| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5934 | 0.3158 | -0.7663 | 0.1138 | 0.0553 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.2755 ) | (0.6162 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5854 | 0.3242 | -0.769 | 0.1142 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (4e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.2728 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6018 | 0.3165 | -0.7727 | 0 | 0 | -1.071 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (6e-04 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0014 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -1.04366287069684 |
| -10.8003357331285 |
| 3.63872831498314 |
| 5.81487666419454 |
| 2.27536792987393 |
| 1.42334795490648 |
| 5.78958956157106 |
| 3.57406223260956 |
| 1.44337762313336 |
| 4.10253520745332 |
| 6.54071438625198 |
| 7.19075216557254 |
| 63.0724736312766 |
| -44.7555802582736 |
| -11.3451924916296 |
| 9.97728843825267 |
| 5.85621556606852 |
| 4.63228756662467 |
| 1.42330219289295 |
| 4.08317345175334 |
| 4.70617117881961 |
| 4.68650054020144 |
| 5.00257626969346 |
| -1.93251463078792 |
| -15.1437658669504 |
| 25.1714882481039 |
| 9.20914513387413 |
| -9.19352692727083 |
| -4.05415289641348 |
| 11.364512802678 |
| -6.53863805827049 |
| 4.6335787635308 |
| 9.02349797905097 |
| -5.0810142453968 |
| 5.3132422674492 |
| -18.0544994432748 |
| 18.0879498362468 |
| 12.1743485322083 |
| 8.79081302449051 |
| 2.64286487399116 |
| -9.18410195426052 |
| -7.70270960611168 |
| -22.7153854141395 |
| -7.07504649388875 |
| -0.488986475808297 |
| 6.16027632606712 |
| -1.44175776999975 |
| 5.65573110604363 |
| -1.88608759515026 |
| 19.2385556138458 |
| 4.92775952773131 |
| -17.0019085655728 |
| -7.04237894877468 |
| -13.3994833306847 |
| -11.0803569510321 |
| -1.34450079588961 |
| 3.95024868785698 |
| -1.15195197563388 |
| -6.47422089421638 |
| -9.23024472610299 |
| -18.542670321326 |
| 5.75475751203384 |
| -7.87615622962616 |
| -20.921168770749 |
| -2.9730508156381 |
| -10.0842771104145 |
| 4.589639480634 |
| 1.97686804441535 |
| 6.15940371471274 |
| 12.2266559055782 |
| 5.52007558692892 |
| -12.8418995851224 |
| -3.51369097944927 |
| 19.0361460415869 |
| -15.2183031016824 |
| -17.073802103703 |
| 4.34193886167235 |
| -9.51923412821429 |
| 14.2476337140642 |
| -3.99070530106536 |
| 1.11283682514865 |
| 4.02119431373169 |
| -4.13975234085742 |
| -7.18023407915415 |
| 0.024648475687859 |
| -8.08219406898517 |
| 1.42070907075568 |
| 12.8394081603414 |
| 5.30450646469289 |
| -3.31228310248628 |
| -3.33501884130102 |
| -5.68777844316913 |
| 15.5525010059713 |
| 0.778612232267267 |
| -3.41846994251948 |
| 5.31317446784817 |
| 2.70829538957291 |
| 15.6695942127734 |
| 7.09758541452725 |
| 16.6770535478414 |
| 0.450724728368755 |
| -5.56687735974004 |
| 18.5207533082549 |
| 3.70007794167278 |
| 10.0674237014058 |
| -3.6410627642312 |
| 6.33924544718096 |
| 4.98591790773207 |
| 4.77465057608838 |
| -6.50937391526129 |
| -5.73089306288368 |
| -10.0944597763581 |
| -7.74221018000499 |
| -15.3736336568366 |
| 11.7223747458743 |
| -7.44281962839111 |
| -5.65814693005065 |
| -11.0189997101607 |
| -0.783261746716065 |
| -6.56553988654422 |
