| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1091 | 0 | 110 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 548 | 547.821684298034 | 8.47297591743201 | 539.705339784534 | -0.17831570196563 |
| 2 | 563 | 560.25915329506 | 24.4487581425658 | 541.292088562375 | -2.7408467049404 |
| 3 | 581 | 583.656875116438 | 35.4642875433465 | 542.878837340216 | 2.65687511643785 |
| 4 | 572 | 572.763071111693 | 26.7582644456879 | 544.478664442619 | 0.763071111693307 |
| 5 | 519 | 518.091487524205 | -26.1699790692274 | 546.078491545022 | -0.90851247579451 |
| 6 | 521 | 523.513712465012 | -29.2269423016879 | 547.713229836676 | 2.51371246501196 |
| 7 | 531 | 531.047048653916 | -18.3950167822461 | 549.34796812833 | 0.0470486539162494 |
| 8 | 540 | 540.786108709133 | -11.8137314660123 | 551.027622756879 | 0.786108709133259 |
| 9 | 548 | 546.302943995833 | -3.01022138126137 | 552.707277385428 | -1.69705600416694 |
| 10 | 556 | 555.963200798879 | 1.51018180742985 | 554.526617393692 | -0.0367992011214255 |
| 11 | 551 | 547.623456030638 | -1.96941343259269 | 556.345957401955 | -3.37654396936216 |
| 12 | 549 | 545.765896799215 | -6.06916341243709 | 558.303266613222 | -3.23410320078506 |
| 13 | 564 | 559.266448258079 | 8.47297591743201 | 560.260575824489 | -4.73355174192136 |
| 14 | 586 | 585.28043613447 | 24.4487581425658 | 562.270805722964 | -0.71956386553029 |
| 15 | 604 | 608.254676835214 | 35.4642875433465 | 564.28103562144 | 4.25467683521401 |
| 16 | 601 | 609.0030220782 | 26.7582644456879 | 566.238713476112 | 8.00302207819982 |
| 17 | 545 | 547.973587738443 | -26.1699790692274 | 568.196391330785 | 2.97358773844257 |
| 18 | 537 | 533.998674444017 | -29.2269423016879 | 569.228267857671 | -3.00132555598327 |
| 19 | 552 | 552.134872397689 | -18.3950167822461 | 570.260144384557 | 0.134872397688696 |
| 20 | 563 | 567.797286392153 | -11.8137314660123 | 570.016445073859 | 4.79728639215318 |
| 21 | 575 | 583.2374756181 | -3.01022138126137 | 569.772745763161 | 8.23747561810046 |
| 22 | 580 | 589.701460890049 | 1.51018180742985 | 568.788357302521 | 9.70146089004868 |
| 23 | 575 | 584.165444590711 | -1.96941343259269 | 567.803968841882 | 9.16544459071065 |
| 24 | 558 | 555.696653963608 | -6.06916341243709 | 566.372509448829 | -2.30334603639199 |
| 25 | 564 | 554.585974026792 | 8.47297591743201 | 564.941050055776 | -9.41402597320814 |
| 26 | 581 | 575.03383648441 | 24.4487581425658 | 562.517405373024 | -5.96616351559021 |
| 27 | 597 | 598.441951766381 | 35.4642875433465 | 560.093760690273 | 1.44195176638084 |
| 28 | 587 | 590.770790608534 | 26.7582644456879 | 556.470944945778 | 3.77079060853407 |
| 29 | 536 | 545.321849867944 | -26.1699790692274 | 552.848129201283 | 9.32184986794402 |
| 30 | 524 | 528.978807206812 | -29.2269423016879 | 548.248135094876 | 4.97880720681155 |
| 31 | 537 | 548.746875793777 | -18.3950167822461 | 543.648140988469 | 11.7468757937768 |
| 32 | 536 | 545.53641563301 | -11.8137314660123 | 538.277315833002 | 9.53641563301039 |
| 33 | 533 | 536.103730703727 | -3.01022138126137 | 532.906490677535 | 3.10373070372668 |
| 34 | 528 | 527.122933873592 | 1.51018180742985 | 527.366884318978 | -0.87706612640784 |
| 35 | 516 | 512.142135472171 | -1.96941343259269 | 521.827277960421 | -3.85786452782872 |
| 36 | 502 | 492.94646363239 | -6.06916341243709 | 517.122699780047 | -9.05353636761015 |
| 37 | 506 | 491.108902482895 | 8.47297591743201 | 512.418121599673 | -14.8910975171051 |
| 38 | 518 | 502.169028325092 | 24.4487581425658 | 509.382213532342 | -15.8309716749076 |
| 39 | 534 | 526.189406991643 | 35.4642875433465 | 506.34630546501 | -7.81059300835688 |
| 40 | 528 | 523.747432565713 | 26.7582644456879 | 505.494302988599 | -4.25256743428736 |
| 41 | 478 | 477.527678557039 | -26.1699790692274 | 504.642300512189 | -0.472321442961118 |
| 42 | 469 | 461.632455926014 | -29.2269423016879 | 505.594486375673 | -7.36754407398558 |
| 43 | 490 | 491.848344543088 | -18.3950167822461 | 506.546672239158 | 1.84834454308771 |
| 44 | 493 | 489.302646923731 | -11.8137314660123 | 508.511084542282 | -3.69735307626922 |
| 45 | 508 | 508.534724535857 | -3.01022138126137 | 510.475496845405 | 0.534724535856753 |
| 46 | 517 | 519.700140924828 | 1.51018180742985 | 512.789677267742 | 2.70014092482791 |
| 47 | 514 | 514.865555742513 | -1.96941343259269 | 515.10385769008 | 0.865555742512811 |
| 48 | 510 | 508.229868634182 | -6.06916341243709 | 517.839294778256 | -1.77013136581843 |
| 49 | 527 | 524.952292216137 | 8.47297591743201 | 520.574731866431 | -2.04770778386319 |
| 50 | 542 | 535.796610496617 | 24.4487581425658 | 523.754631360817 | -6.20338950338305 |
| 51 | 565 | 567.60118160145 | 35.4642875433465 | 526.934530855203 | 2.60118160145032 |
| 52 | 555 | 552.602085388599 | 26.7582644456879 | 530.639650165713 | -2.39791461140135 |
| 53 | 499 | 489.825209593004 | -26.1699790692274 | 534.344769476224 | -9.17479040699618 |
| 54 | 511 | 512.316304864142 | -29.2269423016879 | 538.910637437546 | 1.3163048641419 |
| 55 | 526 | 526.918511383378 | -18.3950167822461 | 543.476505398868 | 0.918511383377677 |
| 56 | 532 | 526.881678074621 | -11.8137314660123 | 548.932053391392 | -5.11832192537941 |
| 57 | 549 | 546.622619997346 | -3.01022138126137 | 554.387601383915 | -2.37738000265369 |
| 58 | 561 | 560.365302097049 | 1.51018180742985 | 560.124516095521 | -0.634697902950961 |
| 59 | 557 | 550.107982625465 | -1.96941343259269 | 565.861430807127 | -6.89201737453459 |
| 60 | 566 | 566.938929094591 | -6.06916341243709 | 571.130234317846 | 0.938929094591458 |
| 61 | 588 | 591.127986254004 | 8.47297591743201 | 576.399037828564 | 3.1279862540041 |
| 62 | 620 | 634.987870467144 | 24.4487581425658 | 580.563371390291 | 14.9878704671437 |
| 63 | 626 | 631.808007504636 | 35.4642875433465 | 584.727704952017 | 5.80800750463629 |
| 64 | 620 | 625.505707815945 | 26.7582644456879 | 587.736027738367 | 5.50570781594479 |
| 65 | 573 | 581.42562854451 | -26.1699790692274 | 590.744350524717 | 8.42562854451012 |
| 66 | 573 | 582.514658055694 | -29.2269423016879 | 592.712284245994 | 9.51465805569399 |
| 67 | 574 | 571.714798814976 | -18.3950167822461 | 594.680217967271 | -2.28520118502445 |
| 68 | 580 | 576.227796734884 | -11.8137314660123 | 595.585934731128 | -3.77220326511588 |
| 69 | 590 | 586.518569886275 | -3.01022138126137 | 596.491651494986 | -3.48143011372463 |
| 70 | 593 | 587.810522859012 | 1.51018180742985 | 596.679295333559 | -5.1894771409884 |
| 71 | 597 | 599.102474260461 | -1.96941343259269 | 596.866939172131 | 2.10247426046146 |
| 72 | 595 | 599.258847697564 | -6.06916341243709 | 596.810315714873 | 4.25884769756408 |
| 73 | 612 | 618.773331824953 | 8.47297591743201 | 596.753692257615 | 6.77333182495329 |
| 74 | 628 | 634.861824527282 | 24.4487581425658 | 596.689417330152 | 6.86182452728235 |
| 75 | 629 | 625.910570053965 | 35.4642875433465 | 596.625142402689 | -3.08942994603535 |
| 76 | 621 | 618.898041372756 | 26.7582644456879 | 596.343694181556 | -2.10195862724356 |
| 77 | 569 | 568.107733108805 | -26.1699790692274 | 596.062245960422 | -0.892266891194936 |
| 78 | 567 | 567.534442277489 | -29.2269423016879 | 595.692500024199 | 0.534442277489347 |
| 79 | 573 | 569.072262694271 | -18.3950167822461 | 595.322754087975 | -3.92773730572878 |
| 80 | 584 | 585.25170698898 | -11.8137314660123 | 594.562024477033 | 1.25170698897966 |
| 81 | 589 | 587.208926515171 | -3.01022138126137 | 593.80129486609 | -1.7910734848291 |
| 82 | 591 | 588.29456601065 | 1.51018180742985 | 592.195252181921 | -2.70543398935047 |
| 83 | 595 | 601.380203934842 | -1.96941343259269 | 590.589209497751 | 6.3802039348418 |
| 84 | 594 | 605.868534475461 | -6.06916341243709 | 588.200628936976 | 11.8685344754613 |
| 85 | 611 | 627.714975706367 | 8.47297591743201 | 585.812048376201 | 16.7149757063671 |
| 86 | 613 | 618.479252015702 | 24.4487581425658 | 583.071989841733 | 5.4792520157016 |
| 87 | 611 | 606.203781149389 | 35.4642875433465 | 580.331931307264 | -4.7962188506109 |
| 88 | 594 | 584.074634365562 | 26.7582644456879 | 577.16710118875 | -9.92536563443809 |
| 89 | 543 | 538.167707998991 | -26.1699790692274 | 574.002271070236 | -4.83229200100857 |
| 90 | 537 | 532.57746901072 | -29.2269423016879 | 570.649473290968 | -4.42253098927984 |
| 91 | 544 | 539.098341270547 | -18.3950167822461 | 567.2966755117 | -4.9016587294534 |
| 92 | 555 | 557.35611922821 | -11.8137314660123 | 564.457612237802 | 2.35611922821022 |
| 93 | 561 | 563.391672417357 | -3.01022138126137 | 561.618548963905 | 2.39167241735652 |
| 94 | 562 | 563.362164648691 | 1.51018180742985 | 559.127653543879 | 1.36216464869131 |
| 95 | 555 | 555.33265530874 | -1.96941343259269 | 556.636758123853 | 0.332655308739731 |
| 96 | 547 | 546.387202589648 | -6.06916341243709 | 553.681960822789 | -0.612797410352186 |
| 97 | 565 | 570.799860560842 | 8.47297591743201 | 550.727163521726 | 5.79986056084226 |
| 98 | 578 | 584.307869076751 | 24.4487581425658 | 547.243372780683 | 6.30786907675133 |
| 99 | 580 | 580.776130417014 | 35.4642875433465 | 543.75958203964 | 0.776130417013633 |
| 100 | 569 | 571.182996099799 | 26.7582644456879 | 540.058739454513 | 2.18299609979874 |
| 101 | 507 | 503.812082199841 | -26.1699790692274 | 536.357896869387 | -3.18791780015931 |
| 102 | 501 | 498.463156019587 | -29.2269423016879 | 532.763786282101 | -2.53684398041275 |
| 103 | 509 | 507.225341087432 | -18.3950167822461 | 529.169675694814 | -1.77465891256838 |
| 104 | 510 | 506.25738646445 | -11.8137314660123 | 525.556345001562 | -3.74261353554994 |
| 105 | 517 | 515.067207072951 | -3.01022138126137 | 521.94301430831 | -1.93279292704881 |
| 106 | 519 | 518.147397129013 | 1.51018180742985 | 518.342421063557 | -0.85260287098663 |
| 107 | 512 | 511.227585613789 | -1.96941343259269 | 514.741827818803 | -0.772414386210812 |
| 108 | 509 | 512.874444669182 | -6.06916341243709 | 511.194718743255 | 3.87444466918208 |
| 109 | 519 | 521.879414414861 | 8.47297591743201 | 507.647609667707 | 2.87941441486146 |
