| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1278 | 0.1664 | 0.2475 | -1 | -0.6699 | -0.3901 | 0.0853 |
| (p-val) | (0.3408 ) | (0.2108 ) | (0.0666 ) | (0 ) | (0.2389 ) | (0.1584 ) | (0.8931 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1253 | 0.1685 | 0.2421 | -1 | -0.5953 | -0.3584 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.3458 ) | (0.2018 ) | (0.0604 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0302 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1808 | 0.2315 | -1 | -0.6021 | -0.3979 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1802 ) | (0.0778 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0115 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.2026 | -1 | -0.6168 | -0.4459 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1171 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0027 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0258 | -0.6204 | -0.444 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0029 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -3.98983386487333 |
| 13.0279292273047 |
| -6.22707532669883 |
| -3.727308955297 |
| 1.55851412721614 |
| 1.32306700344172 |
| 63.0688988477587 |
| -64.3516189661354 |
| -3.3247075563255 |
| 9.97002410841291 |
| 11.1034522804254 |
| -47.1140737637922 |
| -10.4457621650474 |
| -27.0251168226883 |
| 23.8034695979385 |
| 31.382946065211 |
| -74.851888028175 |
| 50.382723555312 |
| -60.9814102745866 |
| 68.4263209648509 |
| 42.3846755230026 |
| 35.1134442723221 |
| 21.8672875993756 |
| 36.9164687423742 |
| 7.7296075117894 |
| -18.1147924331061 |
| -37.8850452722331 |
| -25.0333984428524 |
| -53.6331100839019 |
| -30.3418411339127 |
| -34.6622703233401 |
| 22.121127260943 |
| 18.7782020912031 |
| 2.51088279990446 |
| -19.3279077050329 |
| -9.03224059593809 |
| -30.3369467496862 |
| 33.168095054609 |
| 20.0070596547124 |
| -70.1042307561964 |
| 25.3910268750564 |
| -18.3824730780169 |
| -26.2596050173113 |
| 55.7677823009751 |
| 14.7805196495053 |
| 7.59857958057215 |
| -8.1218891681502 |
| 0.791849768511198 |
| 15.6739602710521 |
| -28.350016915815 |
| -36.6588000592886 |
| -15.6523413390125 |
| -11.8292331213895 |
| -15.9848279228253 |
| -12.027476703628 |
| 21.8290069041768 |
| -11.6530957490167 |
| -4.44706572791047 |
| -22.6175657625597 |
| -13.5066921272696 |
