| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.974 | -0.0759 | 0.1012 | -0.7663 | 0.4738 | -0.1615 | -0.9817 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.7039 ) | (0.5086 ) | (0 ) | (0.0155 ) | (0.3974 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9321 | 0 | 0.0676 | -0.7626 | 0.4666 | -0.1373 | -1.0091 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.701 ) | (0 ) | (0.015 ) | (0.4675 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 1.0008 | 0 | 0 | -1.2512 | 0.4782 | -0.144 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0098 ) | (0.3905 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9944 | 0 | 0 | -0.806 | 0.4999 | 0 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0067 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.25191650214777 |
| 22.2914871231093 |
| -37.1571787652725 |
| 34.2241616971526 |
| -175.791407724228 |
| 104.976083789095 |
| -61.2440566196127 |
| -396.729670521475 |
| -396.444398116046 |
| -260.009316249011 |
| 127.969010842559 |
| -36.0298439891068 |
| 204.138369307228 |
| 44.2385868225793 |
| -159.706287587307 |
| 203.135138015573 |
| 121.756524240115 |
| -16.201912213436 |
| -243.900810018248 |
| 391.694842812422 |
| -164.230167511809 |
| 293.821184036089 |
| 150.197655606598 |
| -191.027489040204 |
| 251.842321753795 |
| -153.374881206835 |
| 8.18402595915808 |
| 276.197036933044 |
| 7.49356404026701 |
| 290.310133584149 |
| 154.709015296672 |
| -344.563215955918 |
| -268.812624672229 |
| 308.788007355503 |
| 53.4487117440732 |
| 309.745158451771 |
| 86.3072721968555 |
| -34.8646306315522 |
| 196.561770309702 |
| 226.513512287148 |
| -188.002590167187 |
| -58.5622808865756 |
| 209.148059688065 |
| 145.969099712344 |
| 129.401752382899 |
| -33.029934043082 |
| -386.049808215712 |
| 144.248501282334 |
| 117.138964771591 |
| 129.897118044206 |
| -152.218688907773 |
| -55.0236881924031 |
| 144.022136077333 |
| -16.8566548273021 |
| 144.685804574834 |
| -160.202973636103 |
| 329.620650922733 |
| 138.317376113334 |
| 9.00038368194928 |
| 50.5918463808212 |
| 313.87529752068 |
| 236.907637607133 |
| 110.05132904939 |
| -383.848947466715 |
