| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6099 | 0.281 | -0.7407 | -0.4766 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0046 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4617 | 0 | 0.376 | -0.4476 |
| (p-val) | (0.295 ) | (NA ) | (0.4091 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.0577 | 0 | 0 | -0.457 |
| (p-val) | (0.5767 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4783 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -1.04370742486665 |
| -13.3202260166117 |
| 6.34569870372659 |
| 3.96761083275122 |
| 1.98334503207684 |
| 1.88060000131486 |
| 7.21721319817112 |
| 3.96705485426958 |
| 2.87227223488832 |
| 6.37860861602207 |
| 8.36384014907559 |
| 10.2238874202735 |
| 73.8738029248229 |
| -60.072163265803 |
| 9.97322303877337 |
| 10.6156879912749 |
| 8.48087126712055 |
| 8.37047811349424 |
| 5.11256936504429 |
| 9.09660617694058 |
| 8.88021071848486 |
| 9.68191285462214 |
| 9.64370230737928 |
| 3.55277436337319 |
| -15.3501587304549 |
| 46.0547312331865 |
| 4.27803656107962 |
| -6.25331862097749 |
| 0.833218474056479 |
| 15.2682658330423 |
| -8.66636481839369 |
| 9.64870758678192 |
| 9.78734764735616 |
| -5.72734331836979 |
| 7.9241464176784 |
| -21.4361823833736 |
| 6.51428564883241 |
| 23.8107234513582 |
| 8.97638177009206 |
| 3.86985363396805 |
| -7.71621134181283 |
| -7.97226519342656 |
| -22.0036325505124 |
| -8.04496839324282 |
| -7.65015543270555 |
| 2.46825774041301 |
| -10.0914067321371 |
| 8.81104796601557 |
| -7.83320660149131 |
| 8.94678384166931 |
| -4.34298950455739 |
| -15.6257318620355 |
| -3.08407626037677 |
| -21.068032841668 |
| -3.97705797941608 |
| -7.729871169165 |
| -4.00676633905832 |
| -6.0068047646151 |
| -13.2757686385788 |
| -7.06310441336973 |
| -31.8756708890693 |
| -7.41922803813408 |
| -23.4362241884223 |
| -24.0163566324316 |
| -4.85126065692333 |
| -16.0595724591012 |
| 10.3706137558547 |
| -6.72017032051562 |
| 0.031884571157814 |
| 4.91322182096246 |
| 3.08274707061545 |
| -15.693684473098 |
| 2.48821833277584 |
| 4.71206967811465 |
| -19.4228357697443 |
| -2.53346151418474 |
| 5.09129617686098 |
| -4.81484136992604 |
| 18.8182328364349 |
| -8.63972661065127 |
| 0.438117510885634 |
| 0.170812634365603 |
| -3.25138349346548 |
| 0.698960768996949 |
| 8.99234821363066 |
| -19.9141575663954 |
| 13.7945257587916 |
| 25.1486455058166 |
| 3.59976660818176 |
| 9.66981992154861 |
| -6.59437299802287 |
| 0.388813412627699 |
| 15.5032073498893 |
| -5.93656577894799 |
| 0.864095170062015 |
| 16.3576268823913 |
| 5.31029971669405 |
| 13.8267231514853 |
| 16.9232306456968 |
| 25.9852388524225 |
| 0.988012508615548 |
| 10.5437933876175 |
| 20.2114286045773 |
| 12.9586087455663 |
| 12.5374204928875 |
| 1.39868321556132 |
| 18.8692946148474 |
| 12.4841355843295 |
| 12.0284461860189 |
| -1.91878611949498 |
| 1.0506133145679 |
| -15.075612498318 |
| -3.87348618448047 |
| -10.4309360199582 |
| 8.29076276927358 |
| -8.91754903290432 |
| -15.2587975753232 |
| -10.4776487548315 |
| -3.78609868820031 |
| -14.9012594166107 |
