Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	9747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	10411	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	9511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	10402	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	10540	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	10915	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	11183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	10384	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	10834	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	9886	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10943	10500.4512	10007.6298	10993.2725	0.0392	0.871	0.639	0.871
62	9867	9694.3173	9201.3647	10187.27	0.2462	0	0.767	0.019
63	10203	10629.9987	10137.0308	11122.9667	0.0448	0.9988	0.8177	0.9501
64	10837	10051.4597	9555.4529	10547.4665	0.001	0.2746	0.917	0.2578
65	10573	10737.9426	10241.9316	11233.9536	0.2573	0.3477	0.7829	0.9804
66	10647	10278.1225	9779.6344	10776.6106	0.0735	0.1231	0.7432	0.5965
67	11502	10932.3438	10433.8514	11430.8361	0.0126	0.8691	0.5272	0.9976
68	10656	11354.1413	10853.62	11854.6626	0.0031	0.2813	0.7486	1
69	10866	10502.6493	10002.0877	11003.211	0.0774	0.2741	0.6789	0.8692
70	10835	10945.6271	10443.3707	11447.8836	0.333	0.622	0.6684	0.9978
71	9945	9945.9766	9443.6277	10448.3256	0.4985	3e-04	0.5925	0.146
72	10331	10431.1378	9927.3115	10934.9641	0.3484	0.9707	0.7987	0.7987

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0239	0.0421	0	195849.4817	0	0
62	0.0259	0.0178	0.03	29819.3049	112834.3933	335.9083
63	0.0237	-0.0402	0.0334	182327.9105	135998.8991	368.7803
64	0.0252	0.0782	0.0446	617073.5221	256267.5548	506.2288
65	0.0236	-0.0154	0.0387	27206.0598	210455.2558	458.754
66	0.0247	0.0359	0.0383	136070.623	198057.817	445.0369
67	0.0233	0.0521	0.0402	324508.2339	216122.1623	464.8894
68	0.0225	-0.0615	0.0429	487401.2231	250032.0449	500.032
69	0.0243	0.0346	0.042	132023.6964	236920.0062	486.7443
70	0.0234	-0.0101	0.0388	12238.3661	214451.8422	463.0895
71	0.0258	-1e-04	0.0353	0.9538	194956.3069	441.5386
72	0.0246	-0.0096	0.0331	10027.579	179545.5795	423.7282