Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	101.5	101.5	0	0	0
2	100.7	101.110914728874	-0.00798407021648019	-0.410914728873969	-0.190866113760831
3	110.6	105.801649268374	0.294948272708542	4.79835073162565	1.77793341107671
4	96.8	102.819705412202	0.103397965374441	-6.01970541220163	-1.5416659996985
5	100	100.994312024367	0.0254652812002814	-0.994312024367041	-1.02250675877947
6	104.8	102.022496207592	0.0514457379228577	2.77750379240826	0.549340851606076
7	86.8	96.2219196608434	-0.0556418670967111	-9.4219196608434	-3.22596596120342
8	92	92.9004685520394	-0.106360429329745	-0.900468552039409	-1.80068872754125
9	100.2	94.8999815840349	-0.0745876688248249	5.3000184159651	1.15983349891299
10	106.6	100.166896591191	0.00741559297661347	6.43310340880913	2.93856542931115
11	102.1	102.426798039419	0.0425499719507616	-0.326798039418552	1.23833291569953
12	93.7	99.5551425041882	-0.0030242499890409	-5.85514250418821	-1.6017280808444
13	97.6	98.3601572984398	0.0192207383707748	-0.760157298439834	-0.689941536140337
14	96.9	98.4103260176414	0.0190144529994933	-1.51032601764137	0.0176710012643789
15	105.6	98.422826971078	0.0189120087793836	7.17717302892199	-0.00338260617742581
16	102.8	102.149536815964	0.118315919068003	0.650463184036144	1.87823197323937
17	101.7	102.737143926952	0.131279290580172	-1.03714392695238	0.245195337284679
18	104.2	100.693093361817	0.0805000727157606	3.50690663818281	-1.17203087967141
19	92.7	100.312351943107	0.072033521915747	-7.61235194310654	-0.252391665613037
20	91.9	98.3653214681869	0.0423792472164244	-6.46532146818689	-1.11126900169209
21	106.5	100.326706189228	0.0661463849293835	6.17329381077155	1.05791294141102
22	112.3	103.116130439438	0.0947678279353965	9.18386956056156	1.50096287505103
23	102.8	103.006019323546	0.0931434813805423	-0.20601932354639	-0.112826285006804
24	96.5	102.526118382342	0.0907785496705155	-6.02611838234246	-0.315953859966049
25	101	102.366726110395	0.0906349717090661	-1.36672611039506	-0.138693072819252
26	98.9	102.071593033771	0.0894645828975912	-3.1715930337707	-0.212086602262207
27	105.1	101.264939777305	0.080708600039079	3.83506022269535	-0.480451269886664
28	103	101.331750616573	0.0804887508722171	1.66824938342685	-0.00733288449571652
29	99	100.198215925729	0.0578787074467842	-1.198215925729	-0.643589053485383
30	104.3	99.9362324541426	0.0520179219573324	4.36376754585745	-0.172067500134939
31	94.6	100.60527406106	0.0620245850144505	-6.00527406105998	0.336166638341445
32	90.4	100.08875957123	0.0541883193561983	-9.68875957122985	-0.317472545654792
33	108.9	101.609799688302	0.0702114783908292	7.29020031169785	0.80720541355292
34	111.4	102.123949118696	0.0739638458695379	9.27605088130399	0.244406860600834
35	100.8	101.673264021534	0.0707450079516713	-0.873264021533966	-0.288786892639873
36	102.5	104.100920452895	0.0809060269361568	-1.60092045289483	1.29745271441448
37	98.2	102.759316494522	0.0755082190508372	-4.55931649452203	-0.782096056914791
38	98.7	101.856388151057	0.0702886950493028	-3.15638815105681	-0.534481228499955
39	113.3	104.489595902644	0.0919110786984478	8.81040409735621	1.38492314633933
40	104.6	104.21308092027	0.0876155370666936	0.386919079730323	-0.197520279701741
41	99.3	102.695334620724	0.0655297969364819	-3.39533462072433	-0.860968621095262
42	111.8	104.352756434001	0.0882536923091506	7.44724356599899	0.859531697625339
43	97.3	104.396204448006	0.0876519977743917	-7.09620444800587	-0.0243870729635218
44	97.7	105.95971015044	0.104972891973451	-8.25971015044001	0.807957335990527
45	115.6	107.362823008904	0.117558384100905	8.2371769910958	0.712761046831337
46	111.9	105.968516927719	0.105951070611873	5.9314830722814	-0.830937616285717
47	107	106.799388231392	0.110293843259496	0.200611768608183	0.398474158575944
48	107.1	107.42972567292	0.112874399107033	-0.329725672920014	0.285714868423134
49	100.6	106.77106111679	0.10909180995271	-6.17106111679006	-0.423037384918288
50	99.2	105.476965550527	0.100803132649058	-6.27696555052726	-0.765970306194247
51	108.4	102.747330200611	0.0791123881178475	5.65266979938889	-1.53608731243452
52	103	101.933460907278	0.0705875159626745	1.06653909272196	-0.482569184515659
53	99.8	102.738519544733	0.0786188074351042	-2.93851954473314	0.396789374787888
54	115	105.009288153982	0.103759054620692	9.99071184601841	1.18824778731402
55	90.8	103.258328353177	0.0831495625340426	-12.4583283531769	-1.01014230562517
56	95.9	103.416653901326	0.0839066863203075	-7.51665390132604	0.041109944986303
57	114.4	104.301345306542	0.0908444208652733	10.0986546934585	0.439003281040356
58	108.2	103.942453573362	0.0875973552997235	4.25754642663777	-0.246832973818508
59	112.6	107.066983407285	0.105942183667801	5.53301659271506	1.66719885809041
60	109.1	108.240704600939	0.111677847093507	0.859295399061066	0.585860173333068
61	105	108.970473468295	0.114991171958746	-3.97047346829475	0.338561019956043
62	105	109.341212319097	0.116523828190554	-4.34121231909707	0.139677020287179
63	118.5	110.76496881612	0.125754338033006	7.73503118387984	0.711504428207517
64	103.7	108.338745331769	0.104768687086392	-4.63874533176943	-1.38558461298983
65	112.5	110.886747582812	0.127072276894256	1.61325241718814	1.32608982103777
66	116.6	109.472752010262	0.112374471509111	7.12724798973751	-0.837904169637812
67	96.6	109.152457768685	0.108317188469096	-12.5524577686854	-0.235916191864126
68	101.9	109.517806686835	0.110562227955183	-7.61780668683539	0.140528746782067
69	116.5	108.747326042364	0.103689012733759	7.75267395763564	-0.482619248414312
70	119.3	111.894645308775	0.124428700251512	7.40535469122542	1.6689489721079
71	115.4	112.216378186994	0.125612620421748	3.18362181300614	0.10822009631475
72	108.5	110.762431733474	0.116868235744461	-2.26243173347433	-0.866007892667615
73	111.5	112.407513817931	0.125286903503982	-0.90751381793149	0.836842674610217
74	108.8	113.224189127818	0.129362562925236	-4.42418912781763	0.377879384196783
75	121.8	113.366926850816	0.129450291259601	8.43307314918361	0.00729489519162625
76	109.6	114.161026501295	0.134298243731241	-4.56102650129502	0.361962886688326
77	112.2	112.604386108122	0.120964939881822	-0.404386108121774	-0.920615418437235
78	119.6	112.181108765687	0.11651614200472	7.41889123431271	-0.296595234425069
79	104.1	113.958371906122	0.129965622467148	-9.85837190612178	0.906606389332122
80	105.3	114.138195959418	0.13034930991225	-8.83819595941763	0.0272664052496418
81	115	112.269419614238	0.116190851594383	2.7305803857619	-1.09479043792397
82	124.1	113.538716199016	0.123590138374985	10.5612838009837	0.632000765247875
83	116.8	113.75130202574	0.124111422958527	3.04869797426031	0.048790116003608
84	107.5	112.757812861906	0.117934958912487	-5.25781286190578	-0.61252779132921
85	115.6	114.187567345379	0.12512873987581	1.41243265462055	0.718381811177091
86	116.2	117.032241776597	0.140665206192519	-0.832241776596874	1.48744397952436
87	116.3	114.149766076153	0.122141601178783	2.15023392384664	-1.65132379675596
88	119	116.750918604534	0.138493295429606	2.24908139546596	1.35284093683125
89	111.9	115.732648044881	0.130416568937675	-3.83264804488106	-0.631134446482959
90	118.6	114.119711361128	0.117898793526824	4.48028863887171	-0.951706313954253
91	106.9	114.664902600848	0.120950713725183	-7.76490260084795	0.233507565036805
92	103.2	113.501018431976	0.112103796080564	-10.3010184319762	-0.702962717764913
93	118.6	114.457826932327	0.117578641425988	4.14217306767253	0.462610278101363
94	118.7	112.295293398809	0.103822839499088	6.40470660119088	-1.24950910738666
95	102.8	107.030547486234	0.0735044595963799	-4.23054748623386	-2.94267042386132
96	100.6	105.991254620548	0.0674854046597414	-5.39125462054799	-0.60985240104681
97	94.9	101.452037478405	0.0427949452633875	-6.55203747840549	-2.52327019128589
98	94.5	97.6411036658358	0.0216341741921853	-3.14110366583582	-2.10915295992929
99	102.9	98.4342101381903	0.0260687157572324	4.46578986180976	0.421876497796053
100	95.3	96.1396135949516	0.0120353347412972	-0.839613594951578	-1.26829203474018
101	92.5	95.3029015220238	0.00668948303700552	-2.80290152202383	-0.463787779609454
102	102.7	96.2123628844734	0.0124956493958672	6.48763711552656	0.493469157964951
103	91.5	97.2153817287346	0.0188459165383239	-5.71538172873458	0.541794268442599
104	89.5	98.0962260914344	0.0242284415681362	-8.59622609143437	0.471859895716036
105	104.2	97.7596543323489	0.0220725523675258	6.44034566765112	-0.197638101411453
106	105.2	96.4213116364071	0.0143571514042342	8.77868836359291	-0.745551806446163
107	99	97.7784306015476	0.0216133549090135	1.22156939845241	0.73601819989275
108	95.5	97.7604017489756	0.0214060003585525	-2.26040174897555	-0.0217273689041073
109	90.5	96.545315423633	0.0149991037274387	-6.04531542363301	-0.677470386988509
110	96.1	97.2097222497158	0.0184103905052445	-1.10972224971584	0.355626074200345
111	113	101.127000230831	0.0395053563353804	11.8729997691693	2.13394577122698
112	101.9	102.57593415522	0.0473981626672908	-0.675934155220106	0.771119958428032
113	101.4	103.847199131574	0.054450543314066	-2.44719913157401	0.669525001261498
114	113.6	105.668748532017	0.0647876265945888	7.93125146798273	0.966893942921447
115	96.6	104.904971177748	0.0599513712253673	-8.30497117774795	-0.453553625944709
116	97.8	105.118332353001	0.0608298282890074	-7.31833235300054	0.0840194374506019
117	114.9	106.282543511438	0.0669481292867581	8.61745648856189	0.604587808434621
118	112.5	105.862851342518	0.0643509072727006	6.6371486574823	-0.266741148533286
119	108.4	106.228672329749	0.0659034402645493	2.17132767025125	0.165269877745043
120	107	107.482865677663	0.071872003598929	-0.482865677662638	0.651408789763586
121	103.5	109.262084967575	0.0803699953960795	-5.76208496757534	0.935748699062502
122	107.5	110.584498416857	0.0865957836616631	-3.08449841685709	0.68050614768621
123	122.3	111.36923039469	0.0901611945316595	10.9307696053098	0.382373210408552