Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
61394915.523482.47660.27910.29910.25980.2991
624945-2.343192.34310.43420.59810.32440.2952
635847-10.9832104.98320.3550.4730.3550.355
644739-27.9533105.95330.40740.2890.37370.289
654240-34.856114.8560.47910.42730.38670.3187
666242-40.0007124.00070.31630.50.39630.3511
673926-62.5708114.57080.38680.21280.40380.2394
684011-83.6862105.68620.27420.28110.40990.1653
697244-56.4299144.42990.29240.53110.4150.3923
707059-46.8624164.86240.41930.40490.41930.5074
715451-60.0294162.02940.47890.36870.4230.4508
726547-68.9664162.96640.38050.45290.42630.4263


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.3486-0.2041010000
620.53680.08890.146516587.6158
630.62940.2340.1757121798.8882
640.87590.20510.1836475.258.6747
650.95480.050.15644617.8102
660.99610.47620.2097400117.510.8397
671.7380.50.2512169124.857111.1739
684.39182.63640.5493841214.37514.6416
691.16450.63640.559784277.666716.6633
700.91540.18640.521712126216.1864
711.11070.05880.4797923915.4596
721.25890.3830.4716324246.083315.687