| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.4087 | 0.1576 | 0.0179 | -0.6221 |
| (p-val) | (0.1787 ) | (0.617 ) | (0.9596 ) | (0.1286 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4071 | 0.1556 | 0 | -0.603 |
| (p-val) | (0.1779 ) | (0.6184 ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2591 | 0 | 0 | -0.6016 |
| (p-val) | (0.0418 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 867.887488333366 |
| -2291.52247580086 |
| 34204.4230824472 |
| 9423.91768361148 |
| -1357.21057446293 |
| 24247.0164069271 |
| 19863.7895824103 |
| 269009.865709512 |
| -116357.078342502 |
| -50394.8732909008 |
| 83215.3381947389 |
| 27110.5847481005 |
| -79122.5261470166 |
| -20402.4638140354 |
| -48135.3586415845 |
| 23799.1141189043 |
| 103602.619162135 |
| -189485.917553896 |
| 87240.0177320345 |
| -154700.468157293 |
| 117853.90651545 |
| 195490.897749642 |
| 106389.006484773 |
| 101700.937582355 |
| 134693.953388702 |
| 80577.8503693751 |
| 23004.2574802183 |
| -23831.9659148862 |
| -29533.9146325788 |
| -102633.228674701 |
| -104024.410335128 |
| -168710.317528319 |
| 38068.7869271341 |
| 51252.3607530111 |
| -17323.3320047013 |
| -37701.7324587226 |
| -5162.61364030641 |
| -45953.5395030744 |
| 63451.8381247185 |
| 66244.8163132228 |
| -179968.720717439 |
| 66307.65381855 |
| -4185.59296112581 |
| -69713.0248484317 |
| 130597.62250112 |
| 55955.990264318 |
| 12546.8033766794 |
| 12106.2432784298 |
| -18795.8588080138 |
| 21017.141360715 |
| -53518.1658304228 |
| -76328.9330549636 |
| -11563.6594348624 |
| -86547.3321070419 |
| -34613.1254665022 |
| -84677.074691172 |
| 75696.7077416864 |
| 23528.3801310108 |
| -1028.71786340708 |
| -11160.5912339717 |
| -7059.64561211085 |
