 1310176.25104409 |
| -463646.597081962 |
| -19813.1102422185 |
| -1491906.86242331 |
| -1464252.42355364 |
| 108205.487755926 |
| -626146.323453901 |
| -1417245.99827584 |
| 551391.633471207 |
| 987257.154282234 |
| -2069384.68719046 |
| 1482219.9878665 |
| -1252981.4378072 |
| 857596.890670522 |
| 632902.810136833 |
| -511021.135867789 |
| 399725.222158961 |
| 361617.115826698 |
