| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 101.5 | NA | NA | -3.19402006172839 | NA |
| 2 | 100.7 | NA | NA | -3.33290895061728 | NA |
| 3 | 110.6 | NA | NA | 6.63885030864197 | NA |
| 4 | 96.8 | NA | NA | -0.34540895061729 | NA |
| 5 | 100 | NA | NA | -1.80189043209877 | NA |
| 6 | 104.8 | NA | NA | 6.56292438271604 | NA |
| 7 | 86.8 | 90.9282021604938 | 99.4875 | -8.55929783950617 | -4.12820216049383 |
| 8 | 92 | 90.8087577160494 | 99.1666666666667 | -8.35790895061728 | 1.19124228395063 |
| 9 | 100.2 | 105.98236882716 | 98.8 | 7.1823688271605 | -5.78236882716047 |
| 10 | 106.6 | 104.961535493827 | 98.8416666666667 | 6.1198688271605 | 1.63846450617284 |
| 11 | 102.1 | 99.9124614197531 | 99.1625 | 0.749961419753088 | 2.18753858024691 |
| 12 | 93.7 | 97.5457947530864 | 99.2083333333333 | -1.66253858024691 | -3.84579475308639 |
| 13 | 97.6 | 96.2351466049383 | 99.4291666666666 | -3.19402006172839 | 1.36485339506174 |
| 14 | 96.9 | 96.337924382716 | 99.6708333333333 | -3.33290895061728 | 0.56207561728398 |
| 15 | 105.6 | 106.568016975309 | 99.9291666666666 | 6.63885030864197 | -0.96801697530863 |
| 16 | 102.8 | 100.083757716049 | 100.429166666667 | -0.34540895061729 | 2.71624228395063 |
| 17 | 101.7 | 98.8939429012346 | 100.695833333333 | -1.80189043209877 | 2.80605709876545 |
| 18 | 104.2 | 107.404591049383 | 100.841666666667 | 6.56292438271604 | -3.2045910493827 |
| 19 | 92.7 | 92.5407021604938 | 101.1 | -8.55929783950617 | 0.159297839506195 |
| 20 | 91.9 | 92.9670910493827 | 101.325 | -8.35790895061728 | -1.06709104938268 |
| 21 | 106.5 | 108.56986882716 | 101.3875 | 7.1823688271605 | -2.06986882716049 |
| 22 | 112.3 | 107.49486882716 | 101.375 | 6.1198688271605 | 4.80513117283952 |
| 23 | 102.8 | 102.020794753086 | 101.270833333333 | 0.749961419753088 | 0.779205246913591 |
| 24 | 96.5 | 99.499961419753 | 101.1625 | -1.66253858024691 | -2.99996141975306 |
| 25 | 101 | 98.051813271605 | 101.245833333333 | -3.19402006172839 | 2.94818672839507 |
| 26 | 98.9 | 97.9295910493827 | 101.2625 | -3.33290895061728 | 0.970408950617298 |
| 27 | 105.1 | 107.938850308642 | 101.3 | 6.63885030864197 | -2.83885030864198 |
| 28 | 103 | 101.017091049383 | 101.3625 | -0.34540895061729 | 1.98290895061729 |
| 29 | 99 | 99.4397762345679 | 101.241666666667 | -1.80189043209877 | -0.439776234567887 |
| 30 | 104.3 | 107.971257716049 | 101.408333333333 | 6.56292438271604 | -3.67125771604937 |
| 31 | 94.6 | 92.9823688271605 | 101.541666666667 | -8.55929783950617 | 1.61763117283954 |
| 32 | 90.4 | 93.0587577160494 | 101.416666666667 | -8.35790895061728 | -2.65875771604937 |
| 33 | 108.9 | 108.93236882716 | 101.75 | 7.1823688271605 | -0.0323688271604681 |
| 34 | 111.4 | 108.278202160494 | 102.158333333333 | 6.1198688271605 | 3.12179783950619 |
| 35 | 100.8 | 102.987461419753 | 102.2375 | 0.749961419753088 | -2.18746141975308 |
| 36 | 102.5 | 100.899961419753 | 102.5625 | -1.66253858024691 | 1.60003858024693 |
| 37 | 98.2 | 99.7934799382716 | 102.9875 | -3.19402006172839 | -1.5934799382716 |
| 38 | 98.7 | 100.071257716049 | 103.404166666667 | -3.33290895061728 | -1.37125771604939 |
| 39 | 113.3 | 110.626350308642 | 103.9875 | 6.63885030864197 | 2.67364969135802 |
| 40 | 104.6 | 103.942091049383 | 104.2875 | -0.34540895061729 | 0.65790895061727 |
| 41 | 99.3 | 102.764776234568 | 104.566666666667 | -1.80189043209877 | -3.46477623456789 |
| 42 | 111.8 | 111.579591049383 | 105.016666666667 | 6.56292438271604 | 0.220408950617298 |
| 43 | 97.3 | 96.7490354938272 | 105.308333333333 | -8.55929783950617 | 0.550964506172846 |
| 44 | 97.7 | 97.0712577160494 | 105.429166666667 | -8.35790895061728 | 0.628742283950629 |
| 45 | 115.6 | 112.428202160494 | 105.245833333333 | 7.1823688271605 | 3.17179783950617 |
| 46 | 111.9 | 111.09486882716 | 104.975 | 6.1198688271605 | 0.80513117283951 |
| 47 | 107 | 105.67912808642 | 104.929166666667 | 0.749961419753088 | 1.32087191358026 |
| 48 | 107.1 | 103.420794753086 | 105.083333333333 | -1.66253858024691 | 3.67920524691358 |
| 49 | 100.6 | 101.751813271605 | 104.945833333333 | -3.19402006172839 | -1.15181327160494 |
| 50 | 99.2 | 101.267091049383 | 104.6 | -3.33290895061728 | -2.06709104938273 |
| 51 | 108.4 | 111.113850308642 | 104.475 | 6.63885030864197 | -2.71385030864197 |
| 52 | 103 | 103.925424382716 | 104.270833333333 | -0.34540895061729 | -0.925424382716031 |
| 53 | 99.8 | 102.548109567901 | 104.35 | -1.80189043209877 | -2.74810956790121 |
| 54 | 115 | 111.229591049383 | 104.666666666667 | 6.56292438271604 | 3.77040895061729 |
| 55 | 90.8 | 96.3740354938271 | 104.933333333333 | -8.55929783950617 | -5.57403549382714 |
| 56 | 95.9 | 97.000424382716 | 105.358333333333 | -8.35790895061728 | -1.10042438271603 |
| 57 | 114.4 | 113.203202160494 | 106.020833333333 | 7.1823688271605 | 1.19679783950622 |
| 58 | 108.2 | 112.590702160494 | 106.470833333333 | 6.1198688271605 | -4.3907021604938 |
| 59 | 112.6 | 107.77912808642 | 107.029166666667 | 0.749961419753088 | 4.82087191358025 |
| 60 | 109.1 | 105.962461419753 | 107.625 | -1.66253858024691 | 3.13753858024693 |
| 61 | 105 | 104.739313271605 | 107.933333333333 | -3.19402006172839 | 0.260686728395086 |
| 62 | 105 | 105.092091049383 | 108.425 | -3.33290895061728 | -0.0920910493827165 |
| 63 | 118.5 | 115.401350308642 | 108.7625 | 6.63885030864197 | 3.09864969135803 |
| 64 | 103.7 | 108.967091049383 | 109.3125 | -0.34540895061729 | -5.26709104938271 |
| 65 | 112.5 | 108.089776234568 | 109.891666666667 | -1.80189043209877 | 4.41022376543211 |
| 66 | 116.6 | 116.546257716049 | 109.983333333333 | 6.56292438271604 | 0.0537422839506121 |
| 67 | 96.6 | 101.66986882716 | 110.229166666667 | -8.55929783950617 | -5.06986882716049 |
| 68 | 101.9 | 102.300424382716 | 110.658333333333 | -8.35790895061728 | -0.400424382716039 |
| 69 | 116.5 | 118.136535493827 | 110.954166666667 | 7.1823688271605 | -1.63653549382715 |
| 70 | 119.3 | 117.45736882716 | 111.3375 | 6.1198688271605 | 1.84263117283952 |
| 71 | 115.4 | 112.320794753086 | 111.570833333333 | 0.749961419753088 | 3.0792052469136 |
| 72 | 108.5 | 110.020794753086 | 111.683333333333 | -1.66253858024691 | -1.52079475308639 |
| 73 | 111.5 | 108.926813271605 | 112.120833333333 | -3.19402006172839 | 2.57318672839509 |
| 74 | 108.8 | 109.242091049383 | 112.575 | -3.33290895061728 | -0.442091049382711 |
| 75 | 121.8 | 119.293016975309 | 112.654166666667 | 6.63885030864197 | 2.50698302469135 |
| 76 | 109.6 | 112.446257716049 | 112.791666666667 | -0.34540895061729 | -2.84625771604939 |
| 77 | 112.2 | 111.248109567901 | 113.05 | -1.80189043209877 | 0.951890432098764 |
| 78 | 119.6 | 119.629591049383 | 113.066666666667 | 6.56292438271604 | -0.0295910493827023 |
| 79 | 104.1 | 104.636535493827 | 113.195833333333 | -8.55929783950617 | -0.536535493827145 |
| 80 | 105.3 | 105.317091049383 | 113.675 | -8.35790895061728 | -0.0170910493827137 |
| 81 | 115 | 120.936535493827 | 113.754166666667 | 7.1823688271605 | -5.93653549382715 |
| 82 | 124.1 | 120.036535493827 | 113.916666666667 | 6.1198688271605 | 4.06346450617283 |
| 83 | 116.8 | 115.045794753086 | 114.295833333333 | 0.749961419753088 | 1.75420524691357 |
| 84 | 107.5 | 112.57912808642 | 114.241666666667 | -1.66253858024691 | -5.07912808641974 |
| 85 | 115.6 | 111.122646604938 | 114.316666666667 | -3.19402006172839 | 4.47735339506173 |
| 86 | 116.2 | 111.012924382716 | 114.345833333333 | -3.33290895061728 | 5.18707561728397 |
| 87 | 116.3 | 121.047183641975 | 114.408333333333 | 6.63885030864197 | -4.7471836419753 |
| 88 | 119 | 113.987924382716 | 114.333333333333 | -0.34540895061729 | 5.01207561728395 |
| 89 | 111.9 | 111.723109567901 | 113.525 | -1.80189043209877 | 0.176890432098801 |
| 90 | 118.6 | 119.217091049383 | 112.654166666667 | 6.56292438271604 | -0.617091049382722 |
| 91 | 106.9 | 102.94486882716 | 111.504166666667 | -8.55929783950617 | 3.95513117283951 |
| 92 | 103.2 | 101.379591049383 | 109.7375 | -8.35790895061728 | 1.82040895061729 |
| 93 | 118.6 | 115.45736882716 | 108.275 | 7.1823688271605 | 3.14263117283951 |
| 94 | 118.7 | 112.849035493827 | 106.729166666667 | 6.1198688271605 | 5.85096450617287 |
| 95 | 102.8 | 105.683294753086 | 104.933333333333 | 0.749961419753088 | -2.8832947530864 |
| 96 | 100.6 | 101.799961419753 | 103.4625 | -1.66253858024691 | -1.19996141975307 |
| 97 | 94.9 | 98.964313271605 | 102.158333333333 | -3.19402006172839 | -4.06431327160492 |
| 98 | 94.5 | 97.612924382716 | 100.945833333333 | -3.33290895061728 | -3.11292438271603 |
| 99 | 102.9 | 106.413850308642 | 99.775 | 6.63885030864197 | -3.51385030864195 |
| 100 | 95.3 | 98.2670910493827 | 98.6125 | -0.34540895061729 | -2.9670910493827 |
| 101 | 92.5 | 96.0897762345679 | 97.8916666666667 | -1.80189043209877 | -3.58977623456788 |
| 102 | 102.7 | 104.083757716049 | 97.5208333333333 | 6.56292438271604 | -1.38375771604937 |
| 103 | 91.5 | 88.5657021604938 | 97.125 | -8.55929783950617 | 2.93429783950619 |
| 104 | 89.5 | 88.650424382716 | 97.0083333333333 | -8.35790895061728 | 0.849575617283961 |
| 105 | 104.2 | 104.678202160494 | 97.4958333333333 | 7.1823688271605 | -0.478202160493794 |
| 106 | 105.2 | 104.311535493827 | 98.1916666666667 | 6.1198688271605 | 0.888464506172852 |
| 107 | 99 | 99.5874614197531 | 98.8375 | 0.749961419753088 | -0.587461419753097 |
| 108 | 95.5 | 97.999961419753 | 99.6625 | -1.66253858024691 | -2.49996141975308 |
| 109 | 90.5 | 97.1351466049383 | 100.329166666667 | -3.19402006172839 | -6.63514660493827 |
| 110 | 96.1 | 97.5545910493827 | 100.8875 | -3.33290895061728 | -1.45459104938273 |
| 111 | 113 | 108.318016975309 | 101.679166666667 | 6.63885030864197 | 4.68198302469136 |
| 112 | 101.9 | 102.083757716049 | 102.429166666667 | -0.34540895061729 | -0.183757716049385 |
| 113 | 101.4 | 101.323109567901 | 103.125 | -1.80189043209877 | 0.0768904320987787 |
| 114 | 113.6 | 110.558757716049 | 103.995833333333 | 6.56292438271604 | 3.04124228395061 |
| 115 | 96.6 | 96.4573688271605 | 105.016666666667 | -8.55929783950617 | 0.142631172839515 |
| 116 | 97.8 | 97.675424382716 | 106.033333333333 | -8.35790895061728 | 0.124575617283952 |
| 117 | 114.9 | 114.078202160494 | 106.895833333333 | 7.1823688271605 | 0.82179783950619 |
| 118 | 112.5 | NA | NA | 6.1198688271605 | NA |
| 119 | 108.4 | NA | NA | 0.749961419753088 | NA |
| 120 | 107 | NA | NA | -1.66253858024691 | NA |
| 121 | 103.5 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 122 | 107.5 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 123 | 122.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
