| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3286 | 0.1219 | -0.0838 | -1 | 0.3516 | 0.4831 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0086 ) | (0.3569 ) | (0.5005 ) | (0 ) | (0.0272 ) | (0.0032 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3141 | 0.1042 | 0 | -1 | 0.3364 | 0.496 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.0106 ) | (0.4041 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.02 ) | (0.0018 ) | (0.0023 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3496 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.3491 | 0.4505 | -0.9995 |
| (p-val) | (0.003 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0334 ) | (0.0046 ) | (0.0176 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -38.2805908036958 |
| 777.392695167103 |
| 1061.88530039262 |
| 405.100844014139 |
| 652.551910468129 |
| 77.3535174835918 |
| 119.822602361196 |
| 119.022759813656 |
| 87.6208286111905 |
| -238.233908146536 |
| -157.077961676984 |
| 551.583407558123 |
| 143.242418289243 |
| 267.252578989307 |
| 332.366898931495 |
| 239.274045982114 |
| -91.1114614703788 |
| -97.2533434716515 |
| 262.924982281851 |
| 48.5702569027328 |
| 93.9174157019357 |
| 401.370639206851 |
| -280.833498901953 |
| 561.743575408912 |
| -787.341522718101 |
| 404.765922418954 |
| 340.968398294902 |
| 348.74771338058 |
| -386.641136232393 |
| 40.0254783561135 |
| 59.9091126492791 |
| 313.02161340106 |
| 314.316722341757 |
| 185.979863983007 |
| 96.5094462796486 |
| 684.759000434985 |
| -644.933865362374 |
| -374.806757596582 |
| -241.209557922786 |
| -379.692183865916 |
| -157.143049643861 |
| -53.2794125781805 |
| -148.32026107378 |
| -445.72199857546 |
| 2.94648552772441 |
| -37.1956749668779 |
| -136.632056313104 |
| -361.987136714503 |
| 65.9980655172444 |
| 736.837287172411 |
| 1012.21373912035 |
| -720.556326448446 |
| 102.060717302413 |
| -14.6181606837398 |
| -628.572587577781 |
| -533.950289913991 |
| -132.885469879627 |
| 35.6252337045408 |
| -229.501413579275 |
| -379.594304556827 |
| -308.028912346093 |
| -37.4660721801391 |
| 223.120267619502 |
| 11.1674107421898 |
| 20.9925982205937 |
| 121.455130069031 |
| 1172.69778380629 |
| -376.859020907686 |
| -43.3252011598304 |
| -296.779830538592 |
| -33.3171633821249 |
| -553.723143404159 |
| -216.08183800533 |
| 359.610821353905 |
| -777.89271760647 |
| 390.176978667592 |
| -270.717109273216 |
| -139.191743845331 |
| -192.244522707606 |
| 175.838730783043 |
| 176.11279861831 |
| 181.553146469769 |
| 718.52146058422 |
| -675.90488003263 |
