Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.264243526702894
beta0
gamma0.0932562462987406


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1339974405325791.5133547-1328351.5133547
1423229112881279.78799317-558368.787993167
1520194572124423.3468148-104966.346814802
1630477483271272.44070911-223524.440709112
1757287676214852.53408695-486085.534086948
1826051732436949.97484232168223.025157676
1956467436626158.92517772-979415.925177723
20131215441718530.5035615611403013.4964384
21345340910226658.8597963-6773249.85979625
2218783332953534.24283225-1075201.24283225
23424736213251838.9627394-9004476.96273936
24230225521144376.9022185821878175.0977814
2576462037716207.79228782-70004.792287821
2690166025657037.549940993359564.45005901
2736065685966579.30878654-2360011.30878654
2831735106509412.63741153-3335902.63741153
29175687728612551.602496868956220.39750314
30108050457374611.916298223430433.08370178
313105626912347094.788220518709174.2117795
321562338513491655.4719562131729.52804399
33666344318302762.9773163-11639319.9773163
343543574510134776.094611525300968.9053885
35282325026858754.6080372-24035504.6080372
36519708912898419.5878884-7701330.5878884
37412063210148107.6450362-6027475.64503621
3888327676750030.370404182082736.62959582
3936953746329736.31880374-2634362.31880374
4083858056733114.471748381652690.52825162
41377790410997867.2277663-7219963.22776626
4251995325106329.9861071993202.0138928099
43529727510245304.9662994-4948029.96629938
44148473824001159.6716390310846222.328361
45590015810170130.254869-4269972.25486897
4644167186484062.60691392-2067344.60691392
47392642912590974.2247521-8664545.2247521
4848768843813066.889504441063817.11049556
4927952973493738.18026359-698441.180263589
5033855272060296.954187311325230.04581269
5138779411116178.19769442761762.8023056
5235567293239598.84230902317130.157690978
5349828366542651.15465856-1559815.15465856
5429763252648556.09419485327768.905805148
5522950267503615.33628011-5208589.33628011
5622187522274323.95523358-55571.9552335795
5741460624525385.1042408-379323.104240798
5833020912018527.153308241283563.84669176
5938645058558235.0616048-4693730.0616048
6054547941497090.681845093957703.31815491
6117498361821537.27896045-71701.2789604487
626684048692559.9633378485991488.03666215
6328099181080035.77091991729882.2290801
6440926642763052.905964781329611.09403522
6550704706204862.23829369-1134392.23829369
6698144772552696.90880997261780.0911901
6766653188860152.66251536-2194834.66251536
6839125544780794.99680548-868240.996805483
6961881296794899.7875071-606770.787507094
7036279914342037.39576948-714046.395769475
7133087679943764.36048998-6634997.36048998
7238203322963261.13475235857070.865247651
7349329792191912.566242782741066.43375722
7455679172222209.896717623345707.10328238
7550208141618149.880730263402664.11926974
7638032733715724.6434584187548.3565415903
7739999846660262.09170552-2660278.09170552
7848831043180985.321491661702118.67850834
79137317477370481.4411666361265.558834
80475318245643040.6204964841888783.3795035
81841557018973352.8110814-10557782.8110814
822217815813883639.31152038294518.68847972
836121165421459561.824862639752092.1751374
841822374827250606.6533127-9026858.65331267
851767808523996761.9499743-6318676.94997427
864929958021674567.484216427625012.5157836
872589994827490064.7985776-1590116.79857755
883412175428040866.54554886080887.45445123
89985923132380566.0006414-22521335.0006414
902974089223952454.50732285788437.4926772
912108521229541416.0987346-8456204.09873462
924300386626336235.928154816667630.0718452
935954924729403458.860856430145788.1391436
941802646536362930.1812854-18336465.1812854
95468059739060213.9863507-34379616.9863507
96556472821915521.130715-16350793.130715
971179234716912193.0247965-5119846.02479646
981037162417235790.3402503-6864166.34025025
99372844611933181.822363-8204735.82236296
100573297811262450.7288407-5529472.7288407
101406763810571678.006482-6504040.00648195
10223955088318476.55839004-5922968.55839004
10350188019835394.68528096-4816593.68528096
104220688889315801.9221921712753086.0778078
105767858012273420.7575867-4594840.75758667
106155100956726349.932982068783745.06701794
107647123915489190.7356762-9017951.73567616
108143492046283181.429721618066022.5702784
109351515748502437.7498777426649136.2501223
110821048817101098.3845939-8890610.38459386
111502266411171033.4629497-6148369.46294969
1121399687111227244.06773112769626.93226893
1131282243112662585.8593283159845.140671739
1141401155212210142.49467751801409.50532252
1152026098015844090.20311144416889.79688862
1162371897618969909.69905664749066.30094339
1174583304918622209.431158427210839.5688416
1183068842022397540.51970758290879.48029254
1191657606229808701.1707102-13232639.1707102
1201484440520661185.873627-5816780.87362696
1211672828620487060.9113295-3758774.91132947
1224347768018612107.705392724865572.2946073
1235749742721790051.351349835707375.6486502
1242423372633518270.0531419-9284544.0531419
1252492120831589307.919419-6668099.91941902
126951672529445258.3835945-19928533.3835945
1272797723927516667.6168962460571.383103751
1282163204629619847.5035-7987801.50349999
1292295680927447701.9381525-4490892.93815249
130970432421547883.4249885-11843559.4249885
1311987114922161836.6572878-2290687.65728784
132555384216414492.0795094-10860650.0795094
133566785815048765.1183368-9380907.1183368
134434818813652227.5919098-9304039.5919098
135100250428544970.7559191480071.24408101
136106397968141775.342945582498020.65705442
13786391849505804.06369448-866620.063694485
138107643787984908.143223292779469.85677671
1391209773313455735.9653857-1358002.96538567
140398841414498693.6509298-10510279.6509298
141460710211899936.0526408-7292834.05264081
14271268954755227.711105262371667.28889474
14360096259780922.24610298-3771297.24610298
144215332373054317.7366187518478919.2633813
14559867719542912.9667194-3556141.96671939
14654553109690806.10593564-4235496.10593564
14718228746662818.83703215-4839944.83703215
14833740624659445.55184758-1285383.55184758
14929207484792873.12365574-1872125.12365574
15022959423256451.40141562-960509.401415617
15168098297455125.82236858-645296.822368577
15233182818058438.21536132-4740157.21536132
153137846457205159.567309166579485.43269084
15473665774389240.852020272977336.14797973
15516286379153486.78858503-7524849.78858503
15642589762961704.156463541297271.84353646
15771597793398249.078929253761529.92107075
15880984015433176.516963562665224.48303644
15968942404187186.416415262707053.58358474
16037712464421950.87587978-650704.875879781
16132497264682829.55950728-1433103.55950728
16231473803324965.94172901-177585.941729007
16340630377752150.77905293-3689113.77905293
16496219167270189.956939462351726.04306054
16558901589067580.23234304-3177422.23234304
16621429013426304.36235016-1283403.36235016
16731450076344081.66639707-3199074.66639707
16815621681900677.16407962-338509.16407962
16933031032074059.869178171229043.13082183
17058869103364572.289106792522337.71089321
17134542702083695.341141881370574.65885812
17269953481734915.037031965260432.96296804
17364878693504090.215242472983778.78475753
174120919763399505.108958738692470.89104127
17539346259929605.47198884-5994980.47198884
17639997499252819.80310046-5253070.80310046
17736135268661315.38565056-5047789.38565056
17842717062655763.099351081615942.90064892
17942533906208232.23089202-1954842.23089202
18055515912289882.613187113261708.38681289
18146630413522155.356687191140885.64331281
18221041044878110.69924322-2774006.69924322
18353853992118682.085934653266716.91406535
18462058772537843.396166183668033.60383382
18575295003730027.259528963799472.74047104
186172227054232679.555281812990025.4447182
187623091310890617.7632528-4659704.76325285
188650827510617575.362865-4109300.36286505
189451888410342390.0362389-5823506.03623893
19042349914589084.21982114-354093.219821136
19156253887375978.61203406-1750590.61203406
19258101393869528.976468481940610.02353152
19369421874607192.137498082334994.86250192
19437111886010067.13102364-2298879.13102364
19542612813790665.42871059470615.571289405
19619899453498510.95706703-1508565.95706703
19750333423331830.446182821701511.55381718
19872395653910709.622791383328855.37720862
199110587956804729.587924034254065.41207597
20073847728924858.64015599-1540086.64015599
20138847719210953.09429345-5326182.09429345
20232392013964339.58254781-725138.582547811
20323164036557368.52543604-4240965.52543604
20440349472646121.062836551388825.93716345
20532452713265039.12763784-19768.1276378422
20623872513727735.13804659-1340484.13804659
20721748861951608.90489829223277.095101708
20834360801458297.504496761977782.49550324
20937389562433117.899273841305838.10072616
21018847303019101.31224373-1134371.31224373
21115091444797224.7731626-3288080.7731626
212427283664526831.2249648438201534.7750352
213344631715054613.1534999-11608296.1534999
21446006838463687.14668918-3863004.14668918
21529536159986320.87440608-7032705.87440608
21635700605723655.97098331-2153595.97098331
21721302085309862.86387054-3179654.86387054
21824429434846959.80016388-2404016.80016388
21948920202897097.681987711994922.31801229
22032221922992315.4984449229876.501555101
22131216173459158.3323366-337541.332336599
22236655423443457.11555431222084.884445686
22355194325432240.9683596587191.0316403471
22441134688900504.93376454-4787036.93376454
22517146144651188.96072116-2936574.96072116
2263651985883143.7341574172768841.26584258
22724195483940714.1264105-1521166.1264105
22823788541469212.61859707909641.381402932
22923039491794458.26378816509490.736211843
23025555342359607.58633823195926.41366177
23117130051398591.94329977314413.056700232
2321705960928639.411885476777320.588114524
23361150461501208.058808454613837.94119155
23439510442832274.893245661118769.10675434
23537855685048746.15573418-1263178.15573418
23646705307825744.07842345-3155214.07842345
23722651004134594.12014186-1869494.12014186
23811056431039988.8817979165654.1182020892
23928141523088905.48685256-274753.486852558
24037286731113547.602034692615125.39796531
24120389491862000.46738966176948.532610336
24224029192317762.7983224385156.2016775692
24323488141335606.672939021013207.32706098
24427978221082067.888965471715754.11103453
2459025052165849.88727539-1263344.88727539
24613313191704098.94636306-372779.946363063
24742042383363003.36675989841234.63324011
24822124856566258.80765578-4353773.80765578
24967973822646615.443347114150766.55665289
25045323241275603.160250673256720.83974933
25117788084144381.8008416-2365573.8008416
25218907201814824.00548175895.9945189953
25354637361725009.146505123738726.85349488
254113689313115650.113670378253280.88632963
25520401644355545.25645328-2315381.25645328
25642763993270652.951799211005746.04820079
25737144453962412.35389524-247967.353895239
25820681683830073.47546184-1761905.47546184
25910038425205208.72606391-4201366.72606391
26028585356719539.67846589-3861004.67846589
26123554843513636.93731013-1158152.93731013
2622719262678433.092453332040828.90754667
26318977412840152.67225942-942411.672259424
26439451851054174.989208842891010.01079116
26537999161959556.848217291840359.15178271
26610176543158327.53866955-2140673.53866955
2673052241926530.5189613032125710.4810387
26839329701243043.410660982689926.58933902
26935981512293814.468988261304336.53101174
27022960052467784.66458613-171779.664586134
27122020184095719.44903471-1893701.44903471
27224617776243189.57572413-3781412.57572413
27324520423243771.69614181-791729.696141811
2742185142724887.39926241460254.6007376
275119685022528502.245016649439999.75498337
276203959723749035.5349424316646936.4650576
277217569008217242.6740913113539657.3259087
2783002430012234323.047296517789976.9527035
2791081134415561804.5934677-4750460.59346768
280181920214100046.8504636-12280844.8504636
281127688511099817.7465369-9822932.74653694
28229467018232196.9959818-5285495.9959818
28335874598390717.59591315-4803258.59591315
28428326919639832.88324073-6807141.88324073
28566748056046019.38352762628785.616472384
28638683624057014.45841228-188652.45841228
28743029095972437.61907341-1669528.61907341
288232652294751845.8916787418513383.1083213
289223480029500046.9748581512847955.0251419
2901188395313625980.4427981-1742027.44279813
291663497910245669.2316885-3610690.23168846
29229354938568399.49506698-5632906.49506698
29334256697493491.97055737-4067822.97055737
29411716116457952.89574107-5286341.89574107
29568758796649338.15455909226540.845440915
296194519089090051.1636614810361856.8363385
2971388593310543242.32395273342690.67604731
29876433179215281.6393068-1571964.6393068
2991079796610663564.841372134401.158627952
300729744511304477.9027296-4007032.90272956
30187397369713077.79465165-973341.794651648
302124555379185747.640544143269789.35945586
303242911817001560.35921917289620.640781
304421515010708310.3587637-6493160.35876375
305286521769513472.7833747319138703.2166253
306685117214526500.7110771-7675328.71107714
307374687114464871.9814036-10718000.9814036
308732786114708984.085024-7381123.08502396
3091682971010992095.38369365837614.61630643
310137785949986188.595967723792405.40403228
311646371712969052.2466762-6505335.24667617
312895686711571298.0556714-2614431.05567144
3132120491510556037.30950110648877.690499
3141611585513390941.14133092724913.85866913
315253611312024729.1538132-9488616.15381318
316166457177023674.378444189622042.62155582
3171700373011845876.66024145157853.33975856
3181596900611324740.5564334644265.44356697
3193102042714309715.262732416710711.7372676
3202379889722030643.31060191768253.68939811
3212077032121638407.1687419-868086.168741867
3224441040218720232.603003825690169.3969962
3232703749126782870.6258936254620.374106385
3242962777127438361.00853972189409.99146027
3251818979228602531.3284763-10412739.3284763
326465461025328345.2430712-20673735.2430712
3271230720116941173.9300259-4633972.93002591
3281530057814534183.7805954766394.219404649
3291062386416710032.9189319-6086168.91893194
330688017813182497.4573441-6302319.4573441
3312994735714102833.745230615844523.2547694
3321861139920569616.9673449-1958217.96734488
3334243260419011795.287919523420808.7120805
3342020827824334069.1085808-4125791.10858076
3351400439222772800.6918091-8768408.69180907
3362573776521176767.48849544560997.51150458
3371673573822102932.010608-5367194.01060797
3382245082519457951.80107622992873.19892383
339688084018425079.0049249-11544239.0049249
340851037914562635.9581615-6052256.95816145
341818248114466519.6699029-6284038.66990287
3421094868310871867.478896976815.5211031083
343480527714997429.8516147-10192152.8516147
344258922913362674.6832166-10773445.6832166
345565840711216839.8094126-5558432.80941262
346128626116991457.364969245871153.63503076
34756661887753268.84577571-2087080.84577571
34868755568837315.64509704-1961759.64509704
34970987667358672.00220524-259906.002205243
350360833096636876.2938061829446432.7061938
3511020033011596737.5832432-1396407.5832432
352778497610792619.5346882-3007643.53468822


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
35311485119.1907426-6180228.0209874229150466.4024727
3549987426.46979265-8284253.348102328259106.2876876
35513388097.0039092-5470430.8979276432246624.9057461
35614406667.4891194-5020989.7520677233834324.7303065
35715465468.2008421-4515113.801135235446050.2028194
35813493093.9963939-7025518.2469920634011706.2397799
35912157445.7343577-8885444.74321533200336.2119304
36013801588.9115691-7752831.3058204135356009.1289586
36112958098.3491974-9095990.2097184335012186.9081131
36214343248.4834771-8199435.7715354436885932.7384896
3639405833.39083389-13615078.942909132426745.7245769
3648860153.8454647-14629252.190758732349559.8816881