| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0781 | 0.3043 | 0.461 | -0.3676 | -0.3767 |
| (p-val) | (0.4972 ) | (0.007 ) | (5e-04 ) | (0.0221 ) | (0.0248 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.3296 | 0.4993 | -0.3846 | -0.3904 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0021 ) | (0 ) | (0.0134 ) | (0.0183 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.74593016726995 |
| 107.212495023916 |
| 321.362213935008 |
| 175.011913979122 |
| -351.349902970355 |
| -388.720395328805 |
| 339.807777527026 |
| 206.289065105223 |
| 539.399566534473 |
| -67.1429397177789 |
| 2.46543117140921 |
| 160.912523593756 |
| 223.371913367277 |
| -235.32647011075 |
| -186.643073579768 |
| 382.409470000813 |
| 208.666874782579 |
| 448.016710069357 |
| -147.27445950777 |
| -655.495720829117 |
| 123.936526418945 |
| 242.065913454676 |
| 420.153832700248 |
| -148.379122234559 |
| -251.121003094646 |
| 62.0469500775026 |
| 74.8044390682294 |
| 314.583724127557 |
| -274.836208688736 |
| 507.562049049968 |
| 162.905523680772 |
| -2.24065241528927 |
| -48.9038470910265 |
| 306.564571708251 |
| 469.321210037021 |
| 114.740097325298 |
| -713.030142464467 |
| -158.115610821724 |
| 63.6207277837657 |
| 109.335151989448 |
| -221.832031676158 |
| 334.494310049837 |
| -181.48272989696 |
| 275.0453156001 |
| 426.617972345736 |
| -229.94488823743 |
| -27.6212752956971 |
| -139.038752633538 |
| 210.959284752013 |
| 470.67423146075 |
| 230.816244692784 |
| -578.226292899162 |
| 616.745093068358 |
| -3.99250489281165 |
| 284.599031739296 |
| 272.359119327784 |
| -647.254147297789 |
| 42.5260389397517 |
| -141.108191714281 |
| 175.21480263842 |
| -134.780717595268 |
