| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.4302 | -0.3107 | -0.1371 | -1 | 0.1943 | 0.7488 | 0.5272 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0055 ) | (0.1847 ) | (0 ) | (0.5123 ) | (0.0082 ) | (0.1839 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4367 | -0.3053 | -0.138 | -1 | 0 | 0.9266 | 0.8385 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0068 ) | (0.1831 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.4001 | -0.2453 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.9269 | 0.8406 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0178 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4.22497994706475 |
| 42.122684884488 |
| 6.62221101022214 |
| 62.1135011175233 |
| 35.3344792303557 |
| -187.189958715677 |
| -68.9244953081601 |
| 155.150441534712 |
| 432.852822685899 |
| 580.09508616584 |
| 573.482403364729 |
| -1249.97425631919 |
| -66.4390256822151 |
| 331.534916605702 |
| 380.521835633251 |
| 520.105261091278 |
| -323.966354870738 |
| 331.861092668382 |
| -1029.07015324659 |
| 638.628474593548 |
| -198.875368538846 |
| 900.562970959912 |
| 618.941024825617 |
| -562.300417496 |
| -201.726057438736 |
| 360.379151550019 |
| -501.180081236251 |
| -100.354586013437 |
| 266.993738481659 |
| -286.855016605464 |
| -786.140814603508 |
| 83.5016343629068 |
| 588.644237928867 |
| 665.290889628989 |
| 620.309939231777 |
| 1268.65037311026 |
| -1601.62291366903 |
| -946.612990630831 |
| 379.959649046154 |
| -394.577830638221 |
| 289.452759058442 |
| -286.066016416274 |
| -413.162570536489 |
| 789.303242610849 |
| -321.041427532147 |
| 410.687204382573 |
| 853.219574217609 |
| -2506.99619737505 |
| 1460.19326538727 |
| -515.069630270679 |
| -386.47665499916 |
| 416.243402394718 |
| -123.340547650398 |
| 241.306309506465 |
| -348.243611263121 |
| 539.480302811459 |
| 982.719608783003 |
| 857.113110206593 |
| -118.721706288746 |
| -1413.7104473664 |
| -654.922476974095 |
| 151.407723924067 |
| -541.600453177987 |
| 193.920941932241 |
| -204.938118665612 |
| -588.474235872648 |
| 302.154268334862 |
| 18.6387982521249 |
| 437.853580114796 |
| 1160.37189204667 |
| 1938.7608277767 |
| -2644.84853150836 |
| -1408.31886089851 |
| -983.239000830758 |
| 347.104549791956 |
| -1134.46896590761 |
| 762.458457266409 |
| 1510.56657504315 |
| -113.813198654519 |
| 632.085479345351 |
| -699.271133923711 |
| -419.192106228644 |
| 460.461117041157 |
| 761.301644854081 |
| 81.143761128398 |
| 644.993762132182 |
| 41.6821340033191 |
| 979.956129639555 |
| -359.133223163252 |
| -372.587879468961 |
| -934.656859847713 |
| 276.647178993845 |
| 264.643708658612 |
| -481.815692863818 |
| -771.192644329648 |
