| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1681 | 0 | 169 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 26.663 | 27.4366051526922 | -0.643427432749217 | 26.532822280057 | 0.77360515269222 |
| 2 | 23.598 | 23.2196886724235 | -2.13714097994432 | 26.1134523075209 | -0.378311327576547 |
| 3 | 26.931 | 27.2962725397338 | 0.871645125281443 | 25.6940823349847 | 0.365272539733827 |
| 4 | 24.74 | 24.9905942244521 | -0.805468882005664 | 25.2948746575535 | 0.25059422445214 |
| 5 | 25.806 | 26.4451302124549 | 0.271202807422799 | 24.8956669801223 | 0.639130212454894 |
| 6 | 24.364 | 24.391712100542 | -0.181730815349447 | 24.5180187148074 | 0.027712100542022 |
| 7 | 24.477 | 23.4004373646628 | 1.41319218584462 | 24.1403704494925 | -1.07656263533717 |
| 8 | 23.901 | 22.8070697447103 | 1.22023460721583 | 23.7746956480738 | -1.09393025528966 |
| 9 | 23.175 | 22.212201799787 | 0.728777353557904 | 23.4090208466551 | -0.962798200213005 |
| 10 | 23.227 | 22.5643604632258 | 0.781498604756006 | 23.1081409320182 | -0.662639536774158 |
| 11 | 21.672 | 21.6574479008188 | -1.12070891819997 | 22.8072610173812 | -0.014552099181234 |
| 12 | 21.87 | 21.5105419318855 | -0.398073453301537 | 22.6275315214161 | -0.359458068114527 |
| 13 | 21.439 | 21.0736254072983 | -0.643427432749217 | 22.4478020254509 | -0.365374592701713 |
| 14 | 21.089 | 21.9405005041596 | -2.13714097994432 | 22.3746404757848 | 0.85150050415956 |
| 15 | 23.709 | 24.2448759486 | 0.871645125281443 | 22.3014789261186 | 0.535875948599973 |
| 16 | 21.669 | 21.8563104341067 | -0.805468882005664 | 22.287158447899 | 0.187310434106681 |
| 17 | 21.752 | 20.9599592228978 | 0.271202807422799 | 22.2728379696794 | -0.79204077710218 |
| 18 | 20.761 | 19.4329970158495 | -0.181730815349447 | 22.2707337995 | -1.3280029841505 |
| 19 | 23.479 | 23.2761781848349 | 1.41319218584462 | 22.2686296293205 | -0.202821815165148 |
| 20 | 23.824 | 24.1539339393983 | 1.22023460721583 | 22.2738314533859 | 0.329933939398288 |
| 21 | 23.105 | 23.2021893689909 | 0.728777353557904 | 22.2790332774512 | 0.0971893689908647 |
| 22 | 23.11 | 23.1302993395855 | 0.781498604756006 | 22.3082020556585 | 0.0202993395854634 |
| 23 | 21.759 | 22.3013380843341 | -1.12070891819997 | 22.3373708338658 | 0.542338084334148 |
| 24 | 22.073 | 22.1679817886325 | -0.398073453301537 | 22.3760916646691 | 0.0949817886324844 |
| 25 | 21.937 | 22.1026149372769 | -0.643427432749217 | 22.4148124954723 | 0.165614937276931 |
| 26 | 20.035 | 19.8026526366502 | -2.13714097994432 | 22.4044883432941 | -0.232347363349806 |
| 27 | 23.59 | 23.9141906836026 | 0.871645125281443 | 22.394164191116 | 0.324190683602584 |
| 28 | 21.672 | 21.7929593295477 | -0.805468882005664 | 22.356509552458 | 0.12095932954767 |
| 29 | 22.222 | 21.8539422787772 | 0.271202807422799 | 22.3188549138 | -0.368057721222808 |
| 30 | 22.123 | 22.1491192917565 | -0.181730815349447 | 22.2786115235929 | 0.0261192917565332 |
| 31 | 23.95 | 24.2484396807696 | 1.41319218584462 | 22.2383681333858 | 0.298439680769562 |
| 32 | 23.504 | 23.5925578292091 | 1.22023460721583 | 22.195207563575 | 0.0885578292091402 |
| 33 | 22.238 | 21.5951756526779 | 0.728777353557904 | 22.1520469937642 | -0.642824347322144 |
| 34 | 23.142 | 23.3987584251352 | 0.781498604756006 | 22.1037429701088 | 0.256758425135217 |
| 35 | 21.059 | 21.1832699717467 | -1.12070891819997 | 22.0554389464533 | 0.124269971746656 |
| 36 | 21.573 | 21.4966426942509 | -0.398073453301537 | 22.0474307590507 | -0.0763573057491165 |
| 37 | 21.548 | 21.7000048611012 | -0.643427432749217 | 22.039422571648 | 0.152004861101215 |
| 38 | 20 | 20.0697646105965 | -2.13714097994432 | 22.0673763693478 | 0.0697646105965291 |
| 39 | 22.424 | 21.881024707671 | 0.871645125281443 | 22.0953301670476 | -0.542975292329022 |
| 40 | 20.615 | 19.9004366072181 | -0.805468882005664 | 22.1350322747876 | -0.714563392781923 |
| 41 | 21.761 | 21.0760628100496 | 0.271202807422799 | 22.1747343825276 | -0.684937189950389 |
| 42 | 22.874 | 23.6958611317959 | -0.181730815349447 | 22.2338696835535 | 0.821861131795917 |
| 43 | 24.104 | 24.5018028295759 | 1.41319218584462 | 22.2930049845795 | 0.397802829575909 |
| 44 | 23.748 | 23.8625834075884 | 1.22023460721583 | 22.4131819851958 | 0.114583407588405 |
| 45 | 23.262 | 23.26186366063 | 0.728777353557904 | 22.5333589858121 | -0.000136339369955607 |
| 46 | 22.907 | 22.3199407177694 | 0.781498604756006 | 22.7125606774746 | -0.58705928223057 |
| 47 | 21.519 | 21.2669465490629 | -1.12070891819997 | 22.8917623691371 | -0.252053450937098 |
| 48 | 22.025 | 21.4044177544813 | -0.398073453301537 | 23.0436556988203 | -0.620582245518715 |
| 49 | 22.604 | 22.6558784042458 | -0.643427432749217 | 23.1955490285034 | 0.0518784042457767 |
| 50 | 20.894 | 20.6244317617806 | -2.13714097994432 | 23.3007092181637 | -0.269568238219364 |
| 51 | 24.677 | 25.0764854668946 | 0.871645125281443 | 23.4058694078239 | 0.399485466894635 |
| 52 | 23.673 | 24.6672239192992 | -0.805468882005664 | 23.4842449627065 | 0.994223919299198 |
| 53 | 25.32 | 26.8061766749882 | 0.271202807422799 | 23.562620517589 | 1.48617667498819 |
| 54 | 23.583 | 23.7288076660596 | -0.181730815349447 | 23.6189231492899 | 0.145807666059589 |
| 55 | 24.671 | 24.2535820331647 | 1.41319218584462 | 23.6752257809907 | -0.41741796683533 |
| 56 | 24.454 | 23.9692710194259 | 1.22023460721583 | 23.7184943733583 | -0.484728980574086 |
| 57 | 24.122 | 23.7534596807163 | 0.728777353557904 | 23.7617629657258 | -0.368540319283696 |
| 58 | 24.252 | 23.9200288565226 | 0.781498604756006 | 23.8024725387214 | -0.331971143477368 |
| 59 | 22.084 | 21.445526806483 | -1.12070891819997 | 23.8431821117169 | -0.638473193516958 |
| 60 | 22.991 | 22.4546299389204 | -0.398073453301537 | 23.9254435143812 | -0.536370061079644 |
| 61 | 23.287 | 23.2097225157038 | -0.643427432749217 | 24.0077049170454 | -0.0772774842962214 |
| 62 | 23.049 | 24.1142398107044 | -2.13714097994432 | 24.1209011692399 | 1.06523981070437 |
| 63 | 25.076 | 25.0462574532841 | 0.871645125281443 | 24.2340974214345 | -0.029742546715898 |
| 64 | 24.037 | 24.5613668637461 | -0.805468882005664 | 24.3181020182596 | 0.524366863746096 |
| 65 | 24.43 | 24.1866905774925 | 0.271202807422799 | 24.4021066150847 | -0.243309422507476 |
| 66 | 24.667 | 25.0775241408535 | -0.181730815349447 | 24.438206674496 | 0.410524140853457 |
| 67 | 26.451 | 27.0145010802481 | 1.41319218584462 | 24.4743067339073 | 0.563501080248074 |
| 68 | 25.618 | 25.5635307890982 | 1.22023460721583 | 24.452234603686 | -0.0544692109018001 |
| 69 | 25.014 | 24.8690601729775 | 0.728777353557904 | 24.4301624734646 | -0.144939827022526 |
| 70 | 25.11 | 25.0629515278542 | 0.781498604756006 | 24.3755498673898 | -0.0470484721457574 |
| 71 | 22.964 | 22.7277716568851 | -1.12070891819997 | 24.3209372613149 | -0.236228343114906 |
| 72 | 23.981 | 24.0718868683427 | -0.398073453301537 | 24.2881865849589 | 0.0908868683426753 |
| 73 | 23.798 | 23.9839915241464 | -0.643427432749217 | 24.2554359086029 | 0.18599152414636 |
| 74 | 22.27 | 22.4177666338758 | -2.13714097994432 | 24.2593743460685 | 0.147766633875783 |
| 75 | 24.775 | 24.4150420911843 | 0.871645125281443 | 24.2633127835342 | -0.359957908815673 |
| 76 | 22.646 | 21.8097561168425 | -0.805468882005664 | 24.2877127651632 | -0.836243883157522 |
| 77 | 23.988 | 23.3926844457851 | 0.271202807422799 | 24.3121127467921 | -0.595315554214938 |
| 78 | 24.737 | 25.3006977852897 | -0.181730815349447 | 24.3550330300597 | 0.563697785289715 |
| 79 | 26.276 | 26.7408545008281 | 1.41319218584462 | 24.3979533133273 | 0.464854500828054 |
| 80 | 25.816 | 25.947439588727 | 1.22023460721583 | 24.4643258040572 | 0.131439588727005 |
| 81 | 25.21 | 25.1605243516551 | 0.728777353557904 | 24.530698294787 | -0.0494756483448988 |
| 82 | 25.199 | 25.0126588080987 | 0.781498604756006 | 24.6038425871453 | -0.186341191901278 |
| 83 | 23.162 | 22.7677220386964 | -1.12070891819997 | 24.6769868795035 | -0.394277961303573 |
| 84 | 24.707 | 25.077096817162 | -0.398073453301537 | 24.7349766361396 | 0.370096817161961 |
| 85 | 24.364 | 24.5784610399736 | -0.643427432749217 | 24.7929663927756 | 0.214461039973603 |
| 86 | 22.644 | 22.5616962646463 | -2.13714097994432 | 24.8634447152981 | -0.0823037353537472 |
| 87 | 25.565 | 25.324431836898 | 0.871645125281443 | 24.9339230378205 | -0.240568163101962 |
| 88 | 24.062 | 23.8974213074114 | -0.805468882005664 | 25.0320475745943 | -0.164578692588588 |
| 89 | 25.431 | 25.4606250812092 | 0.271202807422799 | 25.130172111368 | 0.0296250812092183 |
| 90 | 24.635 | 24.2344220634068 | -0.181730815349447 | 25.2173087519427 | -0.400577936593223 |
| 91 | 27.009 | 27.300362421638 | 1.41319218584462 | 25.3044453925174 | 0.29136242163802 |
| 92 | 26.606 | 26.6007672048437 | 1.22023460721583 | 25.3909981879404 | -0.00523279515627451 |
| 93 | 26.268 | 26.3296716630786 | 0.728777353557904 | 25.4775509833635 | 0.061671663078581 |
| 94 | 26.462 | 26.5481491584055 | 0.781498604756006 | 25.5943522368384 | 0.0861491584055472 |
| 95 | 25.246 | 25.9015554278866 | -1.12070891819997 | 25.7111534903134 | 0.655555427886597 |
| 96 | 25.18 | 24.9537709212222 | -0.398073453301537 | 25.8043025320793 | -0.226229078777781 |
| 97 | 24.657 | 24.059975858904 | -0.643427432749217 | 25.8974515738453 | -0.59702414109605 |
| 98 | 23.304 | 22.8195725292877 | -2.13714097994432 | 25.9255684506567 | -0.484427470712333 |
| 99 | 26.982 | 27.1386695472505 | 0.871645125281443 | 25.953685327468 | 0.156669547250509 |
| 100 | 26.199 | 27.2537576429118 | -0.805468882005664 | 25.9497112390939 | 1.05475764291176 |
| 101 | 27.21 | 28.2030600418574 | 0.271202807422799 | 25.9457371507198 | 0.993060041857444 |
| 102 | 26.122 | 26.4789075999536 | -0.181730815349447 | 25.9468232153958 | 0.356907599953644 |
| 103 | 26.706 | 26.0508985340835 | 1.41319218584462 | 25.9479092800719 | -0.655101465916474 |
| 104 | 26.878 | 26.6101639528735 | 1.22023460721583 | 25.9256014399107 | -0.267836047126529 |
| 105 | 26.152 | 25.6719290466926 | 0.728777353557904 | 25.9032935997495 | -0.48007095330744 |
| 106 | 26.379 | 26.1583997726013 | 0.781498604756006 | 25.8181016226427 | -0.220600227398684 |
| 107 | 24.712 | 24.8117992726642 | -1.12070891819997 | 25.7329096455358 | 0.0997992726641534 |
| 108 | 25.688 | 26.0643865762645 | -0.398073453301537 | 25.7096868770371 | 0.376386576264476 |
| 109 | 24.99 | 24.9369633242109 | -0.643427432749217 | 25.6864641085383 | -0.053036675789091 |
| 110 | 24.239 | 24.8392696353491 | -2.13714097994432 | 25.7758713445952 | 0.600269635349079 |
| 111 | 26.721 | 26.7050762940664 | 0.871645125281443 | 25.8652785806522 | -0.015923705933627 |
| 112 | 23.475 | 21.7688637075123 | -0.805468882005664 | 25.9866051744934 | -1.70613629248769 |
| 113 | 24.767 | 23.1548654242427 | 0.271202807422799 | 26.1079317683345 | -1.61213457575732 |
| 114 | 26.219 | 26.3988620374033 | -0.181730815349447 | 26.2208687779461 | 0.179862037403339 |
| 115 | 28.361 | 28.9750020265977 | 1.41319218584462 | 26.3338057875577 | 0.614002026597682 |
| 116 | 28.599 | 29.5143195770741 | 1.22023460721583 | 26.4634458157101 | 0.915319577074072 |
| 117 | 27.914 | 28.5061368025796 | 0.728777353557904 | 26.5930858438625 | 0.592136802579606 |
| 118 | 27.784 | 28.0288554678183 | 0.781498604756006 | 26.7576459274257 | 0.244855467818272 |
| 119 | 25.693 | 25.584502907211 | -1.12070891819997 | 26.9222060109889 | -0.108497092788973 |
| 120 | 26.881 | 27.1234158876771 | -0.398073453301537 | 27.0366575656245 | 0.242415887677065 |
| 121 | 26.217 | 25.9263183124892 | -0.643427432749217 | 27.15110912026 | -0.290681687510784 |
| 122 | 24.218 | 23.3775227951128 | -2.13714097994432 | 27.1956181848316 | -0.840477204887232 |
| 123 | 27.914 | 27.7162276253154 | 0.871645125281443 | 27.2401272494031 | -0.197772374684554 |
| 124 | 26.975 | 27.465416350379 | -0.805468882005664 | 27.2900525316266 | 0.490416350379025 |
| 125 | 28.527 | 29.442819378727 | 0.271202807422799 | 27.3399778138502 | 0.915819378727036 |
| 126 | 27.139 | 27.0722629384812 | -0.181730815349447 | 27.3874678768682 | -0.0667370615187934 |
| 127 | 28.982 | 29.1158498742691 | 1.41319218584462 | 27.4349579398863 | 0.133849874269064 |
| 128 | 28.169 | 27.6738578304414 | 1.22023460721583 | 27.4439075623427 | -0.495142169558576 |
| 129 | 28.056 | 27.9303654616429 | 0.728777353557904 | 27.4528571847992 | -0.125634538357073 |
| 130 | 29.136 | 30.0441729959922 | 0.781498604756006 | 27.4463283992518 | 0.90817299599216 |
| 131 | 26.291 | 26.2629093044955 | -1.12070891819997 | 27.4397996137045 | -0.0280906955045239 |
| 132 | 26.987 | 26.9379545787851 | -0.398073453301537 | 27.4341188745164 | -0.0490454212148919 |
| 133 | 26.589 | 26.3929892974208 | -0.643427432749217 | 27.4284381353284 | -0.196010702579152 |
| 134 | 24.848 | 24.4044330872485 | -2.13714097994432 | 27.4287078926958 | -0.443566912751514 |
| 135 | 27.543 | 26.7853772246553 | 0.871645125281443 | 27.4289776500633 | -0.757622775344739 |
| 136 | 26.896 | 27.1555563644596 | -0.805468882005664 | 27.4419125175461 | 0.259556364459598 |
| 137 | 28.878 | 30.0299498075484 | 0.271202807422799 | 27.4548473850288 | 1.15194980754836 |
| 138 | 27.39 | 27.4633852664891 | -0.181730815349447 | 27.4983455488603 | 0.073385266489133 |
| 139 | 28.065 | 27.1749641014636 | 1.41319218584462 | 27.5418437126918 | -0.890035898536407 |
| 140 | 28.141 | 27.481514788646 | 1.22023460721583 | 27.5802506041382 | -0.659485211354045 |
| 141 | 29.048 | 29.7485651508575 | 0.728777353557904 | 27.6186574955846 | 0.700565150857464 |
| 142 | 28.484 | 28.5511819406366 | 0.781498604756006 | 27.6353194546074 | 0.0671819406365834 |
| 143 | 26.634 | 26.7367275045698 | -1.12070891819997 | 27.6519814136302 | 0.102727504569785 |
| 144 | 27.735 | 28.1938943045741 | -0.398073453301537 | 27.6741791487274 | 0.458894304574105 |
| 145 | 27.132 | 27.2110505489245 | -0.643427432749217 | 27.6963768838247 | 0.0790505489245419 |
| 146 | 24.924 | 24.2717856018851 | -2.13714097994432 | 27.7133553780593 | -0.652214398114943 |
| 147 | 28.963 | 29.3240210024247 | 0.871645125281443 | 27.7303338722938 | 0.361021002424714 |
| 148 | 26.589 | 26.2886185553315 | -0.805468882005664 | 27.6948503266742 | -0.300381444668524 |
| 149 | 27.931 | 27.9314304115227 | 0.271202807422799 | 27.6593667810545 | 0.000430411522678753 |
| 150 | 28.009 | 28.5990648103939 | -0.181730815349447 | 27.6006660049555 | 0.590064810393905 |
| 151 | 29.229 | 29.5028425852988 | 1.41319218584462 | 27.5419652288566 | 0.273842585298816 |
| 152 | 28.759 | 28.8201164408044 | 1.22023460721583 | 27.4776489519798 | 0.0611164408043585 |
| 153 | 28.405 | 28.6678899713391 | 0.728777353557904 | 27.413332675103 | 0.26288997133905 |
| 154 | 27.945 | 27.7918752479725 | 0.781498604756006 | 27.3166261472715 | -0.153124752027548 |
| 155 | 25.912 | 25.7247892987599 | -1.12070891819997 | 27.21991961944 | -0.187210701240058 |
| 156 | 26.619 | 26.5118132023398 | -0.398073453301537 | 27.1242602509618 | -0.107186797660241 |
| 157 | 26.076 | 25.7668265502657 | -0.643427432749217 | 27.0286008824835 | -0.30917344973431 |
| 158 | 25.286 | 25.6802802613986 | -2.13714097994432 | 27.0288607185457 | 0.394280261398592 |
| 159 | 27.66 | 27.4192343201106 | 0.871645125281443 | 27.0291205546079 | -0.240765679889371 |
| 160 | 25.951 | 25.5419442993495 | -0.805468882005664 | 27.1655245826561 | -0.40905570065047 |
| 161 | 26.398 | 25.2228685818729 | 0.271202807422799 | 27.3019286107043 | -1.17513141812714 |
| 162 | 25.565 | 23.88425541295 | -0.181730815349447 | 27.4274754023995 | -1.68074458705003 |
| 163 | 28.865 | 28.7637856200608 | 1.41319218584462 | 27.5530221940946 | -0.101214379939233 |
| 164 | 30 | 31.0893300811057 | 1.22023460721583 | 27.6904353116785 | 1.08933008110569 |
| 165 | 29.261 | 29.9653742171798 | 0.728777353557904 | 27.8278484292623 | 0.704374217179762 |
| 166 | 29.012 | 29.2596133726491 | 0.781498604756006 | 27.9828880225949 | 0.247613372649088 |
| 167 | 26.992 | 26.9667813022725 | -1.12070891819997 | 28.1379276159275 | -0.0252186977275102 |
| 168 | 27.897 | 27.888840655664 | -0.398073453301537 | 28.3032327976375 | -0.00815934433597221 |
